quant

Ju.com announced a strategic investment of $80 million in the AI quantification platform One Agent. It is reported that One Agent has raised a total of $170 million in this round of joint investment.One Agent's core focus is on "intent trading," aiming to lower the trading threshold for users. Users only need to set investment goals and risk preferences, and the built-in AI Agent can automatically complete strategy planning, execution, and dynamic rebalancing, replacing traditional monitoring and manual order placement. One Agent is initially open to the top ten mainstream cryptocurrency assets by market capitalization globally. Users can access its AI quantification system by purchasing nodes and further participate in various AI derivative scenarios and rights, such as mainstream cryptocurrency quantification strategies, wealth management, and market predictions.In addition, this $170 million joint investment will serve as long-term financial support for the One Agent ecosystem, aiming to protect all users participating in AI quantification, covering node purchasers and various user groups that participate sequentially. The funds will provide comprehensive ecological support and risk mitigation arrangements within established rules, and the relevant mechanisms will gradually come into effect in phases with the product to enhance downside protection and maximize the certainty of user participation.

CryptoQuant analysis indicates that Bitcoin's current price is hovering in the $62,000 - $68,000 range, with the funding rate in the futures market remaining in negative territory, suggesting that bearish sentiment is dominating the market. This is different from the previous bottom around $80,000, where the funding rate mostly stayed positive.Since 2025, the dominant force in the market has been selling pressure, with buy orders only used to absorb supply. The current selling pressure has reached its highest level in three months. Notably, the futures market has maintained a high leverage state for 16 consecutive months, and excessive leverage has been decreasing since Bitcoin's last historical peak. Analysts point out that while the price drop has forced some investors to liquidate, it has actually improved the market's leverage health, which is a positive signal in the long run.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost disclosed that the "Coinbase Premium Gap," which measures the price difference between Coinbase Advanced and Binance, has recently turned positive again, indicating initial signs of a recovery in professional capital demand in the U.S. market. Data shows that this is the third time this year that the indicator has returned to positive territory, with the current premium at approximately $10.18, which remains relatively mild overall.Analysts believe that a positive premium is typically seen as a signal of increased buying from U.S. institutions and professional investors. The report points out that the user base of Coinbase Advanced is more inclined towards professional and institutional participants, while Binance has a broader retail user base globally and holds a significant share of overall market liquidity. Therefore, changes in the price difference between the two are often used as an important indicator to observe the flow of U.S. capital.Since Bitcoin entered a more pronounced correction phase on February 4, this premium gap has been continuously repairing and recently turned positive again. However, analysts emphasize that this signal is still preliminary, reflecting a cautious market sentiment, and the possibility of turning negative again in the short term cannot be ruled out. Overall, the current price level is gradually becoming attractive to professional capital, but to confirm a trend reversal, further observation of the continued expansion of the premium and changes in capital behavior is still needed.

Bitcoin Core developer Murch announced on February 11 that BIP 360 (Pay to Merkle Root, P2MR) has officially entered the Bitcoin Improvement Proposal repository, marking the first time the Bitcoin development community has incorporated quantum resistance into the official technical roadmap.The proposal was co-authored by Hunter Beast, Ethan Heilman, and Isabel Foxen Duke, and is currently in the review and discussion stage, with no protocol changes activated yet.

CryptoQuant's analysis on platform X indicates that USDT is currently under extreme liquidity pressure, similar to the market bottom period in 2022. Meanwhile, the net inflow of stablecoins to exchanges has dropped from a peak of $616 million in November 2025 to $27 million, showing a weakening marginal buying power, and "the liquidity available for deployment in the crypto market is contracting."Additionally, predictive market data shows that traders are increasing their bets on further downside for Bitcoin. The probability of Bitcoin falling below $55,000 on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket has risen to 72%, with the total trading volume of related contracts reaching $1.2 billion. Furthermore, the probabilities of falling below $50,000 and $45,000 are 67% and 47%, respectively, with corresponding trading volumes of approximately $170,000 and $1.4 billion.

StarkWare CEO Eli Ben-Sasson spoke on X about the potential impact of quantum computing on the crypto industry, calling for a proactive deployment of post-quantum security upgrades across multi-chain ecosystems, including Bitcoin, and proposed a five-step action plan:Acknowledge the threat and clearly recognize that once quantum computers mature, they will pose a severe challenge to the existing public key cryptography system, and take decisive action to implement countermeasures.Enhance education and information dissemination, systematically learn about the current state of quantum computing development and feasible solutions in post-quantum cryptography (PQC), and spread relevant knowledge within the community to raise overall awareness.Organize and invest resources to support and collaborate with post-quantum cryptography experts, promote multiple research and engineering practices, and provide funding and community initiative support for related projects.Listen to expert advice and establish standards, with experts proposing specific technical routes, including the selection of new signature algorithm standards and the reasonable post-quantum security levels required for hash functions.Promote protocol and infrastructure upgrades, introduce new quantum-resistant signature mechanisms at the core protocol layer, and ensure compatibility and integration with key infrastructures such as wallets to ensure a smooth transition.

According to Decrypt, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong stated, "Quantum computing will not destroy blockchain. Coinbase has been very proactive in this regard. Coinbase has established a quantum advisory board and maintains regular contact with major blockchain network development teams to discuss pathways to upgrade to a post-quantum encryption world. We will continue to monitor this issue, and I believe it is entirely solvable."

Quantoz holds an electronic money institution license issued by the Dutch central bank. The three electronic money tokens it issues, USDQ, EURQ, and EURD, are all subject to the electronic money regulations of the European Economic Area. The reserves are stored in a dedicated account under a bankruptcy-remote fund structure at a 1:1 ratio and must additionally maintain at least a 2% reserve buffer on the balance sheet.

Star investor Kevin O'Leary from "Shark Tank" posted on the X platform that he remains bullish on Bitcoin, but now quantum computing has become a new concern. He stated that quantum computing is causing institutions to hesitate, as they worry that one day quantum computers might crack the blockchain.As long as this issue remains unresolved, institutional investors are unlikely to increase their allocation to Bitcoin above 3%. They will remain cautious and disciplined, waiting for clearer conclusions.

CryptoQuant posted on platform X that currently, $47.5 billion in stablecoins is concentrated on a single exchange. Binance holds 65% of the stablecoin liquidity across all exchanges, while competitors still lag far behind, even as outflows have slowed in the bear market. Funds have not left the crypto space; instead, they are concentrating.

CryptoQuant's Bull-Bear Index recently hit its lowest point since the FTX collapse in 2022. This indicator measures market momentum by the difference between the market profit and loss index and its 365-day moving average. Historical data shows that similar extreme bear market levels often signal the formation of a bottom.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, data shows that the whale Bitcoin inflow ratio on the Binance platform surged from 0.4 to 0.62 between February 2 and 15, reflecting an increase in the share of large holders' Bitcoin deposits, which may exacerbate market sell-off pressure.Darkfost's analysis points out that part of the inflow is related to the activity of BTC OG insider whales. On-chain information indicates that BTC OG insider whales have deposited approximately 10,000 BTC to Binance over the past two weeks.Darkfost stated that this phenomenon does not seem to be an isolated event, as some whales have sent large amounts of Bitcoin transactions to this CEX. This is not only because Binance has ample liquidity but also because the uncertain market environment has prompted various investors to reassess their risk exposure and strategies.

F2Pool co-founder Wang Chun posted on platform X, stating that quantum computing is more like a technological bubble compared to AI. The current industry is filled with hype but has almost no actual delivery results. AI is continuously improving the real world, while quantum computing is expected to remain unable to achieve practical applications by 2026, and it is anticipated to struggle to generate substantial industrial value in the coming decades. His trading view is to short quantum computing while maintaining a long position in Bitcoin.He also specifically named several quantum computing concept stocks that he is bearish on, including: Rigetti Computing ($RGTI), D-Wave Quantum ($QBTS), Quantum Computing Inc. ($QUBT), and IonQ ($IONQ). Wang Chun added that the current products and commercialization capabilities of these companies are insufficient, and market valuations are largely based on long-term technological expectations.

Renowned analyst Willy Woo stated on the X platform that the 12-year valuation trend of Bitcoin relative to gold has recently been broken. BTC's relative valuation should be higher, but in reality, it has not been achieved, mainly due to a market awakening to the risks of quantum computing, leading to early pricing of potential issues.Bitcoin is likely to be patched in the future through quantum-resistant signatures, but this does not solve the problem of approximately 4 million "lost" BTC (early lost private keys may be cracked by quantum computers) re-entering circulation. Willy Woo estimates a 75% probability that these lost Bitcoins will not be frozen through a protocol hard fork, so the market needs to account for the selling pressure of 4 million coins in advance.Since MicroStrategy began accumulating BTC in 2020, the total accumulation by enterprises and ETFs is only 2.8 million BTC. These 4 million lost tokens are equivalent to 8 years of corporate accumulation, which will result in serious supply dilution. Before "Q-Day" (the day quantum computing threats materialize, expected in 5-15 years), BTC prices will continue to be affected by this cloud of uncertainty.

According to Cointelegraph, venture capitalist Nic Carter stated in a podcast that the long-term inaction of Bitcoin developers regarding the potential threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin may lead to dissatisfaction among large institutions holding significant amounts of Bitcoin (such as BlackRock), ultimately triggering an "institutional takeover."Nic Carter warned that institutions will not tolerate the core security issues of Bitcoin being ignored for an extended period. "If developers continue to be inactive, institutions will lose patience and will fire the current developers, replacing them with new ones."

On-chain analysis company CryptoQuant indicates that the "ultimate" bottom of the Bitcoin bear market is currently around $55,000, and the formation of a bear market bottom typically takes several months rather than being completed by a single capitulation event. CryptoQuant states that the realized price of Bitcoin has historically been a major support area during bear markets and is likely to represent the final bear market bottom. Currently, the trading price of Bitcoin is still over 25% higher than this level.The company notes that in past bear markets, prices fell below the realized price by 24% after the FTX collapse, and in the 2018 cycle, it dropped by 30%. After reaching these levels, Bitcoin usually requires four to six months to build a bottom. CryptoQuant believes another sign that Bitcoin has not yet reached a structural bottom is the significant single-day realized losses. Data shows that when the Bitcoin price dropped 14% to $62,000, holders recorded an average realized loss of $5.4 billion in a single day, the highest daily loss since March 2023, surpassing the $4.3 billion recorded a few days after the FTX collapse in November 2022.Despite the massive scale of losses, CryptoQuant states that the price bottom has not yet arrived. The monthly cumulative realized losses measured in Bitcoin are still far below the levels corresponding to bear market bottoms, currently at 300,000 BTC, compared to 1.1 million BTC at the end of the bear market in 2022, the report notes. Several key valuation metrics also remain above historical panic sell-off regions. CryptoQuant claims that the MVRV ratio (the ratio of Bitcoin's market value to its realized value) has not yet entered the extremely undervalued range that historically marks bear market bottoms. Similarly, the NUPL metric has not reached the unrealized loss level of about 20% seen in past cycle lows.The behavior of long-term holders has also not reflected complete panic selling. CryptoQuant points out that long-term holders are currently selling at prices close to breakeven, whereas during past bear market bottoms, they endured losses of 30%-40%. Additionally, about 55% of the Bitcoin supply is still in profit, while cycle lows typically fall within the range of 45%-50%. CryptoQuant further states that its bull-bear cycle indicator is currently still in the "bear market phase," rather than the "extreme bear market phase"—the latter historically marks the point at which prices begin to enter a bottoming phase. The company notes that this extreme phase typically lasts for several months, indicating that the formation of a bear market bottom requires time.

According to The Block, on-chain data analysis company CryptoQuant stated that the "ultimate" bear market bottom for Bitcoin is currently around $55,000. However, bear market bottoms typically take months to form, rather than being completed by a single capitulation event.Analysis shows that the realized price of Bitcoin has historically been a major support area during bear markets, and the current price is still more than 25% above that level. Despite Bitcoin dropping to $62,000, resulting in a single-day realized loss of $5.4 billion, a new high since March 2023, a structural bottom has not yet approached. The monthly cumulative realized loss (in BTC) remains far below the bear market bottom level: currently at 300,000 BTC, compared to 1.1 million BTC at the end of the 2022 bear market.Several key valuation indicators have also not entered the historical capitulation zone: the MVRV ratio has not reached the extremely undervalued range; the NUPL indicator has not reached the historical cycle low of about 20% unrealized loss; long-term holders are currently selling at approximately breakeven, while during historical bear market bottoms, they typically endure losses of 30%-40%; about 55% of Bitcoin supply is still in profit, while cycle lows are usually around 45%-50%. CryptoQuant's bull-bear cycle indicator is currently still in the "bear market phase" rather than the "extreme bear market phase," which historically lasts for several months and marks the beginning of the price entering a bottoming phase.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Bitcoin Improvement Proposal BIP-360 has been merged into the official codebase to enhance resistance against quantum attacks.

Analyst IT Tech stated in a report from CryptoQuant on Thursday that Bitcoin's seven-day average realized net loss has reached $2.3 billion, calling it "one of the largest panic sell-off events in Bitcoin's history, comparable to the 2021 crash, the 2022 Luna/FTX debacle, and the mid-2024 adjustment.""This scale of loss ranks among the top 3 to 5 in history," the analyst added, "There have been only a few instances in Bitcoin's history where such a level of panic selling has occurred." Bitcoin has plummeted nearly 50% from its all-time high of over $126,000 last October, currently trading around $66,600; it had previously dipped to a low of $60,000 on February 6 before recovering.

According to relevant page information, Bitcoin Improvement Proposal 360 (BIP-360) has been added to the official code repository.This proposal introduces the Pay-to-Merkle-Root (P2MR) output type, aimed at enhancing Bitcoin's defense against quantum computing threats through a soft fork.