Catcher Predict: "Effective ceasefire between the US and Iran" "July 24" Win rate plummets to 22.35%

2026-07-29 18:45:11

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the Polymarket prediction market for the event "Effective Ceasefire Between the U.S. and Iran," the "Yes" option in the sub-market "July 24" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 36.15% an hour ago to the current 13.8% (a fluctuation of 22.35%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

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Polymarket prediction market volatility

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