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BTC $63,557.36 +2.09%
ETH $1,684.98 +3.09%
BNB $609.14 +2.02%
XRP $1.18 +2.42%
SOL $67.42 +3.05%
TRX $0.3256 -0.48%
DOGE $0.0869 +2.62%
ADA $0.1719 +5.65%
BCH $209.70 -6.73%
LINK $8.02 +3.72%
HYPE $64.25 +8.17%
AAVE $64.41 +2.65%
SUI $0.7660 +2.26%
XLM $0.2015 -2.94%
ZEC $446.31 +6.81%

chai

Messari: TON's revenue from Telegram products in the first quarter reached 88.5 million USD, with cross-chain NFT market share rising to 35.5%

Messari released the "TON Q1 2026 Report," which shows that despite a 26.4% drop in the price of TON during the quarter, the overall TON ecosystem remains resilient, supported by Telegram's large user base. Among them, revenue from Telegram products settled through Fragment decreased by 20.3% quarter-on-quarter to $88.5 million, while recurring revenues such as Premium subscriptions and advertising only fell by 10.5%, performing better than non-recurring businesses like Stars.Data shows that driven by the demand for on-chain products such as Telegram usernames, numbers, and Gifts, the market share of TON NFTs in the cross-chain market increased by 130.4% quarter-on-quarter, reaching 35.5%. In terms of DeFi, the total value locked (TVL) in USD terms decreased by 34.9% quarter-on-quarter, but in TON terms, it only fell by 11.6%. The average daily transfer amount of USDT dropped by 32.5% to $7.7 million, although the average daily number of transfers remained around 73,600, indicating that peer-to-peer Telegram transfers and Mini App payments are replacing large DeFi transactions.In terms of user activity, the number of daily active addresses on TON decreased by 8.8% quarter-on-quarter to 90,800, indicating no significant new user growth in the first quarter. However, the number of transactions per address increased from 19.2 to 21, reflecting enhanced engagement among existing users.After the end of the first quarter, the "Make TON Great Again (MTONGA)" initiative launched by TON has completed four out of seven measures, including the launch of Catchain 2 for sub-second finality, reducing transaction fees by about six times, and making Telegram the largest validator of TON, with a current staking size of 2.2 million TON. Messari states that the second quarter will be a key observation period to test whether infrastructure upgrades can drive a large-scale conversion of Telegram's broader user base into active users on the TON chain.

Data: Analysis suggests that the worst phase of Bitcoin may be nearing its end, with key on-chain indicators approaching historical bottom ranges

After experiencing a significant sell-off last week, an important on-chain metric for Bitcoin—MVRV Z-Score—is approaching the historical bear market bottom region, indicating that market prices are gradually aligning with on-chain realized value, and the worst phase of the decline may be nearing its end. Data shows that the current Bitcoin MVRV Z-Score is 0.24, close to the zero axis, which is historically regarded as the "green accumulation zone." During past bear markets in 2011-2012, 2014, 2018, and 2022, this metric bottomed out near zero or briefly dipped below zero before starting a new upward cycle.The MVRV Z-Score measures the deviation between Bitcoin's current market value and its realized value. When market prices are significantly above the realized value, it indicates that Bitcoin is relatively expensive; conversely, when prices are close to or below the realized value, it suggests that the market has entered an undervalued area. However, analysts believe that the market may not have formed an absolute bottom yet. On-chain data shows that the short-term holder MVRV (STH-MVRV) is currently at 0.84, while the long-term holder MVRV (LTH-MVRV) remains as high as 1.29, and neither has converged like during the bear market bottoms of 2015, 2019, and 2022. This indicates that long-term holders still retain significant unrealized profits, and the market may still need to undergo further adjustments to form a typical bear market bottom.However, after the cryptocurrency market evaporated hundreds of billions in market value last week, several historical signals indicating market recovery have begun to emerge.

Analysis: On-chain data does not show that investors are massively selling off crypto assets to participate in the SpaceX IPO

According to CoinDesk, despite market speculation that some retail investors may sell Bitcoin to participate in SpaceX's record-breaking $75 billion IPO, stablecoin liquidity and on-chain data show that there are currently no signs of large-scale capital withdrawal from the crypto market.This SpaceX IPO is valued at approximately $1.8 trillion, allocating up to 30% of shares to retail investors through platforms such as Robinhood, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab, significantly higher than the traditional IPO's allocation of about 10% to individual investors. After the roadshow began, subscription demand has exceeded the issuance scale.Data shows that the outflow of USDT and USDC remains within the normal range since February this year, with no abnormal redemptions or supply contractions. In contrast, on June 6, Bitcoin and Ethereum recorded net outflows of approximately 66,470 BTC and 2.49 million ETH from exchanges, indicating that more investors are transferring assets to private wallets, showing signs of buying the dip rather than concentrated cashing out.However, on-chain data cannot reflect the trading behavior of users on platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase, so whether crypto investors are selling assets to subscribe to SpaceX stock still requires waiting for relevant brokers to release subsequent data.Currently, the most significant capital outflows are coming from spot ETFs. Data shows that as of June 3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total redemptions of approximately $4.4 billion; spot Ethereum ETFs have seen capital outflows for 17 consecutive trading days before returning to slight net inflows.According to the plan, SpaceX will complete pricing on June 11 and will be listed on Nasdaq under the stock code SPCX on June 12.
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