The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%
According to Jinshi reports, CME's "FedWatch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 84.5%, while the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 15.5%. By September, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged drops to 36%, the probability of a cumulative increase of 25 basis points is 55.1%, and the probability of a cumulative increase of 50 basis points is 8.9%.
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