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sell

Data: The market's long and short competition intensifies, with the spot CVD turning negative indicating increased selling pressure, but ETF capital inflow provides support

Glassnode's latest report indicates that although buying interest remains strong, providing some buffer for prices, market sentiment is turning cautious. Data shows that the cumulative volume delta (CVD) has shifted from positive to negative, selling pressure is rising, and bearish sentiment is beginning to emerge.Meanwhile, centralized exchanges are active, and market participation remains high. In the futures market, the increase in open interest indicates a rise in risk appetite, but the funding rate for long positions has significantly decreased, and the CVD for perpetual contracts has sharply declined, suggesting that traders are more willing to pay a premium to short, while buyer initiative is weakening and bearish sentiment is intensifying.In the options market, the demand for downside protection has decreased, which may ease bearish sentiment, but the contraction in open interest could indicate profit-taking, affecting subsequent volatility. The narrowing of volatility spreads suggests that market sentiment is shifting from risk pricing to neutral.The ETF sector has become a highlight, with the MVRV ratio and net inflows of U.S. spot ETFs rising, profitability and investor interest strengthening, and trading activity significantly increasing, indicating a growing enthusiasm for participating in Bitcoin through regulated channels, with market sentiment being cautiously optimistic.In terms of liquidity, the share of hot money has decreased, and the negative change in realized market value has narrowed, indicating that old money is dominating and net outflows are easing. The supply ratio between short-term and long-term holders remains stable, and long-term holders' confidence is solid.

CryptoQuant: Bitcoin on-chain indicators show that selling pressure is increasing, and the risk of profit-taking is rising

According to The Block, CryptoQuant's research director Julio Moreno stated on Wednesday that Bitcoin's recent rally is facing an increasing risk of profit-taking, with multiple on-chain indicators showing that selling pressure is strengthening. Currently, the price of Bitcoin has slightly retreated but is testing the on-chain "realized price" of $76,800 for traders. This level is seen as a significant bearish resistance, historically often limiting the rebound space, as holders close to breaking even are more inclined to sell for profit, thereby suppressing further increases.Moreno pointed out, "This price range precisely capped the price increase during the bear market rebound in January 2026 and reversed downward after reaching that level. If the current selling pressure continues to strengthen, a similar trend may occur again." He added that if the resistance level holds, approximately $67,600 below will become the main short-term support. The report also noted that the proportion of large trades has rapidly increased from less than 10% to over 40%, and historically, this level usually corresponds to strong short-term selling pressure. Profit-taking has not yet peaked. Currently, the daily realized profit is about $500 million, below the $1 billion threshold that historically marks significant sell-off peaks.Finally, Moreno stated that if Bitcoin remains above $76,000, or even approaches the realized price level of $76,800, the daily realized profit could accelerate to over $1 billion, thereby increasing selling pressure and raising the likelihood of a temporary top or correction in the market.
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