The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged is 97.2%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in January is 97.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.8%. By March, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 82.2%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.4%.