strategy

Bitcoin Treasuries.NET posted on platform X that the amount of Bitcoin currently held by Strategy MSTR is 1.3 times the total amount held by all governments worldwide.

Galaxy Research Director Alex Thorn stated that the capital management adjustments announced by Strategy on Monday mark an important turning point. In the weeks prior, the "digital credit" system of Strategy's preferred shares faced pressure, with the preferred share STRC falling below its $100 par value and hitting a historical low of $71.25 on June 26, leading the market to question how the company would pay the increasingly high preferred share dividends.Strategy subsequently announced a new digital credit capital framework, including a board-approved dollar reserve policy, a revised STRC dividend policy, a $1 billion preferred securities repurchase authorization, a $1 billion MSTR common stock repurchase authorization, and a BTC monetization plan. At the same time, the board raised the annual dividend rate of STRC from 11.5% to 12%, applicable to semi-monthly dividends for record dates on or after July 1. Following the announcement, MSTR rose 12.6% to about $92.70 on Monday, while STRC increased by 12.2% to about $83.70.Thorn believes that Strategy's approach is wise, but it may not permanently resolve structural issues. The company still has a large preferred share system and ongoing payment obligations, and it will face $6.7 billion in convertible bonds maturing in 2027 and 2028. The market is not truly concerned about Strategy's lack of assets, but rather whether it has sufficient dollar liquidity to pay dividends without harming BTC holders, MSTR common stock shareholders, or preferred shareholders. By raising over $1 billion in cash through the sale of common stock, setting a minimum cash reserve policy for 12 months, and increasing the current cash coverage ratio to about 17 months, Strategy has bought itself time.The most controversial aspect is the BTC monetization plan, which seems to clearly indicate that Strategy may sell BTC from time to time. Thorn does not want to see Strategy sell Bitcoin, as the company's identity and the MSTR premium are built on its narrative as a long-term BTC exposure tool, and selling BTC would undermine that story.However, he also believes that if selling a small amount of BTC can prevent a disorderly spiral in the capital structure, protect preferred shares, and wait for a better market environment, this path can be justified. Strategy should explore how to generate income from its BTC assets without directly selling spot BTC, including conservatively lending a small amount of isolated BTC or using options strategies to capture volatility gains.

Strategy Investor Relations Director Chaitanya Jain stated that STRC is gradually recovering after a brief fluctuation.He mentioned that the company's goal is to maintain STRC's long-term trading price in the range of $99 to $100, and it will support this through variable dividend rates, continuous increases in dollar reserves, improving Bitcoin ratings, removing convertible bonds, implementing stock buybacks, and functional upgrades.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) reiterated its support for a regulatory strategy of "containment and a tendency to prohibit" regarding crypto assets in a document submitted to the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance, stating that "prohibition" remains one of the policy options recognized by the international regulatory framework. The RBI suggested that banks and other regulated financial institutions should not hold, trade, or provide exposure to crypto assets and privately issued stablecoins to avoid potential contagion risks to the financial system.The RBI stated that implementing traditional financial regulation on crypto assets could mislead the market, granting "legitimacy" to speculative assets that lack actual economic value and creating a false sense of security for users. The RBI also warned that the widespread use of stablecoins could undermine India's monetary sovereignty, weaken the transmission mechanism of monetary policy, disrupt the payment system, and pose risks to financial stability. Therefore, it recommended prioritizing the development of sovereign digital payment infrastructure such as Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). Additionally, the RBI questioned the relevant rankings claiming "India is the country with the highest global crypto adoption rate," arguing that the data from private blockchain analytics firms has methodological flaws. It pointed out that there are currently 54 crypto service providers registered with the FIU in India, with approximately 39.3 million users who have completed KYC verification holding crypto assets worth about 20.437 billion rupees. It should be clearly distinguished between speculative crypto assets and the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) such as government bonds and corporate bonds to avoid impacting the innovation of financial asset tokenization.

Bitwise Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan published an analysis of the volatility of STRC under Strategy (MSTR). He believes that Strategy currently holds approximately $49.6 billion in Bitcoin and $2.6 billion in cash, with asset size far exceeding debt and preferred stock obligations, posing no liquidation risk. The company's newly launched digital credit capital framework allows it to flexibly sell Bitcoin to pay dividends based on market conditions, no longer forcing the maintenance of STRC at a par value of $100.Hougan emphasized that Strategy has been the world's largest Bitcoin buyer and a source of one-way demand over the past few years, but this situation is likely coming to an end. In the future, Strategy will flexibly buy or sell Bitcoin based on market conditions, but will not become a large-scale seller (with limited mandatory sales each year). If Bitcoin prices rebound, it may still become a net buyer. Overall, the importance of Strategy in the next cycle will be lower than in the previous cycle.He believes that the volatility of STRC reflects the process of deleveraging in the market, which is a typical characteristic at the end of a bull market. As these mismatched funds are squeezed out, the market bottom is forming, and a new bull market is expected to begin this fall.

JPMorgan analysts stated that Michael Saylor's Strategy recently officially launched a Bitcoin selling policy, transforming the company from a pure BTC buyer into a potential seller, introducing "avoidable two-way risk" to the crypto market. Strategy's Bitcoin selling policy is called the BTC Monetization Program, allowing the company to sell Bitcoin to raise up to $1.25 billion in cash reserves for paying preferred stock dividends and interest expenses, or for repurchasing preferred stock and common stock to optimize its capital structure.JPMorgan believes that if Strategy may sell BTC in the future, it will increase market uncertainty and volatility regarding Bitcoin prices. Analysts noted that if the company instead supplemented future dividend payment reserves through equity issuance, this risk could have been avoided. Strategy currently has a minimum cash reserve target set to cover 12 months of preferred stock dividends and interest expenses, with the current $2.55 billion cash reserve approximately covering 17 months of dividends. JPMorgan believes the company should increase its cash reserves to cover 24 to 36 months of related obligations, even if this may lead to common stock trading at a discount to net asset value, it would reassure investors that the company will not be forced to sell Bitcoin in the short term.

Citigroup has lowered the target price for Strategy from $260 to $136, but maintains a buy rating. The firm has reduced its 12-month Bitcoin price forecast to $81,800, citing lower expected returns for Bitcoin.Citigroup stated that the updated capital plan for Strategy enhances liquidity and should provide the company with more time for stability.

NextGen Venture (NDV) founder Jason Huang stated that the institution had previously successfully issued an early warning about the pullback risk of Strategy (MSTR), and is currently taking the opposite action by starting to include Circle (CRCL) on the watchlist, looking for opportunities amid pressured market sentiment.

Coinbase's Chief Strategy Officer John D'Agostino stated in an interview with CNBC that over 40 countries have committed to buying Bitcoin in some form for their national balance sheets or other arrangements.He mentioned that there is a significant amount of new institutional interest in this asset class every day; while external markets may still be waiting for a major event or clear catalyst, from within the industry, Bitcoin adoption is steadily increasing.

Founder of Strategy, Michael Saylor, made his first public statement after the release of the digital credit capital framework: "Stronger credit, stronger equity, more Bitcoin." Michael Saylor's declaration seems to provide a motivational explanation for the launch of the digital credit capital framework, which aims to ultimately achieve a strategic logic of holding more Bitcoin by strengthening the credit and equity structure.

According to The Block, Benchmark Equity Research maintains a Buy rating on Strategy and reiterates a target price of $570. This target price still has about a 515% upside compared to Strategy's closing price of $92.68 on Monday.Analyst Mark Palmer stated in the report that the digital credit capital framework launched by Strategy allows it to actively manage both ends of its capital structure according to market conditions, including repurchasing common and preferred stock when necessary, selling Bitcoin to meet obligations, and pausing additional issuances when the stock price is not at a premium.Palmer believes that this framework marks a shift for Strategy from previously issuing securities in a one-way manner to actively managing capital in both directions. He stated, "This is a significant positive for shareholders."The report also pointed out that this framework addresses market concerns about dilution and enhances flexibility through a structured repurchase plan. Palmer also believes that the authorization to sell up to $1.25 billion worth of Bitcoin is negligible compared to Strategy's reserve of approximately 847,000 BTC.

Bitget VIP Research stated in this week's report that the current market price of STRC is $75 (a discount of 25%), corresponding to a yield of approximately 16%. The Bitget USDT financing rate is 2.56%, with a spread of about 13 percentage points, and the annualized net yield of 1x revolving loan reaches 28.1%. Bitget Reality supports the full process of rSTRC same-account revolving loans without the need for cross-platform operations, with unified risk control and real-time monitoring of LTV.On Monday during U.S. stock market hours, Strategy (MSTR) announced that it would raise the annual dividend yield of STRC to 12% (effective from July 1) and establish two repurchase plans of $1 billion each (with STRC as a priority repurchase target), authorizing the sale of up to $1.25 billion in BTC to ensure priority payment of preferred stock dividends; as of June 28, the company held a total of 847,363 BTC and had a cash reserve balance of $2.55 billion. June 30 is the ex-dividend date, and holding rSTRC will entitle holders to the current dividend (of $0.48 per share, payable on July 15).

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on June 29, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $14.65 million, a decrease of 83% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) did not purchase Bitcoin last week. At the same time, Strategy announced two securities repurchase plans, each up to $1 billion, targeting Class A common stock and digital credit preferred stock led by STRC, with an annual dividend yield of 8% to 10%, aiming to optimize the capital structure without consuming existing dollar reserves. To fund the aforementioned repurchases and support daily capital expenditures, the board also approved a Bitcoin liquidation plan, allowing the company to generate up to $1.25 billion in additional revenue by selling Bitcoin to replenish dollar reserves, and to pay maturing preferred stock dividends and interest expenses (or to replenish dollar reserves after such payments) when management deems it more beneficial than issuing Class A common stock or other capital market transactions, as well as to provide additional funding support for the two repurchase plans (including related taxes and transaction fees). Although this move by MicroStrategy releases the liquidation authorization, it currently serves only as a reserve shield for repurchases, with actual "momentum not sold"; its core logic has shifted from the initial "aggressive expansion of the balance sheet" to the refined operational phase of "utilizing crypto assets to optimize equity capital structure and reduce the capital cost generated by high-yield stocks."The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week, marking ten consecutive weeks without purchases.In addition, two other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Hong Kong's global digital health, consumer goods sales, and artificial intelligence computing power technology group CIMG announced that it has just completed the first phase of a large stock and warrant issuance, receiving $13.5 million paid in Bitcoin (207.7 Bitcoins at an average price of $65,000), bringing its total holdings to 937.7 Bitcoins; Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on June 29 that it invested $4.9 million to purchase 74 Bitcoins at a price of $66,233, bringing its total holdings to 3,896 Bitcoins.As of the time of writing, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,142,484 Bitcoins, an increase of 0.02% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $6.852 billion, accounting for 5.7% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 2x leveraged long MicroStrategy ETFs ($MSTX, $MSTU) have both fallen about 82% this year; another 2x leveraged product $MSTP has also dropped 81%.During the same period, MicroStrategy ($MSTR) itself has decreased by 46% this year, with a single-week drop of 27% last week. As a result, $MSTX, $MSTU, and $MSTP nearly halved last week.The report points out that the leveraged MicroStrategy ETFs launched in 2024 (both long and short) have seen declines of over 90% since their launch, despite billions of dollars flowing in previously, but the leverage effect is significantly amplifying the losses.Note: Leveraged ETFs typically use a daily reset mechanism, aiming to achieve an integer multiple of the underlying's daily price changes. In highly volatile markets, even if the underlying has an overall increase or decrease over a period, frequent price fluctuations can cause the compounding effect to lead to actual performance deviating from the expected multiple, continuously eroding the net asset value. This is known as "volatility decay" (also referred to as Beta Slippage).

Regarding the digital credit capital framework announced by Strategy, the Ethereum treasury company BitMine (NYSE: BMNR) commented that this framework consolidates the structural relationship between capital markets and Bitcoin, which should enhance investor confidence in the Strategy approach.BitMine believes that investor concerns typically only arise during Bitcoin downturns; if the Bitcoin price were at $100,000, few would question the strategy. Therefore, Strategy needs to prove that it has enough capital to withstand downturn cycles; raising the capital buffer to over 26 months is a wise move. According to its calculations, since 2009, with a rolling period of 36 months, the probability of negative returns for Bitcoin is less than 0.8%, and a reserve size of 26 months is sufficient for Strategy to safely navigate such fluctuations.

According to the 8-K document submitted to the SEC by Strategy, the company announced the launch of a digital credit capital framework, which includes five core components: dollar reserve policy, adjustment of STRC dividend policy, preferred stock repurchase plan, common stock repurchase plan, and BTC monetization plan.Under the dollar reserve policy, the reserve can only be used to pay preferred stock dividends and debt interest, and management must maintain a reserve sufficient to cover expected dividends and interest expenses for at least the next 12 months. As of June 28, the dollar reserve balance was $2.55 billion.Regarding the STRC dividend, the company will dynamically assess the dividend rate on a monthly basis, considering factors such as trading price, market yield, credit spread, and Bitcoin price volatility, and will not increase the dividend solely because the STRC trading price is below par value. The company also announced an increase in the annualized dividend rate for STRC to 12% from the previous level, effective July 1.In terms of the repurchase plan, the company has established two repurchase authorizations of $1 billion each, to repurchase preferred stocks such as STRC, STRF, STRD, STRK, and Class A common stock, with STRC being the primary target of the preferred stock repurchase plan. Neither of the repurchase plans will utilize dollar reserve funds.In addition, the company's board of directors has authorized the BTC monetization plan, allowing the company to raise up to $1.25 billion by selling Bitcoin, to supplement the dollar reserve, pay preferred stock dividends and interest expenses, or fund the aforementioned repurchase plans.

According to The Bitcoin Historian (@pete_rizzo_), the $2 billion lending giant Ledn has removed cryptocurrencies from all its products and fully shifted to a pure Bitcoin strategy. Ledn stated that this adjustment is a strategic transformation aimed at aligning with the core principles of Bitcoin.