strategy

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event of "MicroStrategy selling Bitcoin" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 31, 2026" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 11.5% an hour ago to the current 72.2% (a fluctuation of 60.7%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on June 1, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $9.85 million, a decrease of 43.33% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) sold 32 Bitcoins last week at a price of $77,135, generating approximately $2.5 million, reducing its total holdings to 843,706 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase any Bitcoin last week.In addition, four other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Ethereum asset company Bitmine announced on May 26 that it bought 1 Bitcoin, without disclosing the specific purchase amount, bringing its total holdings to 203 Bitcoins; Japanese food brand DayDayCook announced on May 27 that it spent approximately $10.37 million to purchase 131 Bitcoins at a price of $79,135, increasing its total holdings to 2,714 Bitcoins; UK Bitcoin company The Smarter Web Company announced on May 26 that it invested $750,000 to purchase 10 Bitcoins at a price of $74,904, and on May 29 announced an investment of $660,000 to purchase 9 Bitcoins at a price of $73,437, bringing its total holdings to 2,878 Bitcoins; French Bitcoin company Capital B announced on June 1 that it invested $300,000 to purchase 4 Bitcoins at a price of $74,890.10, increasing its total holdings to 3,139 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the global listed companies (excluding mining companies) in the statistics is 1,114,182 Bitcoins, an increase of 0.01% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $80.46 billion, accounting for 5.6% of the circulating market value of Bitcoin.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale sold $56,977.37 in a single transaction on "May 31, 2026" during the "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin" event. Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 70.5%.

According to the 8-K document submitted by Strategy to the SEC, the company sold 32 bitcoins at an average price of $77,135 from May 26 to 31, totaling approximately $2.5 million, with the proceeds used to pay preferred stock dividends.During the same period, the company sold 801,994 shares of MSTR common stock through the ATM program, raising approximately $128.3 million.As of May 31, 2026, Strategy held a total of 843,706 bitcoins, with a total holding cost of approximately $63.87 billion, at an average price of about $75,699.

Michael Saylor, the founder of Bitcoin treasury company Strategy, has once again released information related to the Bitcoin Tracker.According to previous patterns, Strategy always discloses information about increasing Bitcoin holdings on the second day after relevant news is released.

The probability of "Selling Bitcoin before May 31" on Polymarket has dropped to 23%, a 17% decrease in 24 hours. Additionally, the probability of selling before June 30 is 67%, a 6% decrease in 24 hours; the probability of selling before December 31 is 88%, a 3% decrease in 24 hours. Today, Strategy withdrew 411 BTC from Coinbase, the same amount that was deposited the previous day, suspected to dispel rumors of selling coins.According to market news, Odaily Seer’s prophet channel continues to pay attention to the prediction market, noticing changes before pricing.

On-chain data shows that Strategy has transferred back 411 BTC previously moved to Coinbase Prime to its own address, and market speculation about its sale of Bitcoin has cooled down.

According to Cointelegraph, Arca Chief Investment Officer Jeff Dorman stated that Strategy's current approximately $15 billion preferred stock financing structure has become "unmanageable." He pointed out that these preferred stocks require about $1.5 billion in dividends each year, and with the ongoing volatility in Bitcoin prices, this structure is becoming increasingly difficult to maintain.Strategy's financing model is based on the premise that "BTC will continue to rise significantly." Although the company previously alleviated short-term default risks by issuing additional shares, its decision to repurchase bonds maturing in 2029 is perplexing. He indicated that Strategy may ultimately have only two options: sell BTC to pay preferred stock dividends or stop paying dividends, both of which would have significant impacts on the company and investors.Meanwhile, Strategy CEO Phong Le stated in an interview with CNBC that the company "may sell Bitcoin" at some point in the future, but overall will continue to increase its BTC holdings and enhance the amount of BTC corresponding to each share.Polymarket data shows that the market now estimates the probability of Strategy selling some BTC by the end of 2026 has risen to about 90%. As of now, Strategy holds a total of 843,738 BTC, with a total cost of approximately $63.87 billion and an average purchase price of about $75,700.

According to CoinDesk, Strategy perpetual preferred stock STRC (Stretch) fell to a low of $97.11 on Thursday, then rebounded to $98.57, failing to maintain the par value of $100. The pressure on STRC mainly comes from Bitcoin's drop to around $73,000, compounded by the effects of the ex-dividend date.Recently, Strategy spent $1.5 billion to repurchase zero-coupon convertible bonds maturing in 2029, causing cash reserves to plummet from about $2.25 billion to $871 million. Based on an annual preferred stock dividend obligation of about $1.7 billion, the current cash can only cover about 6 months, far below the previously set target of 24 months. Executive Chairman Michael Saylor stated that the company will raise funds by selling Bitcoin, issuing additional shares when MSTR's stock price exceeds 1.22 times NAV, or continuing to issue STRC.Meanwhile, competitor Strive Asset Management's perpetual preferred stock SATA continues to anchor at a par value of $100, offering about a 13% dividend yield, and plans to launch a daily dividend mechanism, having completely eliminated debt. Over the past three months, Strive's stock price has increased by about 110%, significantly outperforming MSTR's 12% increase and Bitcoin's 8% increase.

According to BBX data, yesterday there was a structural differentiation in the Bitcoin treasury strategies of globally listed companies and large asset management entities, with the core dynamics as follows:Cardone Capital increases holdings on dips: Grant Cardone, CEO of the well-established American real estate investment and asset management giant Cardone Capital, officially posted on social platform X announcing that the company has increased its holdings by 130 BTC during the recent market correction. He emphasized that as a strategic asset reserve against inflation, the company will continue to utilize cash flow to allocate Bitcoin spot on dips.Sequans liquidates 80% of holdings to repay debts: Sequans Communications S.A. (NYSE: $SQNS) released an official announcement on Thursday, stating that it has successfully redeemed all debts related to its Bitcoin treasury by liquidating approximately 80% of its Bitcoin holdings, marking its official exit from the previous cryptocurrency asset treasury strategy. Currently, the company holds only 658 BTC and is completely debt-free, with future focus shifting back to its core business in IoT and cellular semiconductors.

The probability of selling Bitcoin on Polymarket's Strategy has surged this week, rising from a low of 11% today to 30%. This morning, Strategy deposited 411.48 BTC into Coinbase, worth $30,300,000.

Strategy CEO Phong Le stated in an interview with Fox Business that the company purchased $1.6 billion in Bitcoin during the second week of May, which is more than the total holdings of most Bitcoin treasury companies in a week.Phong Le mentioned that the current Bitcoin price is attractive, and the company will continue to buy Bitcoin. Although there may be short-term sales of some Bitcoin due to reasons such as utilizing unrealized tax losses, the long-term strategy is to continuously net increase Bitcoin holdings and focus on enhancing the number of Bitcoin per share.He views Bitcoin as "digital capital," believing it is superior to traditional stocks, bonds, and gold, and emphasized that the company will pass Bitcoin earnings to shareholders, similar to the operating model of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs).

According to Globenewswire, the publicly listed Bitcoin treasury company Genius Group announced that its board has approved the expansion of the company's treasury strategy, adding an AI treasury to the existing Bitcoin treasury and launching the AGI Infinity Portfolio. The initial target investment scale is set at $100 million, with a five-year goal to expand to $800 million. The first phase, approximately $20 million, will be allocated through related funds to equity in unlisted AI companies such as OpenAI, SpaceX, Anthropic, Figure AI, Databricks, Anduril, Replit, and Shield AI. The remaining $80 million is planned to be invested in industries such as electricity, computing power, hyperscale cloud, cutting-edge models, and robotics.

Bitcoin Treasuries.NET posted on platform X that Michael Saylor from Strategy stated that the annualized operating rate of STRC reached 24 billion dollars, which alone buys 2 to 3 times the Bitcoin output of miners. Strategy has purchased 11 billion dollars in BTC so far this year, with a buying speed that has reached 2 times the output speed of miners.

According to the official announcement from Strategy, Strategy has completed the repurchase of $1.5 billion of 2029 convertible bonds at a discount of approximately 8%, generating an additional 0.7% BTC Yield, and the company's total debt has been reduced to $6.7 billion. From the beginning of 2026 to now, Strategy has achieved a 13.3% BTC Yield, with BTC gains reaching 89,378 coins, valued at approximately $6.8 billion. As of May 25, 2026, the company holds a total of 843,738 BTC, with a total purchase cost of approximately $63.87 billion, at an average price of about $75,700 per coin.

Virtus Investment, which manages assets totaling $154 billion, has increased its position in Stretch (STRC) under the Bitcoin treasury company Strategy to 402,880 shares, valued at $40 million.

Hyperbot data shows that the newly opened Ethereum long positions on the Strategy counterparty were all liquidated this morning, and the 40x leveraged Bitcoin short positions were partially liquidated and reduced. Currently, only 8.332 BTC is held, and the overall position has turned from profit to loss, with the current return on investment at -73.05%.