Forbes: Bitcoin may solve the Triffin dilemma of the dollar and become a global neutral reserve asset

An article in Forbes states that U.S. Vice President JD Vance's previous views on the global reserve status of the dollar have sparked discussions about the long-term contradictions of the dollar system. The article argues that while the dollar, as a global reserve currency, brings financing advantages, it also creates the "Triffin Dilemma": a national currency struggles to simultaneously meet domestic economic needs and global reserve demands.

The article points out that the dollar's reserve status drives global capital inflows into the U.S., enhancing the dollar's value, allowing American consumers to access cheap imported goods, but simultaneously weakening the competitiveness of U.S. manufacturing and exacerbating trade deficits. The author believes that after the end of the Bretton Woods system and the suspension of gold convertibility in 1971, the dollar system continued to operate through U.S. Treasury bonds and the global dollar market, but the core contradictions have not disappeared. Stablecoins, while able to expand the use of the dollar, still rely on U.S. government debt and cannot completely resolve the issue of reserve assets depending on a single country's liabilities.

The article states that while gold has non-sovereign attributes, it faces limitations in transportation, verification, and settlement efficiency. Bitcoin, with its fixed supply, lack of need for state credit endorsement, global verifiability, and rapid digital settlement features, may become a new neutral reserve asset. The author suggests that in the future, the dollar can continue to serve as a global transaction and commercial currency, while Bitcoin may gradually take on more roles as a reserve asset, thereby alleviating the global monetary system's dependence on a single country's liabilities. However, the article also notes that Bitcoin currently faces issues such as price volatility, limited institutional adoption, and insufficient maturity of custodial systems. Gold has a financial history spanning hundreds of years, while Bitcoin has only existed for 17 years, and whether it can become a global reserve asset still requires time to verify.