Serenity: Still optimistic about the storage sector, market focus shifts back to the photonics field
Serenity posted that it remains bullish on the storage sector represented by Micron (MU) and Samsung, believing that the market often rotates between different supply bottlenecks. This week, stocks in the photonics sector, such as AXTI and LITE, have once again become the focus; compared to the decline in July, the main change is the stock price, followed by scattered narratives and business updates.He pointed out that the market was already aware during the July decline that COHR and LITE's laser products would be sold out for the next two years, and it had also learned about the demand imbalance from AAOI's last quarter earnings call. Aside from the changes in stock prices after liquidation, the fundamentals of the photonics sector have not deteriorated; the bottlenecks in optical transceivers and indium phosphide substrates remain unchanged and may even worsen.In terms of storage, Serenity stated that retail investors are showing signs of capitulation, but the same group had previously signed 16 SCAs with MU and had extremely bullish forecasts. He believes that the current operating profit to market value ratio of the storage business is "extremely unreasonable," and that next year's demand imbalance may be even more severe; the only thing that has changed for the same company is the valuation and narrative, while the market rotates between different sectors.
