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According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin August Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $62,500" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 49.5% an hour ago to the current 89.5% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

CryptoQuant analyst Zizcrypto stated that the current percentage of unrealized losses for Bitcoin is 35.2%, which means that approximately 35% of the tracked supply is in a state of unrealized loss. This indicator is still above 20%, but has now fallen below the deep pressure range of 40%, far below the similar capitulation drop zone of 60%.This indicator broke through 40% around the end of June, reaching 42.2%, then dropped to 30.4% around July 21, and subsequently rebounded to 35.2%. In previous major bear market phases shown in the chart, after the first test of the 40% area, there is usually a period of pressure consolidation, after which the indicator tends to approach or exceed 60%, often leading to a capitulation-like drop. Zizcrypto believes that the current supply of unrealized losses is still high, but the latest data has fallen below the deep pressure range and has not yet reached capitulation-level pressure. However, levels above 40% and 60% remain key areas to watch.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $60,227, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $861 million. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,299, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $767 million.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,777, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $589 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $1,959, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $528 million.

Analyst "AntiFragile" posted on the X platform stating that the Bitcoin (BTC) order book currently shows strong buyer support, with a large number of patient buy orders concentrated in the range of 2%-20% below the current price.AntiFragile pointed out that these buy orders began to appear as early as the beginning of June, representing passive buying demand that is positioned in advance. If the BTC price falls and touches these areas, it is expected that these buy orders will act as a buffer, reducing market volatility. The current order book structure shows that some investors are waiting to enter at lower prices rather than buying in line with the upward trend. These long-term orders may become a potential support force during short-term market corrections.

Cryptocurrency analysis firm Glassnode stated that since February of this year, the 3-month Bitcoin futures basis yield has been below the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield. Historically, there has only been one similar prolonged period: from August 2022 to January 2023, which ultimately marked the cycle bottom.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $60,028, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEX will reach $840 million. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $66,166, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEX will reach $670 million.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,785, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $528 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $1,959, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $411 million.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,776, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $681 million. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $1,951, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on mainstream CEX will reach $665 million.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, Huang Licheng has encountered three liquidations during the market downturn, and his account balance has now fallen below $100,000 again. The latest liquidation price is $1843.4.

According to Gate market data, BTC/USDT is currently priced at $62988.1, with a 24-hour decline of 2.97%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin July Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $62,500" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 16.4% an hour ago to the current 33% (a fluctuation of 16.6%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, BTC/USDT is currently priced at $64000, with a 24-hour decline of 0.14%.

Coinbase released its Q2 2026 financial report, with revenue of $1.22 billion, below the market expectation of $1.29 billion; adjusted EBITDA of $208 million, positive for 14 consecutive quarters; earnings per share of -$0.41. Trading revenue was $599 million (expected $628 million), and subscription and service revenue was $555 million (expected $599 million). The company increased its holdings by 819 BTC in Q2, bringing total holdings to 17,211 BTC (a 5% increase quarter-over-quarter).Coinbase's global cryptocurrency spot trading market share reached 10.3%, setting a record high for three consecutive quarters; the derivatives market share also set a record high for three consecutive quarters. 88% of net revenue came from non-Bitcoin spot trading, with subscription and service revenue accounting for 48%, a significant increase from two years ago (29% in Q4 2024). The average holding of USDC in Coinbase products reached a historical high of $20 billion, accounting for over 30% of circulating USDC. Forecasted market contracts and revenue are expected to grow 106% quarter-over-quarter, with annualized revenue exceeding $100 million. CEO Brian Armstrong stated, "Coinbase is no longer just betting on Bitcoin prices." The company also narrowed its adjusted expense guidance range for the fiscal year 2026.

According to Coinglass data, if BTC falls below $61,524, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.325 billion. Conversely, if BTC breaks above $67,712, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.071 billion.

According to Jinshi reports, Apple's service revenue in Q3 of fiscal year 2026 was $30.74 billion, lower than the market expectation of $31.22 billion.

According to Coinglass data, if ETH falls below $1,825, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.016 billion. Conversely, if ETH breaks above $2,013, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $750 million.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "WTI Crude Oil July 2026 Price Prediction" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Below $80" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 27.5% an hour ago to the current 11.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, Musk stated that if Starship can achieve instant and complete reusability, and local production of liquid oxygen and liquid methane, its launch cost will drop to far below $100 per kilogram.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the "Bitcoin July Price Prediction" event on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the sub-market "below $62,500" has experienced a dramatic fluctuation, plummeting from 48.95% an hour ago to the current 25.55% (a fluctuation of 23.4%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.