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BTC $78,437.13 +0.32%
ETH $2,310.84 +0.49%
BNB $617.17 +0.27%
XRP $1.39 +0.16%
SOL $83.96 +0.36%
TRX $0.3376 +2.59%
DOGE $0.1080 +0.18%
ADA $0.2490 +0.63%
BCH $443.84 -1.12%
LINK $9.13 +0.56%
HYPE $41.06 -1.78%
AAVE $92.52 +0.62%
SUI $0.9176 +0.10%
XLM $0.1593 +0.08%
ZEC $386.41 +2.97%

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a16z supports the U.S. CFTC and opposes a series of crackdowns by various states on prediction markets

The venture capital firm a16z supports the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and opposes a series of crackdowns by various states on prediction markets. On Friday, a16z submitted an 18-page comment letter to the CFTC, stating that the actions taken by state regulators against prediction market platforms—including cease-and-desist orders and proposed bans—are creating "serious barriers to fair access" for users.In just the past month, the CFTC has filed a series of lawsuits against Illinois, Arizona, Connecticut, New York, and Wisconsin, claiming that these states are attempting to regulate markets overseen by the federal government, which exceeds their jurisdiction. a16z argues that requiring trading platforms to block U.S. users based on their state of residence conflicts with the CFTC's rules on fair market access. The company wrote, "Being forced to deny fair access to users from states seeking to license or ban certain event contracts could severely compress available liquidity."CFTC Chairman Mike Selig asserts that the event contracts of prediction markets fall under swap contracts, placing them within the CFTC's "exclusive jurisdiction." State regulators and state attorneys general counter that platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket offer unlicensed gambling products. a16z also discussed the utility provided by what it calls prediction markets, stating that their pricing mechanism is a "unique form of price discovery" that helps "reveal the probabilities of uncertain events." The company further argues that blockchain-based prediction markets are more transparent than traditional platforms, claiming that "the auditability of on-chain transactions" makes it easier for participants and regulators to oversee.In April, the prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi surpassed a cumulative trading volume of $15 billion.

Curve has launched a bad debt recovery mechanism, allowing impaired claims to exit through trading or participate in recovery

Curve Finance officially announced that it is introducing a bad debt recovery mechanism based on on-chain market mechanisms, allowing CRV-affected users in certain lending markets with bad debts to choose different recovery strategies: directly selling their claims to exit, continuing to hold and wait for potential recovery, or providing liquidity to earn fees and incentives. The core of this mechanism is to establish a trading pool between crvUSD and the tokens of the affected claims, allowing bad debt claims to be priced in the market and creating liquidity, thereby providing users with an immediate exit channel instead of relying solely on the final liquidation results.It is reported that after the cryptocurrency market crash in October last year, some lending markets under Curve Finance experienced bad debt issues, with various liquidity pools being impacted by severe price fluctuations and liquidity contraction, leading to some deposit users facing withdrawal restrictions and asset losses.Curve stated that the recovery mechanism will not eliminate losses or guarantee recovery, but will gradually reflect risks and recovery expectations through a market-oriented approach. Additionally, if the governance layer distributes rewards through the veCRV incentive mechanism, it will help enhance liquidity depth, improve exit conditions, and strengthen market pricing efficiency.

Analyst: The nominal value of $2.14 billion in options will expire, with Bitcoin performing significantly better in both price and popularity compared to the last three months

According to data from Greeks.live, a total of 23,000 BTC options are set to expire, with a Put Call Ratio of 1.13, a maximum pain point of $76,000, and a nominal value of $1.74 billion. Additionally, 175,000 ETH options will also expire, with a Put Call Ratio of 0.94, a maximum pain point of $2,325, and a nominal value of $400 million.Greeks.live analyst Adam stated that this week's market fluctuations are small, with Bitcoin hovering around $78,000, and market sentiment gradually becoming calmer. The short-term RV has significantly decreased, combined with monthly settlements releasing nearly a quarter of the position margin, leading to a noticeable decline in the implied volatility of major expiration options this week. The major expiration IV of Bitcoin has fallen below 40%, while the major expiration IV of ETH has decreased even more, with short-term IV dropping below 50% and medium to long-term also falling below 60%. From the main options data, the Skew remains relatively stable, and the market's directional sentiment remains slightly bearish. This week, only 6% of options are expiring, with about 25% of positions at the end of the month and about 30% of positions at the end of June. Block trades are relatively inactive, all of which are signals of consolidation. In April of this year, Bitcoin performed significantly better in both price and popularity compared to the previous three months, but the altcoin market has seen limited recovery. Currently, the focus is mainly on Bitcoin, and trading altcoins will require further waiting.
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