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Goldman Sachs: Ethereum's fundamentals are strong, with the average daily new address count in January far exceeding that during the "DeFi Summer."

After a decline earlier on Monday, Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocurrencies like Solana have seen a mild rebound. Interestingly, Goldman Sachs pointed out that despite the weak price performance, on-chain activity paints a different picture, particularly for the Ethereum and Solana networks:The Ethereum network's daily active addresses, new addresses, and transaction counts increased by +27.5%, +26.8%, and +36% respectively month-over-month.The Solana network's daily active addresses and transaction counts increased by +24.3% and +8.2% respectively month-over-month. The number of new addresses on Ethereum reached an all-time high, averaging 427,000 new addresses daily in January—compared to an average of 162,000 new addresses per day during the "DeFi summer" of 2020. Currently, Ethereum has 1.2 million active addresses daily—this is another all-time high based on the 7-day moving average.Goldman Sachs also specifically noted that Ethereum's current market capitalization is now below its realized market capitalization (the total value calculated based on the price at which each token last moved on-chain, representing the total cost basis), which means that most ETH holders are currently in a loss position. Timothy Misir, head of research at digital asset analytics firm BRN, stated, "For cryptocurrencies, the stability of ETF fund flows is a key signal to monitor. Without this support, a rebound is likely to be difficult to sustain."

CryptoQuant: BTC valuation reset is underway, and the market is gradually returning to fundamentals

According to market news, CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ stated that a valuation reset for Bitcoin is occurring.By observing the Bitcoin NVT golden cross indicator (smoothed with a 100-day moving average), the relationship between market valuation and on-chain economic activity can be assessed. NVT is considered the price-to-earnings ratio for Bitcoin, where transaction volume replaces earnings to answer the question of whether the network's market value aligns with actual economic activity. The current NVT golden cross indicator shows that short-term NVT is significantly below the long-term trend, indicating that Bitcoin's market value is undervalued relative to on-chain activity.Historically, when the indicator shows a deep negative divergence, it typically reflects low market sentiment and structural undervaluation of the network. In this cycle, the indicator fell to a historical low of -0.58 and has now rebounded to about -0.32, indicating that prices are gradually realigning with the transaction-driven fundamentals, but still remain in a conservative valuation range. This phenomenon usually occurs during deleveraging and risk-averse phases, followed by a market accumulation period that drives healthier price discovery. The current market is transitioning from deep undervaluation to equilibrium, with selective capital strengthening, which may signal structural improvements and long-term opportunities in the crypto market.
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