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Benchmark maintains a "Buy" rating on Metaplanet, but lowers the target price by more than 50%

According to The Block, Benchmark maintains a "buy" rating on Metaplanet but has lowered its target price by more than half, stating that the company's latest financial report highlights the "prospects and risks" of its aggressive Bitcoin accumulation strategy.Benchmark analyst Mark Palmer, in a research report on Tuesday, reduced the target price for the Tokyo-listed Bitcoin reserve company from 2,400 yen to 1,100 yen. He wrote that recent performance shows the "hope and danger" of the company's Bitcoin-centric financial strategy. The stock is traded under the OTC code MTPLF in the U.S., currently priced at about $2.20, having briefly fallen to around $1.85 earlier this month, close to its lowest level since the company began its Bitcoin purchasing strategy in April 2024.Metaplanet reported a net loss of $619 million for the fiscal year ending December 31, primarily due to non-cash valuation losses from its holdings caused by the decline in Bitcoin prices late last year. Nevertheless, its operational performance has significantly improved, with revenue and profits increasing due to Bitcoin-related financial services activities.A core pillar of Benchmark's investment logic is Metaplanet's continuously expanding Bitcoin revenue-generating business, which generates income through Bitcoin-related options and yield strategies. Analysts believe this segment allows the company to pay dividends on newly issued perpetual preferred shares without selling its core Bitcoin holdings, thereby funding subsequent BTC purchases through operating cash flow rather than asset sales.The company added that investor demand for these preferred instruments will likely determine whether Metaplanet can successfully continue to expand its financial reserves while controlling dilution risk.

Metaplanet Annual Report: Holding assets resulted in a loss of $665.8 million, but the balance sheet remains "robust."

The Bitcoin treasury company Metaplanet released its fiscal report for 2025 on Monday. As of December 31, the company recorded a net loss of 95 billion yen (approximately 619 million USD), compared to a net profit of 4.44 billion yen (approximately 28.9 million USD) in fiscal year 2024, marking a shift from profit to loss.The report indicated that this loss was primarily due to a valuation loss of 102.2 billion yen (approximately 665.8 million USD) on its held Bitcoin. The company classified this portion of the loss as a non-operating expense, stating that it had no impact on cash flow or operational activities.Despite the volatility in net profit, the company emphasized that its capital structure remains resilient. Metaplanet pointed out that its balance sheet is still "robust," and even with an "86% drop in Bitcoin prices," its liabilities and preferred stock can be fully covered, thanks to a high equity ratio of 90.7%.As of December 31, the company reported liabilities of 46.7 billion yen (approximately 304.2 million USD) and net assets of 458.5 billion yen (approximately 2.99 billion USD), with the value of its held Bitcoin at 481.5 billion yen (approximately 3.1 billion USD).The documents show that in terms of operations, Metaplanet's revenue for fiscal year 2025 reached 8.91 billion yen (approximately 58 million USD), a 738% increase from the previous year's 1.06 billion yen (approximately 6.9 million USD); meanwhile, operating profit surged from 350 million yen (approximately 2.28 million USD) to 6.29 billion yen (approximately 41 million USD), an increase of 1695%.The company stated that its Bitcoin-related business generated revenue of 8.47 billion yen (approximately 55.2 million USD) and operating income of 7.19 billion yen (approximately 46.8 million USD), with this growth primarily attributed to premium income from Bitcoin options trading.
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