coin

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Bitcoin October Price Prediction" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option for the sub-market "82,500 USD" experienced severe fluctuations, dropping from 87.5% an hour ago to the current 62.5% (a fluctuation of 25%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The third-quarter report released by the stablecoin payment network Borderless.xyz shows that the median cost of sending a $200 remittance through stablecoin funding channels is 1%, or $2; whereas, according to World Bank data, the median cost of traditional remittance channels is 6.36%, or $12.72. In comparison, the cost of stablecoin remittances is approximately 84% lower. This comparison uses Borderless's pricing for the third quarter of 2026 and World Bank data for the same period in 2025.In emerging markets, the cost advantage is also evident. The cost of stablecoin remittances in Sub-Saharan Africa is 2.9%, while traditional transfers are 8.46%; in Latin America, the figures are 1.25% and 5.64%, respectively. In terms of corporate payments, a $10,000 stablecoin transfer to the Eurozone can cost as low as $26 when choosing the lowest-cost service provider, with the median service provider costing $52; traditional international bank wire transfers for the same amount require $135 to $150, including transfer fees and a 1% foreign exchange spread.Regarding settlement speed, the report states that stablecoin payments can reach the recipient's local bank account within minutes. The median settlement time for Brazil's PIX network in the third quarter is 2 minutes, Mexico's SPEI is 3 minutes, and Colombia's PSE is 2 minutes; traditional SWIFT transfers typically settle the next day, with the slowest 10% taking 3 business days. The success rate for receiving funds varies significantly: Mexico's SPEI is 98.6%, Brazil's PIX is 97.8%, Colombia's PSE is 79%, and Costa Rica's SINPE is only 73%. Standard Chartered Bank recently pointed out that although the total market capitalization of stablecoins has grown relatively slowly this year, transaction volumes are still rising, and it is expected that this market will reach $2 trillion by 2030, two years later than previously predicted.

Brian Armstrong posted on the X platform that the order response median speed of Coinbase's new matching engine has improved by 60 times, and the tail latency has improved by 480 times.Coinbase Advanced supports trading cryptocurrencies, stocks, commodities, and foreign exchange.

Documents disclosed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) indicate that the investment advisory firm Unique Wealth has submitted a 13F-HR report to the SEC, showing that it holds approximately $10.4 million in Bitcoin-related positions.The 13F-HR is a quarterly holdings report submitted by institutional investment managers to the SEC, used solely to disclose securities holdings that meet the reporting threshold, excluding directly held crypto assets. Therefore, the aforementioned positions typically represent Bitcoin exposure in the form of securities such as spot Bitcoin ETFs.

According to data from mempool.space, Bitcoin completed its latest mining difficulty adjustment at block height 971712, with the difficulty increased by 5.92% to 140.58T. The previous adjustment was a slight decrease of 0.03% to 132.72T.

According to The Defiant, Coinbase is expanding its partnership with payment infrastructure company Marqeta to launch a stablecoin card product aimed at businesses, allowing companies to fund their card programs around the clock.According to the plan, Coinbase will be responsible for holding the relevant fund balances, while the Base network will provide on-chain settlement infrastructure.

Bitcoin News posted on the X platform that France is considering imposing a 31.4% capital gains tax on certain Bitcoin-to-stablecoin transactions, levying an exit tax on crypto assets valued over 800,000 euros, and requiring the declaration of self-custodied wallet assets valued at no less than 100,000 euros.Related proposals also include allowing the carryover of crypto asset losses for 10 years, but none of these have yet become law; the French National Assembly has rejected the revenue portion of the 2027 budget, and the related measures still need to be resubmitted for review.

According to Bitcoin.com, Bitcoin mining service provider Sazmining has announced the launch of a personal purchase plan, allowing customers to directly own immersion hash boards developed by Block's Bitcoin mining division Proto, which is owned by Jack Dorsey.Sazmining is responsible for the installation, operation, and maintenance of the mining facilities in the United States, and the mined Bitcoin will be sent directly to the customers' personal wallets. Each hash board is priced at $4,187, with a down payment of $1,397, and the remaining amount can be paid in 18 months with zero interest.The equipment is expected to start operating between November and December 2026, with a single hash power of about 200 TH/s and an energy efficiency of about 15 J/TH. Sazmining will charge a uniform rate for electricity and maintenance fees and provide hash board operation services to customers. The company was founded in 2018 and operates mining facilities in the United States, Paraguay, and Norway, serving both individual and institutional clients.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, crypto investor and YouTuber Lark Davis stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that although Bitcoin is consolidating in the $80,000 range, the next major cycle is just around the corner. He cited about a dozen on-chain technical indicators, including record whale accumulation and the two-week MACD, to determine that the market bottom has formed at $57,000.Davis believes we are still in the early stages of a new bull market, with opportunities in both Bitcoin and altcoins. He pointed out that Bitcoin dominates the inflow of ETF funds and mentioned the perspective of observing the market by the proportion of ETF inflow relative to market capitalization; he also discussed whether the "four-year cycle has failed," drawing an analogy with the development of gold ETFs to illustrate how ETFs are changing the market structure of Bitcoin.He described this bear market as the shortest and shallowest in history and discussed how traumatic bear market experiences make it difficult for investors to believe that the market will improve. Additionally, he mentioned the regulatory outlook for the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserves and the Clarity Act, believing that if Bitcoin reserves are written into law, it would add legitimacy to them.

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Amy Oldenburg, head of Morgan Stanley's digital asset-related business, stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that the investment logic of Bitcoin as "digital gold" is "quite sound." However, she hopes to see Bitcoin's trading performance align more closely with gold, rather than being highly correlated with technology-related risk assets. She mentioned that factors such as the correlation between Bitcoin and gold, demand for stablecoins, concerns about quantum computing, artificial intelligence, and inflation are all influencing the market's demand for Bitcoin.She also stated that she would not define Bitcoin's prospects based on a single day's market performance or a specific inflation data point. The interview also covered topics such as the application of stablecoins and USDT on the Bitcoin network, the client composition of Morgan Stanley's spot Bitcoin ETF, the pathways for clients to transfer self-held Bitcoin into ETF shares, and borrowing against Bitcoin ETFs and spot Bitcoin as collateral.In addition, Oldenburg introduced how Morgan Stanley assesses quantum risks and discussed how asset tokenization could change various asset classes, as well as the role of Morgan Stanley's Digital Asset Lab and AI agents in the future "agent economy."

CryptoQuant analyst MorenoDV_ published an analysis indicating that the realized market cap of new whales in Bitcoin is $78.61 billion, while old whales stand at $159.15 billion. New whales account for 33.06%, compared to about 18% earlier in 2026.Since September, the realized market cap of new whales has continued to grow, while old whales have remained relatively stable, with the growth primarily coming from new whales. The realized market cap is calculated based on the price at the last on-chain transfer of the tokens and does not represent the proportion of BTC supply.In terms of cost, the overall cost basis of new whales has decreased from a previous high of around $110,000 to about $68,000 at the end of August, before rebounding to around $77,000. The current BTC price is $82,134, which is approximately 6.7% higher than the cost basis of new whales.The analysis suggests that the data shows large holders buying during the downturn and continuing to accumulate as prices rebound. However, the turnover of the holder group and transfers between addresses can also inflate the realized market cap, so the growth in realized market cap cannot be interpreted as an equivalent influx of new funds. If BTC continues to fall below around $77,000, new whales will incur losses again, increasing the likelihood of selling during a rebound. The inflow to exchanges and realized losses can be used to determine whether this is short-term pressure or if large holders are starting to sell off again.

According to The Bitcoin Historian, Charles Schwab, which manages approximately $13 trillion in assets, has announced that all customers can now directly purchase Bitcoin within their accounts, involving over 40 million U.S. users.In April, Charles Schwab announced the launch of its spot crypto trading service Schwab Crypto, which will be rolled out in phases, supporting BTC and ETH trading, with a fee of 0.75% per transaction, provided by Paxos for sub-custody and trade execution. This service is currently not available to residents of New York and Louisiana.

According to CoinDesk, Paul Atkins, the chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), issued a statement on October 13, approving the rule change submitted by Cboe Global Markets. This change allows binary options linked to the key performance indicators (KPI) of 23 publicly listed companies in the United States. The metrics related to the cryptocurrency industry include: trading volume of Coinbase (COIN), number of customers and revenue of Robinhood (HOOD), and Bitcoin production of MARA Holdings (MARA).These contracts are cash-settled, European-style options that can only be exercised at expiration. The settlement data is derived from documents submitted by the companies to the SEC, rather than from earnings presentation materials. Cboe plans to launch these contracts this month, and Robinhood is expected to be the first brokerage to offer this product to retail investors. However, trading will not begin until the clearing agency Cboe Clear U.S. obtains temporary registration, and another related application is still under review.

According to a report by Reuters, the Russian government press office announced that Finance Minister Anton Siluanov, Energy Minister Sergei Tsivilev, and First Deputy Prime Minister Denis Manturov have joined the board of directors of the Russian payment company A7. In the context of Western sanctions affecting traditional banking channels, A7's role in maintaining trade relations between Russia and partners such as China is expanding.A7 was established in 2024 by the Russian bank PSB, which primarily serves the defense sector, to provide cross-border transaction settlement services for Russian enterprises. Due to Western sanctions, traditional banks have difficulty processing many payments related to Russia, especially trade payments with Russia's largest trading partner, China. A7 estimates that currently, up to 80% of Russia's foreign trade payments are completed through alternative channels.A7 has been subjected to multiple Western sanctions. The U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on it on October 1, stating that it has established a global network of affiliated companies that "disguises payments related to sanctioned industries and individuals as ordinary business activities." A7 uses the ruble stablecoin A7A5 for settlements. This token was launched in 2025 in Kyrgyzstan and is backed by ruble deposits held at PSB Bank. According to PSB's estimates, the cumulative transaction volume of A7A5 has reached approximately $14 billion.

According to CoinDesk, nine cryptocurrency companies announced the establishment of a Quantum Alliance on Thursday, planning to develop universal security standards for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other blockchain networks to address the threats posed by future quantum computers.The alliance estimates that about 6.4 million Bitcoins, or 30.2% of the supply, have their public keys exposed, and future quantum computers could reverse-engineer wallet public keys to recover private keys and steal assets. The alliance explained that since no quantum computer currently has sufficient computing power, these Bitcoins cannot be stolen in this manner for the time being. Members include Hacken, Midnight Foundation under Charles Hoskinson, the quantum-resistant layer one blockchain Quantus, and Postquant Labs.There are significant differences in the industry regarding when the quantum threat will arrive. Bryn Bennett, Chief Revenue Officer of The Vault, stated that no one knows the exact date, but estimates are continuously being revised downward, and this risk can be planned for in advance. The question for custodians is not whether the threat will appear in 2028 or 2035, but whether they can complete the migration if it arrives earlier.Richard Carback, Chief Technology Officer of Postquant Labs, believes that it is realistic for machines capable of breaking existing cryptography to emerge by 2028. Recent research has lowered the estimates of the computing power required to attack Bitcoin and Ethereum, but currently, no existing machines can break their cryptography, and related predictions remain controversial.The question of whether to freeze vulnerable Bitcoins has also sparked debate. Bennett pointed out that no one is responsible for this issue; custodians only protect client assets, not abandoned assets. Freezing tokens is a governance decision of the Bitcoin network, and any freeze would set a precedent of exchanging quantum risk for property rights and neutrality. Carback prefers to transfer vulnerable tokens and suggested placing them in a trust, allowing holders who can prove ownership to reclaim their funds.Binance founder Changpeng Zhao once suggested that if quantum technology advances and Satoshi Nakamoto's approximately 1.1 million Bitcoins remain untouched, they should be frozen; Bitcoin developer Jameson Lopp also proposed limiting vulnerable tokens to prevent theft, but critics argue that freezing someone else's Bitcoins contradicts the promise that no one can confiscate Bitcoins. Achieving quantum resistance requires replacing the digital signatures that authorize transactions, which necessitates consensus among developers, miners, wallet service providers, exchanges, and users. The new signatures may also occupy more block space, increasing transaction fees or reducing the number of transactions Bitcoin can process.

The Japanese yen stablecoin issuer JPYC posted on the X platform that the issuance processing of JPYC on the Polygon network experienced delays starting around 14:00. The related issues have now been resolved, and the backlog of issuance applications is being processed in order.JPYC emphasized that the JPYC issuance services on other networks and all redemption processing across networks were not affected by this incident.

According to the CoinShares market report, the U.S. September CPI rose by 0.6% month-on-month and 3.7% year-on-year, exceeding the market expectation of 3.6%. Gasoline prices increased by 9.1% for the month, accounting for about half of the overall increase. The core CPI rose by 0.3% month-on-month and 2.6% year-on-year. During the same period, U.S. September retail sales grew by 0.8% month-on-month, higher than the expected approximately 0.3%, with August data revised up to 1.3%. However, retail sales excluding gasoline only grew by 0.2%, lower than August's 1%.The report pointed out that inflation remains high, and economic demand also remains resilient, leading the market to reprice the Federal Reserve's policy in a hawkish manner, causing Bitcoin and the overall digital asset market to decline. Data shows that since the CPI was released, market sentiment has significantly weakened, with global digital asset investment products seeing an outflow of $434 million so far this week. Regarding interest rate expectations, as of October 15, Polymarket data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates at the October meeting is about 75%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is about 25%. After the CPI release, the futures market clearly shifted to a hawkish stance, with expectations for another rate hike within the year rising significantly.

On Thursday, Rockstar released the trailer for the launch of "GTA 6," in which an airplane's fuselage is printed with the words "DacityCoin AudaCity," and a character ignites a neon pink flare on the wing. The term "Dacity Coin" appears for only about two seconds but triggers a surge in on-chain transactions. Within an hour of the trailer's release, a meme coin of the same name on Solana skyrocketed 2900% from a market value of $104,000, reaching a peak of $3.18 million. Since the token was created five days before the trailer was released, traders had ample time to buy in before the surge.The birth of this token stems from game footage of "GTA 6" leaked by the notorious Rockstar hacker "Cyberleek," which featured Dacity Coin, though only a few traders noticed at the time. The coin launched on October 11 on the Solana new listing platform Pump.fun, with its market value briefly soaring to $1.14 million, then falling back to $144,700 and consolidating until it surged again on Thursday. According to DEX Screener data, 24 traders made over $10,000 in profit on this token, with the highest earner turning $1,912 into $44,000. Currently, Dacity's market value is $1.5 million, down about 53% from its peak of $3.18 million.According to the GTA wiki, the game's protagonist, Lucia, is asked to promote the AudaCity brand with parachuting stunts and attract investment for Dacity Coin. If true, the game seems to satirize the various extreme performances that meme coin creators have conducted over the years to promote their tokens. There have been precedents for similar situations: in February 2025, "Fortnite" introduced a fictional cryptocurrency called Dill Bits, after which a real token of the same name appeared on Solana, peaking at a market value of $4.78 million before plummeting 96%; in April of the same year, Epic Games CEO Tim Sweeney called it a scam, after which the coin surged 2700% and then dropped 82% within days. Rockstar has yet to respond regarding Dacity Coin.

According to the market information platform Liquid247.xyz, the Hyperliquid address 0x2fd1cb...603e took a long position on BTC with 288.649 coins, with a nominal value of 23.6715 million USD.At the time of publication, BTC was reported at 82,008 USD.

Cryptocurrency analyst Axel Adler Jr stated that short-term holders currently hold approximately 4.08 million Bitcoins, the highest since mid-June. This is an increase of about 422,000 since the low on July 29, representing a growth of about 12%. In the first two weeks of October, there was an increase of about 154,000, and in the past week, an increase of about 48,000. He noted that new buyers mostly entered the market in the range of approximately $82,000 to $86,000.As of now, the average cost for short-term holders is about $74,900, with unrealized profit buffer narrowing from about 16% to around 10%. Axel Adler Jr mentioned that $74,900 is the breakeven point for this group, and prices have consistently remained above this cost since August 20. If it falls below this cost, the group will collectively enter into unrealized losses, or increase selling pressure.