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first_img Pantera Capital: Hyperliquid's potential addressable market daily trading volume is approximately $100 trillion, with regulation remaining the biggest risk

According to a post by the cryptocurrency venture capital fund Pantera Capital, Hyperliquid's potential addressable market size is approximately $100 trillion in nominal daily trading volume, which includes about $200 billion in 0DTE options and leveraged ETF trading, around $2 trillion in commodity derivatives trading, and approximately $8 trillion in foreign exchange derivatives trading, which is currently almost entirely off-chain.Pantera stated that if Hyperliquid can consistently capture a low single-digit share of the aforementioned comprehensive trading volume, its revenue potential could reach up to five times the current level. It is estimated that if the HIP-3 market is calculated at an annualized nominal trading volume of $36.5 trillion and captures a 1% market share, under the assumption of a 2 basis points comprehensive fee rate and a 50% Hyperliquid economic split, Hyperliquid could generate approximately $3.7 billion in revenue.However, Pantera also pointed out that regulation is the biggest risk facing Hyperliquid. Perpetual contracts are not yet fully open in the United States, and if the U.S. pushes for the legalization of related products and launches regulated platforms in the future, Hyperliquid may face more intense competition, and some U.S. user trading volume may also shift to compliant venues. Pantera also believes that Hyperliquid may eventually launch a regulated version for the U.S. market, similar to other platforms.

The State Duma of Russia has approved the final version of the cryptocurrency regulation bill, removing the requirement to mandatorily declare wallet addresses

According to Bits.media, the Financial Market Committee of the Russian State Duma has approved the final version of the government's cryptocurrency regulation bill, which will be submitted for a second reading. Committee Chairman Anatoly Aksakov revealed that the second reading version made several key adjustments: the requirement to mandatory declare cryptocurrency wallet addresses has been removed, and instead, only balances and transaction flows need to be declared to protect residents from the risk of sensitive information leakage; a new amendment allows for the legal purchase of securities in the securities market and Russian digital financial assets using cryptocurrency.In the future, it may be allowed for Russian licensed brokers and asset managers to trade on foreign cryptocurrency exchanges, but they must meet additional requirements such as the "friendliness" of the jurisdiction. For non-professional investors, the annual limit through a single intermediary is set at 300,000 rubles, and it is limited to "the most liquid cryptocurrencies." The bill also introduces a two-day freeze on large transfers to foreign and third parties. Aksakov did not clarify whether the proposal to prohibit Russians from using non-custodial cryptocurrency wallets would be retained.
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