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According to Bitcoin Magazine, Galaxy Research has lowered the probability of the passage of the CLARITY Act in 2026 from 60% three weeks ago to 50%, due to the increasingly tight Senate schedule, the lack of a published merged text for the bill, no scheduled votes, and no public commitment from leadership. The bill has been listed as item 423 on the legislative calendar since it passed the Senate Banking Committee on May 14 with a vote of 15-9, but no motion to advance it has been scheduled to date.The report indicates that the Senate must announce a schedule by early July to complete voting before the August recess; otherwise, it will be postponed until September, when the upcoming midterm elections will make controversial votes harder to arrange. Priority legislation such as FISA Section 702 and the NDAA occupies a significant amount of time, and Trump's veto of the housing bill further exacerbates scheduling pressures.The substantive content of the bill has not yet been fully resolved, and ethical provisions remain a core controversy, with at least two Republican senators expected to vote against it, making Democratic support essential. The report suggests that if leadership clarifies a commitment to vote in July within the next two weeks, the probability of passage will rise to 60% or higher; if there is continued lack of progress, it will be further lowered.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Dota 2 Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine European Qualifiers" on the prediction market Polymarket, the winning probability of the sub-market "First Kill of the Second Game" for the option "Nigma Galaxy" has experienced significant fluctuations, rising from 55.5% an hour ago to the current 74.95% (a fluctuation of 19.45%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to a report by crypto.news, Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz stated that the core reason for Bitcoin's recent decline is the "collapse of confidence triggered by Strategy." The issue lies not only in the price of Bitcoin itself but also in the growing concerns in the market regarding Strategy's financing model.As the largest publicly traded holder of Bitcoin globally, Strategy's stock and preferred securities have become key indicators for traders to measure Bitcoin market risk. Previously, the company's Bitcoin flywheel effect had come under pressure, with stock trading prices dipping below the value of its Bitcoin holdings, indicating that its long-reliant "premium stock issuance to repurchase Bitcoin" model is being challenged. Novogratz bluntly stated that STRC trading is weak, which should have been maintained around $100. Currently, Strategy's annual dividend obligation has risen to about $1.2 billion, and a decline in cash reserves has reduced the dividend coverage period to only about 14 months.Bitcoin is also facing pressure on a macro level. Novogratz summarized the current market logic as "a strong dollar means a weak Bitcoin," with hawkish central bank signals and a strengthening dollar suppressing demand for risk assets. From a technical perspective, the $59,000 to $60,000 range for Bitcoin has become a critical defense line, and if it breaks down, the downward space could open up to $45,000.Novogratz also admitted that the current situation is complex, with a 50-50 probability of a rebound or a deep correction. Outflows from ETF funds, weak liquidity, and cautious positioning in the options market further confirm the fragile market sentiment. Now, the health of Strategy's balance sheet, the performance of STRC prices, and cash positions have evolved from being company-level issues to becoming confidence signals for the overall Bitcoin market.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY has briefly dropped by more than ten points, currently reported at 101.06.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - International Europe Closed Qualifiers Playoffs," the sub-market "Ends During the Day" option's win rate has experienced significant fluctuations, soaring from 49.5% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY has dropped more than ten points in the short term, currently reported at 101.64.

According to BBX data, yesterday two leading publicly listed companies in the cryptocurrency sector completed key historical matters and strategic upgrades. The core updates are as follows:Hut 8 Corp. (Nasdaq: $HUT) officially disclosed on June 23 that the company agreed to pay investors $2.35 million in cash to settle a securities class action lawsuit arising from the merger with U.S. Bitcoin Corp (USBTC) in 2023. The case is being handled by the U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York, with the plaintiffs being investors who held Hut 8 securities from February 13, 2023, to January 18, 2024. The core allegation is that the company significantly omitted disclosures regarding infrastructure issues at its King Mountain Texas Bitcoin mine (including energy limitations and network connectivity failures) during the merger process, constituting substantial misrepresentation to investors. The trigger for this case was a report released by short-selling firm J Capital Research on January 18, 2024, which questioned the company, leading to a single-day drop of over 23% in Hut 8's stock price. The $2.35 million settlement amount represents approximately 19.6% of the plaintiffs' estimated maximum recoverable damages of $12.08 million, exceeding the historical median settlement ratio for similar cases involving only Securities Act claims; the settlement is still subject to final court approval, and Hut 8 denies any wrongdoing or legal liability. This settlement eliminates the last significant historical legal uncertainty in the company's AI/HPC data center transformation narrative, allowing the valuation logic for the timely delivery of its River Bend ($7 billion contract) and Beacon Point ($9.8 billion contract) dual campuses within the year to unfold against a cleaner balance sheet backdrop.Galaxy Digital Inc. (Nasdaq: $GLXY) announced on June 23 a strategic investment in Digital Prime Technologies (a securities lending technology platform), with specific financial terms not disclosed. This investment builds on Galaxy's existing role as a participant in the Tokenet platform—Tokenet is developed in collaboration between Digital Prime Technologies and institutional securities lending infrastructure provider EquiLend, set to officially launch in May 2026, aiming to bring mature workflows, risk control mechanisms, and full lifecycle management systems from the institutional securities lending sector into the digital asset lending market. By upgrading from a platform participant to an equity investor, Galaxy directly ties the operation of the Tokenet platform to its own institutional lending and trading business, forming a triple synergy of "product + balance sheet + equity." This move is highly consistent with Galaxy's overall business strategy: based on the stable cash flow foundation provided by the CoreWeave 15-year AI data center lease (Phase 1 133MW delivered in April), it aims to deepen its institutional digital asset lending infrastructure layout, further reducing reliance on the single Beta of Bitcoin prices—on the same day, Galaxy was also listed in institutional research reports as one of the few cryptocurrency concept stocks capable of maintaining business resilience during Bitcoin price downturns, with its diversified layout seen as a core reason for being relatively decoupled from pure BTC price exposure.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere - International Europe Closed Qualifiers Playoffs," the "Yes" option in the sub-market "Both teams defeat Roshan" has seen a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 50% an hour ago to the current 90% (a fluctuation of 40%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY has briefly dropped by about 15 points, currently reported at 100.97.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin, seen as a "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the Dollar Index from a 13-month trading range. Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure.Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range. Analysts point out that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it typically triggers trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a clear negative correlation between Bitcoin and the Dollar Index, with a stronger dollar usually exerting pressure on dollar-denominated risk assets. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has strengthened the logic of dollar support and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

Bitcoin, seen as the "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the DXY from a 13-month trading range.Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure. Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range.Analysis indicates that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it will typically trigger trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a clear negative correlation between Bitcoin and the US Dollar Index; a stronger dollar usually suppresses risk assets priced in dollars. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has reinforced the logic of dollar support and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

According to Onchain Lens monitoring, Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes, 0x795d...5eA0) deposited 6,000 ETH into FalconX and Galaxy Digital, worth 10.14 million USD.

According to Gate market data, the US dollar index DXY rose more than 0.5% during the day, currently reported at 100.89.

According to CoinDesk, Bitcoin, seen as the "rival" to the US Dollar Index (DXY), is facing ongoing pressure as the market focuses on the imminent breakout of the Dollar Index from a 13-month trading range.Data shows that Bitcoin has weakened for the third consecutive trading day, hovering around $63,900, with the overall cryptocurrency market also under pressure. Meanwhile, the DXY rose 0.26% to 100.66, continuing the previous trading day's increase of 0.8%, and is nearing the edge of a key breakout range.Analysis indicates that if this structural breakout is confirmed, it typically triggers trend-following funds to further boost the dollar's performance. Historical data shows a significant negative correlation between Bitcoin and the Dollar Index, with a stronger dollar usually exerting pressure on dollar-denominated risk assets. The market believes that the Fed's hawkish stance has reinforced the logic supporting the dollar and may further drive funds towards safe-haven assets and dollar-denominated assets.

According to the official announcement, Galaxy Ventures has announced the lead investment of $15 million in the Series A funding round for the high-end credit card startup Karta. This funding is part of Karta's total fundraising plan of $140 million, which also includes a $125 million credit line provided by Community Investment Management (CIM).It is reported that Karta is dedicated to providing high-quality credit card products issued in the United States for high-net-worth (HNW) individuals globally. The platform combines stablecoin infrastructure with artificial intelligence technology, breaking the reliance on traditional FICO scores. By collaborating with over 80 large private banks and brokerages worldwide (such as Raymond James, Itau, etc.), it offers unsecured credit underwriting based on users' verified assets at these institutions. Additionally, the credit card provides zero foreign exchange fees and a 24/7 AI-native concierge service based on WhatsApp.Data shows that Karta's revenue and payment transaction volume achieved over tenfold growth in 2025 and continued to record a fourfold quarter-on-quarter growth in the first quarter of 2026.

According to official news, Tether's local AI development platform QVAC has launched SDK 0.13.0, which adds local integration for OpenCode and coding proxies, improves compatibility with OpenAI's API, and supports one-click packaging of Mac, Windows, and Linux desktop applications through an Electron plugin.

According to Gate market data, the US Dollar Index DXY has declined, with an intraday drop of 0.15%.

According to Cointelegraph, the latest research from Galaxy Digital indicates that due to a lack of speculative activity, the Bitcoin cycle low may occur at higher price levels than in previous bear markets. The analysis suggests that the potential bottom is between $62,000 and the actual Bitcoin price of $53,600.Galaxy's research director Alex Thorn analyzed each top and bottom of the Bitcoin cycle and noted that the four-year cycle is closely related to Bitcoin's historical trends. The decline from peak to trough has steadily narrowed across market cycles, decreasing from early drops of 85% and 84% to 77% in 2022 and 51% in 2026. The current top signal for October 2025 is weak, with only 2 out of 11 traditional top indicators signaling, while the widely watched Pi Cycle Top indicator has failed to trigger for the first time.The market capitalization to realized value ratio (MVRV) for Bitcoin peaked at 2.29, while this ratio ranged from 2.93 to 5.91 in previous cycles. The report also found that several key bottom signals are still missing. Currently, only 4 out of 13 indicators have been triggered, and most stronger signals have yet to appear. Thorn pointed out that based on the current cost price of $53,600, Galaxy estimates the fundamental bottom range to be between $40,000 and $46,000. A more severe "washout" scenario points to $30,000 to $37,000, while a more gradual decline may maintain around $51,000 to $54,000.

According to a report by Galaxy Research, the four-year cycle pattern of Bitcoin remains effective, but the volatility of each cycle is narrowing.The report points out that the peak-to-trough declines in the cycles of 2013, 2017, and 2021 were 85%, 84%, and 77% respectively, while the maximum drawdown in this cycle from the peak in October 2025 to now is only 51%.Due to the relatively mild peak in this cycle, Galaxy believes that the bottom of this cycle will also be relatively shallow, with the baseline scenario expected to be in the range of $40,000 to $46,000, potentially before the fourth quarter of 2026.The report emphasizes that only 8 months have passed since the peak, which is far less than the 12-13 months typically required for the formation of a historical cycle bottom, and most cycle bottom signals have not yet appeared, indicating that the bottom of this cycle has not yet formed.