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strc

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Analysis: STRC breaking below par value has sparked market controversy, and the Strategy Bitcoin financing flywheel is facing a test

According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has dropped about 40% since Strategy launched the Bitcoin financing tool STRC. STRC has fallen below the $100 par value, sparking discussions in the market about the sustainability of Michael Saylor's Bitcoin "flywheel" model. Strategy currently holds over 846,000 BTC, but the recent buying pace has noticeably slowed. Data shows that the company increased its holdings by 1,550 BTC worth approximately $101 million in the week ending June 8; in the week ending June 15, it added another 1,587 BTC worth about $100 million. In contrast, in April 2026, it bought 34,164 BTC in a single week, amounting to $2.54 billion, indicating a significant decrease in recent capital inflows.Meanwhile, Strategy previously sold 32 BTC to meet dividend obligations. Although this amount is small compared to its overall holdings, the market believes this indicates that when STRC's financing efficiency declines, the company's cash flow pressure may increase. STRC was originally designed as a preferred stock tool trading close to the $100 par value, attracting investors through dividend adjustments and helping Strategy raise funds to purchase Bitcoin. Currently, the STRC price has fallen to a historical low, having once dropped to $82.53, and then closed at $88.59, about 13% below par value. Critics argue that the STRC price falling below par value means that Strategy's financing channels are under pressure.Long-time Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff described STRC as "like a typical centralized Ponzi structure," believing that the model relies on continuous financing or selling Bitcoin to maintain operations. Crypto trader DonAlt also questioned STRC's recent performance, stating that its trading behavior resembles a "Ponzi structure." However, some analysts believe that the decline in STRC is more due to leveraged liquidations rather than a deterioration in Strategy's fundamentals. STRC had previously maintained a price around $99 to $100, attracting investors to use leveraged trading, and the price falling below this critical level triggered forced liquidations, exacerbating the decline.Analyst Scott Melker pointed out that STRC's current yield has actually increased due to the discount. Since dividends are calculated based on a $100 liquidation preference, if the STRC price is $90, the 11.5% annualized dividend corresponds to an actual yield of about 12.8%; if the price drops to $85, the yield could exceed 13%. Strategy is expected to announce the next STRC dividend adjustment on June 30. The market is currently focused on whether STRC's discount will persist and whether Strategy's model of relying on capital markets for financing to continue increasing BTC holdings can remain stable.

STRC Breaks Below Par Value Timeline Review: From Bond Repurchase to the Chain Reaction of BTC Decline

According to CoinDesk, the dividend-paying preferred stock STRC issued by Bitcoin treasury company Strategy recently fell below its par value of $100, sparking discussions in the market about its capital structure and solvency. Key timeline events are as follows:May 14: STRC closed at $100 before the ex-dividend date, while the price of Bitcoin remained above $80,000, but market pressure was already evident. During the same period, Strive Asset Management announced that its competing product SATA would adopt a daily dividend mechanism, increasing its yield to 13%, further intensifying competitive pressure on STRC.May 15: Strategy announced a buyback of $1.5 billion of 2029 convertible bonds at approximately an 8% discount. The market then noted that the company's dollar cash reserves used for dividends and debt support were utilized for this transaction.May 26: Strategy confirmed that cash reserves participated in the bond buyback, reducing the fund size to approximately $871 million, which only covers about 6 months of STRC dividend payments, whereas the company's previous target was to maintain coverage for about 24 months.June 1: Strategy sold Bitcoin for the first time since 2022, selling 32 BTC to demonstrate its ability to support dividend payments through asset sales. Following the announcement, MSTR's stock price fell by 5.9%.June 5: Bitcoin fell below $60,000, and STRC dropped to around $90.June 8: Strategy shareholders approved changing STRC to pay dividends twice a month, while the company disclosed that dollar reserves had risen to $1 billion.June 15: Strategy repurchased 1,587 BTC, increasing dollar reserves to $1.1 billion.June 18: STRC fell below $83 during intraday trading, about 17% lower than the target price, marking a new low since its listing in July 2025, ultimately closing at $88.59.Analysis suggests that the core challenge facing STRC lies in its high-yield preferred stock structure being highly correlated with the Bitcoin cycle. In a Bitcoin bear market environment, investors are not only reassessing BTC itself but also beginning to reevaluate the financial products and capital systems built around Bitcoin.
2026-06-20

Strive CEO: The significant fluctuations of STRC and SATA today are due to leveraged liquidations, not a deterioration in underlying credit

Strive CEO Matt Cole stated that today is the most difficult day in the history of digital credit. STRC rebounded significantly after hitting a low of $82.5 during the trading session, while SATA recovered after dropping to just over $90 near its par value, with many investors experiencing a tough trading day. Matt Cole indicated that what occurred today was a leveraged liquidation event, not a deterioration in underlying credit quality.He pointed out that when investors find a certain type of asset with a high yield, relatively low volatility, and strong underlying credit characteristics, they often increase returns through borrowing and leveraging. However, once the market moves in the opposite direction, forced selling can trigger a cycle of price declines, margin calls, and further selling, causing the sell-off to detach from fundamentals and driven by balance sheet constraints. He emphasized that the issuer's credit quality remains robust. Strive's dividend reserves are intact, the company is not under pressure, and it still has the ability to meet obligations and continue executing its strategy.He also mentioned that both STRC and SATA saw significant buying near their intraday lows and quickly recovered, indicating that there is actual demand in the lower price range. Matt Cole stated that liquidation events are not the same as credit events. Today's price fluctuations did not change his confidence in the long-term opportunities in digital credit; instead, it reinforced his view that the sector is building a new category of financial instruments and will experience similar growing pains before maturing into a large fixed income market.

Grayscale: Bitcoin may enter a recovery period in the coming months, but forming a sustainable bottom still requires new buying support

Grayscale's research director Zach Pandl stated that after Strategy disclosed the sale of 32 BTC on June 1, it triggered a new round of volatility in the BTC market. He pointed out that the scale of the sale itself is not important, as Strategy still holds approximately 840,000 BTC on its balance sheet, valued at about $5.5 billion. However, as one of the largest digital asset treasury managers in the world, its strategic shift puts pressure on market sentiment.Pandl believes that more importantly, the recent volatility affects the price of Strategy's variable rate preferred stock tool STRC. STRC is designed to maintain a price of about $100 per share, with a current dividend yield of 11.5%. If the stock price falls below $100, it means investors are demanding a higher return. Strategy can increase dividends, but this will increase future cash flow obligations and may lead to more BTC sales, further suppressing BTC prices. Strategy's leveraged business model is under pressure, increasing volatility across the entire BTC market.At the current levels of STRC and MSTR stock prices, Grayscale believes that Strategy's ability to continue accumulating more BTC is limited. However, Grayscale believes that in the long term, reducing the BTC on the leveraged digital asset treasury balance sheet and allowing more BTC to be distributed across diversified corporate balance sheets will benefit the health of the Bitcoin ecosystem. But before a sustainable bottom for BTC prices is formed, other buyers need to enter the market. Grayscale expects BTC prices to recover in the coming months, but in the short term, BTC's performance may lag behind other segments of the crypto market that directly benefit from regulatory clarity.
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