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infrastructure

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Article
Flash

first_img Tiger Research: Predicting that the market is becoming a macro data infrastructure

Research institution Tiger Research researcher Ryan Yoon released the final report of the prediction market series, discussing whether prediction markets have practical utility. The report states that participants bear the judgment results with funds, and prices are updated in real-time with new information, forming probability distributions comparable to traditional polls, expert surveys, and economic forecasts; prediction markets have expanded from sports and election predictions to macroeconomic and geopolitical data infrastructure.The report lists that Google Finance, CNBC, CNN, and The Wall Street Journal have displayed prediction market probabilities, and the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, along with the electronic bond trading platform Tradeweb, distributes relevant data to institutional clients. A working paper from the Federal Reserve Board describes the prediction market Kalshi as a high-frequency, continuously updated benchmark with rich information distribution. The paper states that Kalshi's median and mode predictions for the federal funds rate recorded perfectly the day before the FOMC meeting and significantly outperformed federal funds futures during that period; compared to Bloomberg consensus, it is more accurate for overall CPI and statistically similar for core CPI and unemployment rate.The report also cites research from the Iowa Electronic Markets: in five U.S. presidential elections from 1988 to 2004, and in a comparison of 964 polls, it was more accurate in 74% of cases; the average voting share error one week before the election was 1.5 percentage points, lower than Gallup's final poll of 2.1 percentage points. The report suggests that the platform needs to deepen liquidity to resist manipulation, communicate with regulatory agencies, and position itself as a monitoring tool while maintaining open transparency and data supported by independent research.

SkyAI faces pressure from major shareholders to hold accountable for SOL's liquidation decision, while Korea's Meritz Securities partners with Optimism to explore tokenized infrastructure

According to BBX data, yesterday global publicly listed companies in the U.S. stock market and mainstream financial institutions disclosed the latest developments in the disposal of crypto asset treasury, corporate governance accountability, and Layer 2 security tokenization cooperation. The core information is as follows:Shareholder Bastion Trading, holding approximately 9.99% of SkyAI shares, issued a statement pressuring for accountability regarding the liquidation of SOL and demanding a board restructuring: Major shareholder Bastion Trading, which holds approximately 9.99% of the NASDAQ-listed company SkyAI (NASDAQ: $SKYA), officially released a statement requesting that SkyAI's Executive Chairman Paul K. Danner III and three directors Soren Bo Christiansen, Timothy J. Ruemler, and Jason L. Monroe publicly explain their specific roles in evaluating, approving the takeover offer, and overseeing the complete liquidation of SOL, including who authorized and supervised the liquidation, reviewed the timing of the transaction, execution methods, counterparties, and transaction costs.Meritz Securities of South Korea signs MOU with Optimism Foundation to explore tokenized financial asset clearing based on OP Stack: South Korea's mainstream financial institution Meritz Securities announced the signing of a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the Optimism Foundation. The two parties will jointly study the issuance, clearing, and distribution framework of tokenized financial assets based on OP Mainnet and other OP Stack networks, deeply exploring the commercial viability of using Ethereum public Layer 2 as a financial-grade distribution and clearing infrastructure. Meritz Securities stated that it will focus on exploring tokenized financial products based on high-quality local assets within the legal and licensing compliance framework, and will promote implementation in conjunction with the progress of South Korea's security token offering (STO) regulations. Previously, KB Securities and DB Securities in South Korea have also successively accessed the OP Stack ecosystem to explore related tokenization businesses.

first_img Elice, an AI infrastructure company, hit the upper limit on the second day of its listing, but is still below the issue price

According to a report by the Korean Economic Daily on October 21, Elice Group, an AI infrastructure company providing AI cloud and educational and office software, saw a significant rebound the day after its listing on the KOSDAQ. As of 9:15 AM that morning, Elice was priced at 79,900 Korean won, an increase of 18,400 Korean won from the previous trading day, a rise of 29.92%. The previous trading day's closing price was 61,600 Korean won, down 28,900 Korean won from the issue price of 90,500 Korean won, a decline of 31.93%. The report stated that even if the price reached the limit increase for the day, the stock price would still be below the issue price.Bloomberg reported on October 20 that Elice fell about 32% on its first day of trading, becoming a case of weakened confidence in so-called new cloud companies, and noted that it was at the center of the debate regarding AI company valuations and their ability to realize those valuations. Reuters stated that the sharp drop again raised market concerns about the sustainability of large investments in AI infrastructure and the investment recovery cycle. CNBC reported that the impact of the listing performance has spread to U.S. data center-related stocks. The scale of this public offering was $150 million, and the company plans to use the listing funds for the construction of modular data centers and related infrastructure.

The Bitcoin infrastructure protocol Echo Protocol announced that it will gradually shut down

The Bitcoin infrastructure protocol Echo Protocol announced on platform X that it will gradually terminate the operation of the protocol due to business adjustments. The official announcement expressed gratitude to the community, partners, and users for their long-term trust and support, and committed to completing the subsequent liquidation work transparently and responsibly.Currently, all core businesses of the Echo Protocol have fully stopped accepting incremental funds. The lending protocol has halted new deposits, new loans, and interest accrual, while the strategy and LSD businesses have also ceased new deposits and new pledges.The official has now opened repayment, withdrawal, and necessary asset liquidation channels, urging users to take action as soon as possible: lending users should repay debts, release collateral, and withdraw assets promptly; strategy and LSD users should initiate exits and claims as early as possible; users holding aBTC can continue to use the Aptos-to-B² cross-chain bridge for redemption.To ensure an orderly liquidation process, the announcement specified key timelines. All borrowers with outstanding debts must complete repayments by November 14, 2026, or face collateral liquidation, with the proceeds used to repay lenders. The final deadline for users to make repayments, withdrawals, and release pledges is November 19, 2026, at 23:59 (UTC).After this, the Echo Protocol will officially cease operations, and all remaining positions will enter the final liquidation and settlement process, with the platform only retaining the redemption service of the Aptos-to-B² cross-chain bridge. Since LSD and Strategy assets depend on the request time for underlying pledges/unpledges, the actual time users can claim will be affected by this factor.
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