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The probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 54.4%

2026-08-06 06:02:42

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until September is 45.6%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 54.4%. By October, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 33.5%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 52.1%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 14.5%.

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