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According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the event "When will Bitcoin reach $150,000?" is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching $1.836 billion. The option with the highest market consensus is "before December 31, 2026," corresponding to a winning probability of about 9.5%.

According to Jinshi News, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee stated that all interest rate options are on the table, and it is not just about cutting rates. At the end of April, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged, and three officials opposed the wording in the statement that suggested a possible rate cut next, arguing that the possibility of a rate hike should be retained. Goolsbee's remarks reflect a shift among Federal Reserve policymakers, mainly due to the inflationary pressures caused by the energy price shock resulting from the Iran war. He reiterated that both rate cuts and hikes are being considered and expressed concern about inflation, believing that there are price pressures beyond the energy shock.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB Governing Council member Nagel stated on Friday that due to the Iran war, the European Central Bank is "highly vigilant" about rising inflation risks and will take action as needed to prevent rising energy costs from spreading more broadly to prices. Nagel emphasized that although the medium-term impact of the conflict on inflation is "still difficult to assess," policymakers are prepared to respond to ensure that energy-driven price increases do not spread and become entrenched.

SoftBank Group is scaling back a financing plan that used OpenAI equity as collateral, which was originally intended to raise about $10 billion in margin loans, and is now likely to be reduced to around $6 billion.It is reported that some lenders have expressed concerns about the transaction structure and the reliability of OpenAI's valuation as a private company, which has become one of the key factors hindering the progress of the financing. The loan was initially designed to use the OpenAI equity held by SoftBank as collateral, with a term of two years that could be extended by one year, aimed at further expanding its investment layout in the field of artificial intelligence.

Glassnode pointed out that after Bitcoin broke through resistance and entered the $82,000-$83,000 range, market volatility has significantly rebounded. Options data shows that the implied volatility (IV) has rebounded sharply from the low in October 2025, with 1-week IV rising by 6 points, indicating a recovery in short-term options demand. The 25D skew continues to compress towards neutrality, with bearish hedge demand weakening.The volatility risk premium (VRP) has turned positive, and the future volatility priced in options is now higher than the realized volatility in the spot market. Additionally, there is a short-term gamma short cluster of nearly $2 billion around the $82,000 mark, and traders' hedging behavior may amplify the current price volatility.In the past 24 hours, selling call options accounted for 81% of trading flow, indicating that some traders are starting to cash in on gains, with overall positions leaning towards consolidation rather than panic hedging.

CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost tweeted that the Bitcoin market is still dominated by the futures market, with the recent bullish momentum mainly coming from investors gradually returning to the derivatives market. Although the funding rate has remained negative for several weeks, the open interest in Bitcoin has recorded its largest increase since 2026, surpassing the increase during the historical peak period of 2025.Darkfost pointed out that while this reflects a slow return of market optimism, it has also led to a more fragile market structure, where high leverage positions can easily amplify volatility and liquidation risks.

Bitcoin fell below the $80,000 mark this week, following a five-day streak of net inflows into spot ETFs, as the market's rebound momentum from February's lows showed signs of cooling. The U.S. April non-farm payroll data added 115,000 jobs, exceeding the expected 62,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.3%. Although the overall data was relatively strong, it did not significantly alleviate market concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty; instead, it reinforced expectations that "energy-driven inflation limits the space for interest rate cuts."In terms of capital flow, the spot Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of $277 million on Thursday, ending a previous cumulative inflow of $1.69 billion; the Ethereum ETF also recorded a net outflow of $104 million on the same day, indicating a short-term cooling of institutional risk appetite. On the geopolitical front, tensions between Iran and the U.S. have escalated again, prompting the market to reprice the risks in the Strait of Hormuz, leading to a rebound in oil prices, which partially offset the support that previous risk assets received from the decline in oil prices.The derivatives market shows a more long-term hawkish outlook, with interest rate futures pricing in over a 50% probability of rate hikes beyond 2027, suggesting that the easing cycle may be delayed until 2028. On-chain data indicates that the current rise in Bitcoin is primarily driven by institutional spot buying and short covering, with retail participation remaining relatively low, and funding rates maintaining a moderate level, resulting in a weak market momentum structure. Analysts believe that if retail funds do not return, BTC may still face the risk of testing the support range of $75,000 to $78,000.

Glassnode analysis indicates that Bitcoin has broken through key resistance, rising to $82,000 - $83,000, ending several weeks of narrow fluctuations, and market volatility has returned.Options data shows that the short-term 1-week implied volatility has rebounded by about 6 points, while long-term volatility remains moderate, and short-term trading demand has quickly recovered. In terms of sentiment and positioning, the 25 delta skew is converging towards neutral, with reduced demand for downside hedging; short-term outlook is slightly bearish, while long-term has turned bullish, with upward expectations being repriced. Structurally, implied volatility exceeds realized volatility, and the VRP has turned positive; there is a concentration zone of about $2 billion in "short gamma" around $82,000, which may amplify volatility. Over the past 24 hours, the proportion of call options sold is 81%, indicating that the market tends to consolidate.

According to Gate market data, on May 8, U.S. stocks opened with the Dow Jones up 0.38%, the S&P 500 index up 0.44%, and the Nasdaq up 0.54%. Storage concept stocks performed strongly, with Micron Technology up 5.5% and SanDisk up 4.5%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose 1.1%, with Baidu up 6%.

According to Jinshi reports, the CME "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until June is 94.9% (down from 96.9% before the announcement), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 5.1% (up from 3.1% before the announcement). By July, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 88.8% (down from 90.7% before the announcement), the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 25 basis points is 10.8% (up from 9.1% before the announcement), and the probability of a cumulative rate cut of 50 basis points is 0.4% (up from 0.2% before the announcement).

According to Gate market data, Nasdaq 100 index futures rose 1% before the market opened, and S&P 500 index futures rose 0.61%.

According to Jinshi reports, the seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls in the United States increased by 115,000 in April, a significant drop as expected, but higher than the market's expected increase of 62,000.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, on the prediction market Polymarket, the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" is currently among the hottest trades, with a cumulative pool size of 881 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "December 31," corresponding to a winning probability of about 73.5%.

Global leading cryptocurrency asset trading platform Gate announced that it will hold the "Gate x Inter XIII: Champion's Circle" offline event in Milan on May 21.This event coincides with Inter Milan Football Club securing the championship three rounds early in the 2025-26 Serie A season, successfully winning the club's 21st league trophy, while Gate also celebrates its thirteenth anniversary. As the official sleeve sponsor of Inter Milan, Gate witnesses the championship moment alongside the team, with its brand influence continuously rising in both the sports and Web3 industries.During this event, Gate will invite participants to the Inter Milan headquarters to closely view the trophy that symbolizes championship glory and experience the history and culture of a top-tier club. Legendary Inter Milan players will appear to share behind-the-scenes stories from the pitch and locker room, and there will be opportunities for photos and autograph interactions.At the same time, Gate's CMO will engage in a community development dialogue with Inter Milan executives, discussing topics such as global user growth, brand culture, and community operations. The event will also include a tasting session for the limited edition Gate x Inter Milan co-branded pizza. After the event, Gate will publicly release the co-branded pizza recipe to further extend community interaction and festive atmosphere.In addition, Gate's compliance progress in Europe is continuously advancing, with its Malta company Gate Technology Ltd having obtained European MiCA and PI licenses under the supervision of the Malta Financial Services Authority (MFSA), further strengthening its global compliance layout. Leveraging top-tier sports IP and the popularity of international events, Gate will continue to expand the boundaries of connection with mainstream culture.

According to Jinshi reports, Federal Reserve Governor Milan stated that interest rate cuts are the appropriate choice and pointed out that the Federal Reserve's policies have suppressed the job market.

Bitget launches VIP exclusive BTC wealth management, aimed at VIP users participating in UMXM PoolX from May 6, 18:00 to May 9, 18:00 (UTC+8). During the event, relevant users can go to the "Simple Earn" section to purchase BTC, enjoying up to 2% APR. The event period is from May 9, 18:00 to May 14, 18:00 (UTC+8).At the same time, Bitget will allocate a total of 100 NVDAON rewards to VIP users who meet specific trading thresholds based on the BTC deposit time, amount, and holding duration. For more details, please refer to the Bitget official platform.

The National Development and Reform Commission, the National Energy Administration, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and the National Data Bureau jointly issued the "Action Plan for Promoting the Bidirectional Empowerment of Artificial Intelligence and Energy," proposing to initially establish a safe, green, and economical energy security system supporting AI development by 2027, and to achieve world-leading research and application of AI-specific technologies in the energy sector by 2030.The key points of the plan include: coordinating the layout of new energy bases and computing power hubs, exploring direct connections between nuclear power and hydrogen energy to computing power facilities; promoting computing power facilities to increase the proportion of green electricity and energy efficiency, and improving carbon emission accounting; achieving synergy between computing power and electricity through market-based electricity trading; opening up high-value AI application scenarios in power grids, coal, oil and gas, and energy storage; accelerating breakthroughs in large energy models and the application of autonomous intelligent computing chips, and providing supporting support in standards, funding, talent, and other aspects.

According to monitoring by Lookonchain, the whale address 0x84b3 is going long on various popular tokens, currently holding 3.08 million NEAR, 75.55 million STRK, 9,561 XMR, 1.28 million TON, 14.86 million AZTEC, and 71.99 million PUMP.Among them, the NEAR position is valued at approximately 4.83 million USD, STRK at about 4.30 million USD, XMR at around 3.80 million USD, and TON at approximately 3.33 million USD.

According to Gate market data, the three major U.S. stock indices rose before the market opened, with the Nasdaq up 0.74%, the Dow up 0.38%, and the S&P 500 up 0.57%.The seven major tech stocks all rose before the market opened, with Apple (AAPL) up 0.3%, Microsoft (MSFT) up 0.28%, Alphabet (GOOGL) up 0.67%, Amazon (AMZN) up 0.29%, Nvidia (NVDA) up 0.72%, Tesla (TSLA) up 1.21%, and Meta (META) up 0.27%.