BTC $78,275.14 +2.18%
ETH $2,309.94 +2.51%
BNB $703.75 +1.69%
XRP $1.28 +1.98%
SOL $93.21 +1.56%
TRX $0.3219 +0.34%
DOGE $0.0750 +1.70%
ADA $0.1913 +2.41%
BCH $276.55 +0.69%
LINK $11.17 +0.82%
HYPE $85.62 +2.58%
AAVE $130.66 +2.96%
SUI $0.9069 +5.23%
XLM $0.1639 +1.68%
ZEC $1,289.69 +13.92%
AAPL $331.97 +0.60%
AMZN $252.44 +2.86%
GOOGL $280.06 +0.01%
MSFT $519.90 +2.72%
META $623.07 +2.58%
NVDA $208.45 +2.30%
TSLA $382.22 -5.15%
SNDK $1,133.82 +3.85%
INTC $60.33 -0.85%
SPCX $136.56 -0.70%
MU $860.97 +1.63%
AMD $521.65 +10.11%
BTC $78,275.14 +2.18%
ETH $2,309.94 +2.51%
BNB $703.75 +1.69%
XRP $1.28 +1.98%
SOL $93.21 +1.56%
TRX $0.3219 +0.34%
DOGE $0.0750 +1.70%
ADA $0.1913 +2.41%
BCH $276.55 +0.69%
LINK $11.17 +0.82%
HYPE $85.62 +2.58%
AAVE $130.66 +2.96%
SUI $0.9069 +5.23%
XLM $0.1639 +1.68%
ZEC $1,289.69 +13.92%
AAPL $331.97 +0.60%
AMZN $252.44 +2.86%
GOOGL $280.06 +0.01%
MSFT $519.90 +2.72%
META $623.07 +2.58%
NVDA $208.45 +2.30%
TSLA $382.22 -5.15%
SNDK $1,133.82 +3.85%
INTC $60.33 -0.85%
SPCX $136.56 -0.70%
MU $860.97 +1.63%
AMD $521.65 +10.11%

分析:比特幣賣家拋壓觸及熊市極值,築底有望但反轉仍需新需求

2026-11-04 15:01:02

ChainCatcher 消息,CryptoQuant 分析師 Darkfost 發文稱,鏈上數據顯示,比特幣的"賣家衰竭模型"指標已降至熊市以來的最低水平。該模型通過對比市場盈利供應比例與平均月度波動率,來衡量賣家是否仍有足夠的籌碼繼續壓低價格。

隨著 BTC 已從前期高點回調超過 10%,市場上的短期獲利盤基本了結,賣方動能明顯減弱。從歷史規律來看,這種拋售壓力的急劇下降通常有助於市場底部的形成。分析師同時警告,賣壓減輕並不等同於市場會立刻反彈。目前的核心矛盾在於儘管賣家已經平靜,但市場仍然缺乏足夠的"新增需求"來推動價格上行,在買盤資金實質性回歸之前,比特幣的上行空間依然受限。

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