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The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July is 77%, and the probability of a rate hike in September is 47.6%

2026-07-06 05:57:42

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 23%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 41.9%, the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 25 basis points is 47.6%, and the probability of a cumulative rate hike of 50 basis points is 10.5%.

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