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U.S. inflation expectations rise, worsening employment prospects may hinder the Federal Reserve's adjustment of interest rates

2026-01-09 00:21:40

According to Jinshi reports, based on the monthly survey by the New York Fed, U.S. inflation expectations rose in December, with consumers expecting prices to increase by 3.4% over the next year, up from 3.2% in November. At the same time, consumers' estimated probability of finding a new job after unemployment dropped to 43.1%, the lowest level since mid-2013. These data highlight the divergence among Federal Reserve officials regarding the risks of inflation and unemployment, which may hinder the Fed's policy adjustments later this month.

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