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SOL $84.99 +0.06%
TRX $0.3562 +0.06%
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ADA $0.2514 +0.01%
BCH $381.23 -1.25%
LINK $9.68 +1.45%
HYPE $47.53 +4.20%
AAVE $88.92 +0.16%
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strategy

Analysis: The potential agreement between the US and Iran, along with Strategy's increased investment in Bitcoin, may drive Bitcoin back above $80,000

Cryptocurrency analyst Marcel Pechman stated that after Bitcoin's failure to break above $82,000, it faced selling pressure and is once again testing the $76,000 level. In four days, the scale of long position liquidations reached $400 million, with prices dropping about 7% from recent highs. Nevertheless, analysts believe that the conditions for Bitcoin to return to $80,000 are accumulating, with three potential catalysts worth noting.First, Strategy (MSTR) invested $2 billion in Bitcoin over the past week, providing effective support amid market pressure. At the same time, the company repurchased $1.5 billion of convertible bonds maturing in 2029, and repaying part of its senior debt in advance helps reduce future dilution risks for existing MSTR shareholders, creating space for subsequent new stock issuance and continued Bitcoin purchases.Second, on a macro level, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond rose to 4.6%, a 16-month high, as investor confidence gradually shifts towards scarce assets. In 2026, $2 trillion in long-term debt will mature, and the Federal Reserve may need to continue purchasing bonds, which will further weaken the dollar's attractiveness. Gold saw a significant rise this January but has since given back most of its gains, while Bitcoin rebounded from $65,000 to $76,500 during the same period, indicating an increasing recognition of its safe-haven properties in the market.Third, if the situation in Iran sees a turnaround, risk appetite is expected to recover quickly. On Monday, Brent crude oil prices rose to $113, with negotiations in the Strait of Hormuz experiencing fluctuations; since the U.S. and Israel launched attacks on Iran in late February, oil prices have cumulatively risen over 50%. If an agreement is reached between the U.S. and Iran, a drop in energy prices will alleviate inflationary pressures, and Bitcoin is expected to return above $80,000. Currently, U.S. stocks are close to historical highs, while Bitcoin is still down about 39% from its peak.

Data: The net purchase of BTC by listed companies in a single week has strongly rebounded to 2.03 billion USD, an increase of over 44 times compared to last week

According to SoSoValue data, as of 8 AM Eastern Time on May 18, 2026, the total net purchase of Bitcoin by global listed companies (excluding mining companies) for the week was $2.03 billion, an increase of 4,403.11% compared to last week.Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) announced an investment of $2.01 billion (an increase of 4,574.4% compared to last week) to purchase 24,869 Bitcoins at a price of $80,985, bringing the total holdings to 843,738 Bitcoins.The Japanese listed company Metaplanet did not purchase Bitcoin last week.In addition, four other companies purchased Bitcoin last week. Asset management company Strive announced on May 12 that it bought 9 Bitcoins, without disclosing the specific amount spent, bringing its total holdings to 15,009 Bitcoins; the UK Bitcoin company The Smarter Web Company announced on May 12 and May 15 that it invested $2.84 million to purchase 25 Bitcoins at a price of $81,592.67 and 10 Bitcoins at a price of $79,662, bringing its total holdings to 2,840 Bitcoins; the French Bitcoin company Capital B announced on May 18 that it invested $15.02 million to purchase 192 Bitcoins at a price of $78,205.4, bringing its total holdings to 3,135 Bitcoins; the Brazilian Bitcoin company OrangeBTC announced on May 18 that it invested $390,900 to purchase 5 Bitcoins at a price of $78,180, bringing its total holdings to 3,737 Bitcoins.As of the time of publication, the total amount of Bitcoin held by the listed companies worldwide (excluding mining companies) is 1,113,841 Bitcoins, an increase of 2.37% compared to last week, with a current market value of approximately $86.16 billion, accounting for 5.6% of Bitcoin's circulating market value.

Strategy increased purchases of 535 BTC, bringing total holdings to 818,869 BTC. Morgan Stanley MSBT recorded zero net redemptions in the first month of trading

According to BBX data, this week (as of May 12), Bitcoin corporate reserves continue to expand, and institutional-level ETF product monthly performance data has been released. The core dynamics are as follows:Strategy, Inc. (NASDAQ: $MSTR) submitted Form 8-K to the SEC on May 11, disclosing that the company purchased an additional 535 BTC, totaling approximately $43 million, with an average price of about $80,340; as of May 11, the total holdings increased to 818,869 BTC, with a total acquisition cost of approximately $61.86 billion (average price $75,540), and a BTC yield of 9.4% since the beginning of 2026. Of the funds used for this round of purchases, $42.9 million came from MSTR ATM equity financing, and $1 million came from the STRC preferred stock program; this purchase of 535 BTC is significantly lower than last month's peak (an increase of 34,164 BTC in the week of April 13-19), but it still maintains the purchase after the company's Q1 financial report hinted at the possibility of selling BTC to pay dividends, thereby endorsing the "firm holding" position with actual actions.Morgan Stanley (NYSE: $MS) launched the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust (NYSE Arca: $MSBT) on April 8. According to a report by CryptoSlate on May 10, $MSBT recorded zero net redemptions in its first full trading month after launch, with assets under management maintaining positive growth from the first day; meanwhile, the overall U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has recorded net positive inflows for six consecutive weeks, with a cumulative net inflow of $2.44 billion in April, and daily average inflows continuing to be positive since May. $MSBT entered the market with a management fee rate of 0.14%, making it the lowest fee Bitcoin spot ETF currently available; the zero net redemption data for the first month marks the establishment of preliminary stable demand for this product among Morgan Stanley's wealth management client network, interpreted by institutional analysts as an early signal of large-scale access to the Bitcoin ETF ecosystem through traditional wealth management channels.

TON Strategy announced Q1 financial report: Pre-tax net loss reached 91 million USD, holding over 220 million TON

TON Strategy Company (Nasdaq: TONX) announced its Q1 2026 financial report, stating that the company currently holds approximately 221.9 million Toncoin, which accounts for about 4.29% of the total TON supply according to Tonstat data, with approximately 221.2 million already used for staking.The company indicated that its staking infrastructure currently accounts for about 26.18% of the total staking scale on the TON network. As of March 31, 2026, the fair value of the company's TON holdings was approximately $27.2 million. The financial report showed that the company earned about 2.2 million TON through staking in Q1, generating approximately $3 million in staking revenue; total revenue was $5.3 million, with a gross profit of about $4 million.However, due to the volatility of the TON coin price, the company recorded an unrealized loss of approximately $87.9 million in cryptocurrency assets for the quarter, with a pre-tax net loss of $91 million. As of the end of Q1, the company held approximately $35 million in cash and restricted cash, with no debt on the balance sheet.TON Strategy also stated that after the TON network completed a significant performance upgrade in April 2026, the network's staking yield increased from 0.34% in March to 1.39% in April, annualized to approximately 16.7%.In addition, the company mentioned that as Telegram continues to promote the development of the TON ecosystem and the overall market strengthens, as of May 6, 2026, the fair value of its 221.9 million TON holdings has risen to approximately $433.3 million.New CEO Kevin Wilson stated that the company's goal is to become "the core platform providing transparent TON exposure for institutional investors in the U.S. public market," emphasizing the long-term potential of TON in Telegram, payments, development tools, and AI Agent scenarios.

Delphi Digital analyzes the marginal changes in the Bitcoin financing model strategy, with STRC becoming a key expansion engine but risks rising simultaneously

The cryptocurrency research institution Delphi Digital released the latest report "How Far Can Saylor Stretch It," which systematically analyzes the Bitcoin (BTC) funding expansion mechanism of Strategy, pointing out that its financing structure is transitioning from "low-cost accumulation" to the "diminishing marginal efficiency" stage. The report shows that in the current asset accumulation system centered around Bitcoin, STRC has become the core financing tool for Strategy's continuous purchase of BTC. Initially, it relied on a significant premium in MSTR's stock price (mNAV far exceeding BTC's net value) to achieve a positive cycle of "issuance leads to accumulation," but as the valuation has fallen back to about 1.24 times the EV-based mNAV, the BTC per share enhancement effect from common stock issuance is nearing breakeven.At the same time, while convertible bond tools have played an important role historically, they have accumulated about $8.2 billion in principal and will face concentrated repayment pressure after September 2027, putting long-term sustainability of the financing structure under pressure. STRC provides a continuous financing source for Strategy by offering approximately 11.5% annualized monthly dividends to income-oriented investors, to maintain the pace of BTC purchases. However, this mechanism also introduces ongoing cash flow obligations, meaning that each round of financing increases BTC assets while simultaneously accumulating future dividend burdens.The report emphasizes key risk scenarios: if BTC prices remain stagnant and MSTR's premium fails to recover, then the "STRC financing purchase gain" may be gradually offset by "common stock dilution and dividend obligations." Although the company's approximately $2.25 billion cash reserves can cover about $1 billion in redemption pressure in 2027, larger-scale debt and dividend structures in 2028 still need to be addressed. Additionally, the current authorized issuance limit of about $28.3 billion for STRC becomes a critical constraint point. Once the limit is reached, the ability to purchase new BTC may slow down, but existing dividend obligations will continue to exist, thus altering the overall BTC per share dynamic growth path.
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