Real Vision founder: The weakening of the US dollar may open the green light for cryptocurrency, as funds are flowing back from AI

Raoul Pal, founder of Real Vision, stated in the Cointelegraph podcast Trade Secrets that a weakening dollar could signal a green light for the crypto market, driving the industry's upward momentum.

He pointed out that rising bond yields and a strong dollar are restricting the free flow of liquidity, and if the dollar can decline, crypto will receive further upward signals. He also mentioned that he would not be overly optimistic and has not given a comprehensive bullish signal for all assets.

Pal believes that when AI trading pauses, funds will rotate into the crypto market. He noted that Bitcoin rose about 25% to $80,000 from August 19 to 25, while AI leader stock Nvidia fell for seven consecutive trading days. His preferred scenario is a weakening dollar, a steepening yield curve, and banks expanding the money supply by increasing lending; if these conditions do not occur, the suboptimal scenario is that AI stocks consolidate, allowing funds to rotate into crypto. He also warned that a burst AI bubble would mean liquidity is withdrawn, which would be detrimental to crypto.

Regarding AI agents, Pal believes their economic activities will flow more towards smart contract platforms like Ethereum and Solana, rather than Bitcoin. AI agents can pay for network content using stablecoins, with Amazon Web Services launching related features in June, and Coinbase handling payment verification and settlement through the x402 protocol. On the claim that Solana could surpass Ethereum in market capitalization, Pal takes a cautious stance, stating that Ethereum has a higher capital concentration, while Solana's core activities are speculative and of smaller individual scale.