Goldman Sachs warns that the trade war may undermine efforts to combat inflation, with the U.S. inflation rate potentially reaching nearly 4% before Christmas
ChainCatcher news, according to Jinshi reports, Goldman Sachs warns that Trump's global trade war could undo much of the progress made in the fight against inflation. In a report to clients on Wednesday, Goldman Sachs stated that due to the harmful combination of high tariffs and a weakening dollar, key inflation indicators are expected to surge in the coming months. The core inflation rate (excluding food and energy) is currently expected to accelerate from 2.6% in March to 3.8% in December, based on the Fed's preferred PCE price index.Goldman Sachs believes that the upward pressure on prices is much greater than the Fed's prediction in March, when the U.S. had not yet announced the largest tariffs. The Fed expects the core PCE inflation rate to be 2.8% in December. Worse still, Goldman Sachs anticipates that the core goods inflation rate will soar from 0.4% in March to 6.3% in December. By December, prices for used cars (+8.3%), household appliances (+7.8%), video/audio/computers (+7.7%), jewelry/watches (+5.9%), and pharmaceuticals/medical (+7.8%) are expected to rise significantly.