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According to Jinshi reports, CICC's research report believes that the conflict between the U.S. and Iran has led to a surge in oil prices, with the risk of "inflation" taking precedence. The market expects changes in the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path, bringing selling pressure to gold ETFs that were heavily increased last year, while liquidity shocks are also contributing to short-term corrections through the futures and options markets.Currently, the geopolitical situation in the Middle East may be entering a critical window period, with oil prices facing a choice between rising and falling. The pricing focus in the gold market may shift to assessing the impact of supply shocks on "stagflation," and the already priced-in expectations for interest rate hikes may need to be revised.Looking ahead, CICC believes that whether it is a pullback in oil prices after a geopolitical downgrade, a return to a loose monetary policy direction, or intensified supply shocks increasing recession pressures and triggering the safe-haven value of gold, there may be upward correction space for both gold investment demand and prices.

According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Index opened down 616.65 points on April 2 (Thursday), a decrease of 1.32%, at 45,949.09 points; the S&P 500 Index opened down 82.47 points, a decrease of 1.25%, at 6,492.85 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index opened down 367.24 points, a decrease of 1.68%, at 21,473.71 points.

According to Jinshi Data, Elon Musk and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) informed the judge that both sides are heading towards a trial to resolve the regulatory agency's allegations that Musk deceived investors of the social media platform before acquiring Twitter in 2022.As the joint case progress report was submitted to the Washington federal court on Wednesday local time, it was only two weeks since both parties' lawyers indicated they were negotiating a settlement. The lawyers stated in the new document that they and their clients have discussed alternative dispute resolution options.The document states: "Both parties believe that, under the current circumstances, the court's alternative dispute resolution procedures or any other form of alternative dispute resolution would be of no benefit to this case." Musk has recently faced setbacks in other legal cases related to his acquisition of Twitter four years ago.

According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 224.35 points on April 1 (Wednesday), an increase of 0.48%, at 46,565.86 points; the S&P 500 index rose by 46.84 points, an increase of 0.72%, at 6,575.36 points; the Nasdaq Composite index rose by 250.32 points, an increase of 1.16%, at 21,840.95 points.

According to market news, Bitcoin (BTC) closed up 1.8%, ending a five-month decline since 2025, but faced a new round of volatility at the beginning of April, dropping to $67,630 during the Asian morning session.Although April has historically been a strong month for BTC (with an average historical increase of 12.1%), the market has continued to deviate from seasonal patterns since the end of 2025. Regarding macro and geopolitical uncertainties, Binance Research pointed out that if clear signals of a ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran emerge, it could boost the crypto market for further recovery.On the technical side, some analysts believe that the current macro environment closely resembles the market structure before the significant BTC rises in 2016 and 2020. However, Alphractal's CEO and CryptoQuant models both indicate that the current bottom may appear between September and November 2026, at which point there is a possibility of prices falling below $40,000.

According to CoinDesk, the gap between Bitcoin's spot price and its realized price (the average cost basis of all on-chain tokens weighted by their last transaction time) is narrowing, approaching the levels seen at the bottoms of past cycles. However, on-chain data shows that the market has not yet experienced a typical capitulation sell-off. Currently, Bitcoin's realized price is about $54,286, the spot price is about $68,774, and the premium is about 21%. The bottom signal of the 2022 bear market was when the spot price fell below the realized price, which occurred when the spot was about 15% lower than the realized price at the cycle low.The current 21% premium indicates that the average holder is still in profit. To reach the realized price, Bitcoin would need to drop about 20% to $54,000. Notably, the speed of the premium's contraction, from about 120% at the end of 2024 to 21% after 15 months, is the fastest approach to the realized price line outside of a market crash.Other on-chain signals also indicate that the market has not completed its reset: the Coinbase premium index has returned to negative values, suggesting weakened institutional demand. Analysts believe that although Bitcoin has maintained a range of $65,000 to $70,000 for five weeks, the inflow of over $1 billion into ETFs in March shows there are buyers, but the market has not yet gone through the painful process that historically marks a bottom.

Tom Lee stated in an interview with CNBC: "I believe the market has absorbed 90% to 95% of the selling pressure, and the selling process may have ended. We can now start to rebuild the bottom. We must recognize that in a war environment, the stock market often hits bottom early. We have studied every war since 1900, and the stock market tends to bottom out within the first 10% of the war process. So, if this follows the same pattern, we are currently in the early stages of that process.At this stage, any bad news can trigger people to de-risk. But you also know that this is why positions are worth paying attention to, because at some point, when people become overly neutral, even if the situation is not that bad, the market could see a V-shaped rebound."Tom Lee also added on social media that even if the "bottom" has not yet been reached, he believes the U.S. economy can withstand $100, or even $120, oil.

According to official news, the OpenClaw version 2026.3.31 was released this morning. The new version adds QQ bot integration (supporting private chat, group chat, and guild chat as well as media), LINE media sending capabilities, and real background task flow management (which can list, view, and cancel tasks), enhancing automation reliability.This version update emphasizes expansion into the Asian market, including better context, memory, and TTS support for Chinese, Japanese, and Korean, as well as WhatsApp emoji reactions and Matrix room history streaming, aiming to cover developer communication channels beyond Slack or Discord.This update has received widespread praise from the community, but a few users reported excessive Exec approval prompts / Approval issues after the update, and a very small number of users reported occasional crashes or instability after the update.

According to Gate market data, U.S. stocks have strengthened in the short term, with the Nasdaq index rising more than 3%, and both the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising more than 2%.

According to Gate market data, the Dow Jones Industrial Average opened up 509.65 points on March 31 (Tuesday), an increase of 1.13%, reporting at 45,725.79 points; the S&P 500 opened up 74.4 points, an increase of 1.17%, reporting at 6,418.12 points; the Nasdaq Composite opened up 297.28 points, an increase of 1.43%, reporting at 21,091.92 points.

CryptoQuant analyst Crypto Dan stated that the Bitcoin long-term holder SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has fallen below 1, indicating that even long-term investors are selling at a loss.Since long-term holders are the group least sensitive to short-term fluctuations, when they start realizing losses, it can be interpreted as a broader capitulation occurring in the entire market. At this point, short-term holders are likely to have already exited the market or have suffered significant losses.In other words, most participants in the market are in a state of loss. Historically, this situation often leads to a gradual exhaustion of selling pressure, forming a market bottom or an area close to a long-term low. While it may still be too early to determine that the current market is the absolute bottom, when losses become widespread, it often represents the final stage of fear sentiment and the beginning of opportunity.

Binance will launch the APT/U, ENA/U, FET/U, NIGHT/U, TRUMP/U, WLD/U, and TRUMP/USD1 spot trading pairs on March 31, 2026, at 16:00, and will open trading bot services for these trading pairs.In addition, Binance will offer zero Maker fee discounts for eligible users on the above trading pairs, starting from March 31, 2026, at 16:00, until further notice. Users can pay attention to subsequent announcements for more information.

According to Binance spot data, the market has experienced significant fluctuations. NOM has risen by 50.66% in 24 hours, while FET and SANTOS have increased by 11.56% and 10.78% respectively, both showing a rebound after hitting lows.At the same time, AUDIO has shown a "high and then low" state, with a 24-hour decline of 7.33%. CFX and GTC have both reached new lows today, with declines of 6.98% and 5.07%. USUAL has slightly decreased by 3.2% within 5 minutes, while SENT has slightly increased by 3.1% during the same period.

According to on-chain analyst @MorenoDV_ in a post on CryptoQuant, the long-term holders (LTH) of BTC are approaching a critical turning point in their adjusted net unrealized profit (NUPL), but the market bottom signal has not yet been triggered.Since the peak on October 6, 2025, LTH profitability has sharply compressed from 58% to 3% over 142 days, reflecting a significant deterioration in investor sentiment and holding structure. However, LTH-NUPL is currently still slightly above zero and has not entered the comprehensive liquidation range necessary for historically forming a market bottom.Analysts point out that true market bottoms in history have formed after LTH holdings have fully turned into losses. The current environment is closer to the late-cycle pressure phase rather than complete liquidation. It is recommended to focus on signals where LTH-NUPL continues to fall below zero, accompanied by long-term compression of price and volatility, as this condition has historically been highly correlated with asymmetric entry opportunities.

Crypto analyst Willy Woo stated that some traditional on-chain models indicate that the bottom for BTC is roughly between $46,000 and $54,000, while also suggesting that there may be a need to wait longer.The scale of capital stored in BTC has been flowing out since November. However, it is important to note that these models also have limitations. These models are based on historical behavior, and there have only been 4 bear markets in Bitcoin's history, all occurring against the backdrop of a long-term bull market for risk assets. If this foundation is broken, we may enter unknown territory (a deeper bear market). Finally, I personally believe that due to the potential collapse of the long-term bull market structure at the global macro level, the probability of a deeper bear market is quite high.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, a whale address purchased 5,039 ETH for approximately 10 million dollars. Currently, this address holds a total of 138,234 ETH, valued at about 274 million dollars, while having an outstanding loan position of approximately 142.3 million dollars.

On-chain analyst Willy Woo pointed out that traditional on-chain models indicate that the current bottom range for Bitcoin is expected to be between $46,000 and $54,000.Data shows that Bitcoin storage funds have been continuously flowing out since last year, while the cumulative value days destroyed (CVDD) bottom model currently reads $45,500, which has the characteristic of continuously increasing in value over time.

According to market news, after Bitcoin pulled back from $76,000, the Overall Liquidity indicator and the ALT Resilient Index showed a significant resonance in the 65K--66K range. Historical data shows that such resonance often corresponds to the formation of short-term bottoms, indicating conditions for a rebound.

According to Forbes, Goldman Sachs analyst James Yaro stated in a research report that the decline in Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market has roughly reached the historical average level from peak to trough in this cycle. In recent weeks, Bitcoin and cryptocurrency-related stocks have shown volatility but are trending towards stability. However, Yaro warned that trading volume may decline further, and in a low trading volume environment, Bitcoin prices are prone to significant fluctuations, making any rebound difficult to sustain.He pointed out that trading volume typically remains at a low for about three months before showing a noticeable recovery. If trading volume continues to decline, cryptocurrency companies' revenues may decrease by 2% and profits by 4% in 2026. Goldman Sachs currently rates Robinhood, Figure Technologies, and Coinbase as "buy," with the stock prices of these three companies down at least 50% from their historical highs. Yaro stated that digital asset-related targets are presenting increasingly attractive entry points.Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon revealed last month at the World Liberty Forum held at Trump's Mar-a-Lago in Florida that he holds a small amount of Bitcoin, marking a shift in his stance for 2024. This week, Bitcoin prices fell back to around $60,000, and Trade Nation senior market analyst David Morrison noted that Bitcoin previously faced resistance and retreated around $72,000. Currently, the daily MACD indicator is flattening at a neutral level, and the short-term trend direction remains unclear.