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first_img Evan Conrad: Most AI startups cannot purchase computing power

Evan Conrad published an article on October 22 titled "The end of startups," with the subtitle "The coming credit crunch." Evan Conrad stated that within the next six months, most AI startups will be unable to purchase computing power, as global computing power is sold out. To obtain capacity, new clusters need to be contracted, and it is becoming increasingly difficult for non-investment-grade entities to secure online capacity.Evan Conrad mentioned that startups are not investment-grade, thus they are required to pay larger upfront payments. He has seen cases where 100% of the contract amount is required to be prepaid, as lenders and cloud providers are unwilling to take on additional credit risk. He believes that investment-grade tenants are scarce, and due to leveraging and selling to non-investment-grade token buyers, their ratings are downgraded, which he refers to as a credit bottleneck. He anticipates that investment-grade GPU buyers will increasingly demand that token buyers themselves be investment-grade or pay large upfront deposits.In the article, he provides an example where, at the time of writing, B300 could be purchased for $6 per hour and then sold for approximately $30 per hour for inference. He expects GPU prices to rise, and the gross margin for inference layers to decline, making it harder for clients with poor credit to obtain tokens. He proposed that lenders treat GPU clusters as collateral and stated that the physical delivery forward market SF Compute could allow lenders to use GPU hours on a liquidity book as collateral, rather than relying on a single service provider's cluster.

first_img Toto Finance plans to apply for 22 million ADA from the Cardano treasury to purchase tokenized copper

Toto Finance, a company that converts physical goods into blockchain tokens, has submitted a governance proposal to the Cardano community, seeking to withdraw 22 million ADA (approximately 5 million USD) from the Cardano treasury to establish a "Cardano Strategic Copper Reserve." Voting will close on November 15. The proposal plans to purchase and tokenize copper that meets COMEX standards, with the token CuTT representing each pound of verified physical copper.According to the proposal, about two-thirds of the budget will be used to purchase exchange-grade copper from COMEX-certified warehouses near New Orleans, while the remaining one-third will cover storage, insurance, auditing, oversight, and Toto's operational costs. If the full budget is spent and the ADA to USD price remains unchanged, copper prices would need to rise by approximately 49.4% to recover the treasury investment. The proposal assumes a purchase price of $6.73 per pound and a selling price of approximately $10.06, with plans to hold for 18 to 24 months and sell in the following year, with net profits and unused funds required to be returned to the treasury before the 36th month.Monty Metzger, founder and chairman of Toto, stated that copper has significant upside potential, with an optimistic scenario predicting an annualized increase of about 30%, approximately 69% over 24 months, which could cover the 49.4% breakeven point, but commodity prices could also decline. Toto retains its commercial rights to the CuTT business for separate financing and hopes to scale the tokenized copper asset to $5 billion. The withdrawal limit of 500 million ADA from Cardano will last until around July 2027, and as of October 16, 457.4 million ADA has been used, with this proposal consuming more than half of the remaining quota.

JPMorgan Chase: The technology sector still has a surplus of 400 billion dollars this year

J.P. Morgan's latest report states that publicly listed technology companies worldwide are expected to generate approximately $2.2 trillion in operating cash flow this year, with capital expenditures and R&D expenditures totaling about $1.8 trillion. After deductions, there remains a surplus of about $400 billion, sufficient to support current AI infrastructure investments without relying on external financing.In response to market concerns regarding the sustainability of financing models for new cloud vendors, J.P. Morgan believes that their scale is still relatively limited compared to the entire technology sector. Even if financing comes under pressure, it is unlikely to shake the overall AI investment cycle. The report estimates that new cloud vendors will have operating cash flow of about $30 billion this year, with capital expenditures and R&D expenditures around $80 billion. If there is a funding gap, more financially robust hyperscale cloud service providers can still take on the related demand.J.P. Morgan also pointed out that part of the current financing demand in the technology sector stems from large-scale stock buybacks. Companies can release funds by reducing buybacks to maintain AI investments. The overall stock position in the market has retreated from the mid-September peak, and trend-following investors' long positions in semiconductors have also been largely digested. The bank believes that the short-term downward space in the market is gradually narrowing.

first_img Pump.fun Co-founder Alon: Self-developed cross-chain bridge has been launched, purchase error rate has decreased by 92%

The co-founder and Chief Operating Officer Alon of the meme coin issuance platform Pump.fun stated that the team had previously focused on launch pads for a long time and only began supporting cross-chain exchanges about 5 months ago. After investigating the cross-chain service provider Relay used at that time, he noted that over one-ninth of cross-chain purchases on Relay encountered errors, with typical purchase landing times close to 4 seconds, and one-tenth exceeding 7 seconds. The number of tokens users received was usually less than expected. He also mentioned that the social trading application FOMO still relies on Relay.Alon stated that the self-developed cross-chain bridge Pump Bridge has been opened to all Pump.fun application users. Compared to Relay, the purchase landing speed has improved by 2 times, and the error rate has decreased by 92%, dropping from over one-ninth to less than one percent. Users can obtain more tokens on average with the same amount of funds, and currently, no additional cross-chain fees are charged. He mentioned that due to the limitations of light speed and target chain confirmation time, the theoretical fastest landing time for purchases is about 1.1 seconds, and the team is still working to reduce the remaining gap.The above comparison comes from random tests conducted in the Pump.fun mobile application from September 28 to October 7, covering Robinhood, BSC, Base, Arc, and Ink, excluding Ethereum, with a total of 416,669 transaction results recorded. Among them, 383,326 transactions recorded the time taken from click to successful prompt, and an additional 35,333 transactions of completed USDC purchases under $500 were used for comparison. Alon also stated that the platform fee rate is 0.45%, with Callout rewards of at least $300,000 daily, totaling about $20 million over two months, and the platform does not retain platform fees.
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