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Zhao Changpeng: Bitcoin itself will not weaken or strengthen government power; it depends on how the government responds

Zhao Changpeng stated at the "Bitcoin Asia 2026" conference in Hong Kong that Bitcoin itself does not weaken or strengthen government power; what truly matters is the choices made by the government. Historically, weak governments have sometimes led to better economic performance. For example, the U.S. government is relatively weak, yet it has created one of the strongest economies in the world; after the current SEC chairman relinquished some regulatory power, the industry actually experienced growth, while former chairman Gary Gensler's attempts to control everything stifled industry growth.He mentioned that Bitcoin, as a decentralized technology, allows individuals to have more sovereignty, but its privacy design has flaws, and on-chain transactions can be easily tracked; governments can choose whether to utilize these characteristics. For instance, declaring Bitcoin ownership illegal or imposing a 36% tax on every transaction would stifle industry development. The government may seem to have significant power, but a zero tax rate still results in zero revenue, while taxing a trillion-dollar market at 6% would yield substantial income.He also noted that most governments have relatively recognized Bitcoin, but many countries still lack a regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. Among government officials, those who understand Bitcoin remain a minority, and in some countries, the older generation's dominance leads to a more conservative attitude. However, he does feel that a shift is occurring, despite some still holding the biased view that Bitcoin is primarily used by drug lords.

CZ: Hong Kong and Web3 are a powerful combination, RWA will become a major direction

CZ stated at the offline "Binance Life" book club meeting in Hong Kong that Hong Kong, as a financial center, has unique advantages in the flow of fintech talent, mainland talent, and institutional connections. Although it is not outstanding in infrastructure such as electricity and data centers, its competitiveness in the Web3 financial sector is evident. He believes that the current AI hype will not hinder the long-term development of Web3, and individuals should choose directions that interest them, that they are capable of, and that hold value; Hong Kong and Web3 are indeed a strong combination. Besides Hong Kong, he is also optimistic about Dubai and Abu Dhabi in the UAE, as well as the United States after its policy shift to support the crypto industry.CZ mentioned that the development speed of RWA has significantly exceeded his previous expectations, especially in terms of securities on-chain. Traditional stocks are limited by account opening thresholds, trading hours, and geographical restrictions. Once assets are on-chain, they can be directly accessible to global investors, significantly enhancing accessibility and liquidity, making them more attractive to countries and companies with smaller securities market sizes. RWA will be an important development direction moving forward, and stablecoins are essentially a type of RWA that brings fiat currency onto the chain. Currently, the market is mainly dominated by USD stablecoins, and in the future, more countries may promote their national currencies to be on-chain to expand their global circulation.He also stated that DEX has gradually evolved over the past eight years from products like Uniswap and PancakeSwap to Hyperliquid, with both infrastructure and user awareness significantly maturing. According to his current understanding, the regulatory pressure from the U.S. on decentralized products has eased compared to the past, and clearer separation models are beginning to appear between international platforms and those targeting U.S. users, with some international platforms not necessarily requiring comprehensive KYC. If the policy environment continues to relax, the development speed of DEX and the entire crypto industry may significantly accelerate in the coming years.

SemiAnalysis Founder: By 2028, most of the new AI computing power will belong to two companies

In the latest podcast, SemiAnalysis founder Dylan Patel predicts that by 2028, OpenAI and Anthropic may account for 70% to 80% of the world's new AI computing power, with the total computing power scale potentially exceeding 100GW. Patel stated that the two companies currently account for about 30% of the world's annual new computing power, and this proportion is still rising rapidly.Patel pointed out that the business model of leading AI laboratories is changing, with a significant increase in the efficiency of AI computing power output. Currently, Anthropic's revenue per megawatt of computing power has reached about $50 million and may further rise to $100 million. This allows OpenAI and Anthropic to procure or lease computing power at high prices ranging from $25 million to $50 million per megawatt.Patel expects that global AI-related capital expenditures will reach about $11 trillion from 2024 to 2029, with over $5 trillion needing to be financed through debt. Due to the potential return on investment of AI infrastructure being far higher than that of traditional industries, tech giants may accept higher financing costs, thereby pushing up overall credit rates and squeezing the valuations of traditional assets and highly leveraged economies. Additionally, Patel believes that the new computing power may not primarily be used for providing model inference services externally, but may instead flow more towards internal research and development and self-improvement of models within AI laboratories.
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