Founder of Social Capital: Bitcoin bulls face two major challenges, liquidity flows into prediction markets and the stock market, energy value is elevated by AI

Social Capital founder Chamath Palihapitiya stated on the X platform that the current cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin bulls, is facing two major issues: first, marginal liquidity is more inclined to flow into prediction markets and stock markets; second, the marginal energy used for Bitcoin mining, if reallocated to serve AI token-related demands, could be valued 10 to 20 times higher. Chamath noted that these changes appear to be structural, but there is also a possibility of misjudgment.

In response, Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong said that the first point "seems more like a temporary phenomenon," while the second point may be more enduring. However, the computing power or energy flow used for Bitcoin mining does not directly determine Bitcoin prices, as the network difficulty will automatically adjust to maintain the same block production pace when miners exit. He also stated that, in the long run, Bitcoin prices reflect more of people's concerns about inflation, and there are no signs that the trend of democratic governments around the world continuing to expand fiscal deficits is coming to an end.