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According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $251,416.44 in a single bet on the "World Cup Champion" event for "USA." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 96.6%.

Recently, silver prices have continued to trend downward. According to market data from the Gate platform, silver (XAG) reached a 24-hour low of $63.27 and is currently reported at $63.39, with a 24-hour decline of 3.60%. According to CoinGlass data, the open interest for Gate XAG contracts has reached $78.9171 million, ranking second globally, with high market attention and trading activity continuing to be maintained.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Senegal" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 70.5% an hour ago to the current 46% (a fluctuation of 24.5%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Public market data shows that the stock of Nasdaq-listed company (Nasdaq: WTO) has recently seen a significant increase, with the rise approaching 500% at one point. Against the backdrop of growing interest in Web3 data platforms, prediction markets, and the concept of coin-stock linkage in the US stock market, WTO's price performance has sparked market discussions.Market participants believe that WTO's recent surge may be related to the recent launch of the "Non-Small Number World Cup Carnival" by Non-Small Number. This event revolves around the 2026 World Cup and combines this global sporting event with Web3 prediction markets, precisely hitting the hottest event that attracts the highest global user attention, as well as the prediction market track with strong growth potential in the current Web3 market.From a market logic perspective, the World Cup naturally possesses global traffic, high-frequency discussions, and clear outcomes, which can continuously generate demand for predictions; while prediction markets are currently one of the few application scenarios in Web3 that can directly connect real events, user judgments, and on-chain participation. The launch of related activities by Non-Small Number during the World Cup cycle is seen as a precise entry point into the global market's enthusiasm and the demand from Web3 users.Industry insiders believe that as the World Cup Carnival drives increased exposure for Non-Small Number in the direction of prediction markets, the market is reassessing its potential value as a Web3 data entry point, a hot event operation platform, and a connection asset for US stock capital in a more positive direction.

The second round of the World Cup group stage schedule is halfway through, with some teams having already secured or are close to securing qualification, while several teams still need to determine their fate in the third round. In today's matches, Spain defeated Saudi Arabia 4-0, Belgium drew 0-0 with Iran, Uruguay drew 2-2 with Cape Verde, and New Zealand lost 1-3 to Egypt. As the group stage enters a critical phase, situations where the pre-match high probability directions do not materialize are still frequently occurring, further amplifying the risk of unilateral positions for prediction market users.Base's native leverage prediction market OmenX officially launched the World Cup Hedge to Earn airdrop event today, currently distributing hedge positions to all Polymarket users with positions. After users connect their Polymarket wallets, OmenX will identify their eligible positions; if there are relevant events on the platform, corresponding hedge positions will be issued; if there are no matching relevant events, recommended position airdrops will be provided to help users experience hedging and position management.OmenX stated that Hedge to Earn aims to help prediction market users transition from "unilateral prediction" to "position management." For high-volatility events like the World Cup, users can obtain hedging rewards through OmenX, adding a layer of risk buffer to their existing Polymarket positions.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Uruguay" for the event "World Cup Knockout Stage" on the prediction market Polymarket has experienced severe fluctuations, dropping from 63% an hour ago to the current 33% (a fluctuation of 30%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "World Cup Knockout Stage" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "Iran" has experienced significant fluctuations in winning probability, soaring from 39.65% an hour ago to the current 67.3% (a fluctuation of 27.65%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $123,531.79 in a single bet on "Argentina" for the "World Cup Champion" event. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this bet is 88.3%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $58,664.2 in the "World Cup Champion" event, specifically targeting "France." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 19.7%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $249,725.98 in the "World Cup Champion" event, specifically targeting "USA." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 96.7%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $113,547.24 in the "World Cup Champion" event, specifically targeting "Argentina." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 87.89%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $393,815.74 in a single transaction for the event "World Cup Champion" targeting "Argentina." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 87.05%.

Tria announced the launch of the World Cup event prediction activity Tria FC, based on the existing third quarter ecological activities. This event went live on June 16, Eastern Time, and will continue until July 19, when the World Cup final concludes.During the event, users can participate in daily match result predictions for free within the Tria app. Correct predictions will earn Tria points as rewards. The event points, combined with the points users earn from their daily active behaviors in the app (such as card payments, transactions, referrals, etc.), will be included in the new Tria FC leaderboard.It is reported that this event has established a total prize pool of $15,000, which will be mainly distributed to the top three users on the points leaderboard and the user with the most accurate predictions. To ensure that the winners are genuine active users, participants sharing the grand prize must make at least one valid prediction during the event and accumulate no less than 12,000 Tria points.

According to ChainCatcher, all group stage matches of the World Cup have concluded. In today's final four matches, Portugal drew 1-1 with the Democratic Republic of the Congo, England defeated Croatia 4-2, Ghana won against Panama 1-0, and Colombia triumphed over Uzbekistan 3-1.From the overall performance of the first round, this World Cup has seen multiple instances where high-probability predictions before the matches did not materialize. Several popular teams were held to draws, and predictions that were considered "high probability" by the market ultimately resulted in losses, leaving many users with one-sided positions facing unexpected losses. For users in the prediction market, the first round of the World Cup once again proved that high probability does not equal low risk, and one-sided positions require hedging tools.Base's native leveraged prediction market OmenX has recently launched a new Hedge to Earn initiative, with the first phase open to Polymarket position holders. Users can receive corresponding hedging position rewards on OmenX, allowing them to add a layer of risk protection to existing predictions at a lower capital cost, and manage their positions more flexibly in the event of popular outcomes failing, significant market fluctuations, or last-minute trend reversals.OmenX stated that Hedge to Earn is a new growth initiative launched by the platform around leveraged prediction markets, aimed at helping users transition from "one-sided predictions" to "position management." The initiative is currently ongoing, and users can hedge, adjust positions, and manage risks on OmenX regarding World Cup outcomes, championship titles, and popular sports events.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $53,125.68 in the "World Cup Champion" event, specifically targeting "England." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 89.46%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $76,215.84 in the "World Cup Champion" event, specifically targeting "Spain." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 13.3%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $177,800 on the "World Cup Champion" event for "Argentina." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 88.9%.