2024

JPMorgan: Expects Robinhood's cryptocurrency business revenue to decline in Q1 after hitting a record at the end of 2024

ChainCatcher news, according to CoinDesk, JPMorgan analyst Kenneth Worthington predicts that Robinhood (HOOD) may struggle to sustain its record cryptocurrency trading revenue in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a potential decline in digital asset trading volume in the first quarter of 2025. The trading platform is set to announce its first-quarter financial results after the market closes on May 1, Eastern Time.The report shows that Robinhood's cryptocurrency trading revenue surged 700% in the fourth quarter of last year, driving a significant increase in overall trading revenue. However, due to the dual impact of a stock and bond market downturn in the later part of the first quarter and a correction in the cryptocurrency market, it is expected that the trading volume for that quarter will drop from $71 billion in the fourth quarter to $52 billion. The assets under custody (AUC) are expected to decline by 5% quarter-over-quarter to $183.3 billion, but still show a year-over-year growth of 41%.Although retail buying was stimulated by U.S. tariff policies in early April, analysts believe this is unlikely to reverse the downward trend in the first quarter. Weak demand for margin and derivatives trading may further drag down performance. JPMorgan maintains a "neutral" rating, lowering the target price by $1 to $44, implying about a 10% downside from the current stock price of $49.

Montana plans to legislate to strengthen digital asset regulation, with nationwide fraud losses exceeding $12.5 billion in 2024

ChainCatcher news, according to Bitcoin.com, Montana is accelerating the advancement of a digital asset regulatory framework to address the surge in cryptocurrency fraud. State Securities and Insurance Commissioner James Brown cited data from the Federal Trade Commission, stating that nationwide fraud losses reached $12.5 billion in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 25%, with the elderly population becoming a primary target due to their demographic representation ranking sixth in the nation.Brown supports the "Digital Token Regulatory Act" being reviewed by the state legislature, which would authorize regulatory agencies to implement access reviews and ongoing supervision of blockchain service providers, emphasizing "promoting the coordinated development of economic innovation and consumer protection through clear boundaries of rights and responsibilities." If the bill passes, Montana will become the first jurisdiction in the U.S. to systematically regulate on-chain trading entities.Regulatory actions focus on three major risk areas:"Pig Butchering" social engineering scams: 15 cases have been filed statewide in 2024, involving over $900,000, with scammers inducing victims to invest in fake trading platforms by fabricating personal relationships;Bank transfer fraud: using cryptocurrency mixing services to obscure the flow of funds;High-yield investment traps: evading compliance reviews by promising excessive returns.Brown announced the establishment of a cross-departmental digital asset enforcement team, opening a 24-hour reporting channel, and plans to collaborate with federal agencies to trace on-chain funds. Industry insiders point out that this move may provide a paradigm reference for Web3 regulation across U.S. states.
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