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Tom Lee: The sell-off of chip stocks is mainly related to the reallocation of funds before the SpaceX IPO, and the current pullback will have buying support

Tom Lee, Chairman of BitMine, the largest treasury in Ethereum, stated in an interview with CNBC that the current market is showing signs of tension, mainly due to the reallocation of funds ahead of the SpaceX IPO and the market digesting previous gains. The SpaceX IPO is expected to reach $75 billion and will be included in the Nasdaq 100 index, which means many institutional funds need to raise capital in advance, not only to participate in the IPO but also to reserve cash for establishing sufficient weighted positions in the secondary market after the listing. He believes this means institutions may sell some stocks that have recently risen significantly, putting pressure on chip stocks.Tom Lee believes that storage chip stocks and the semiconductor sector have still held their lows from last Friday, indicating that the relevant charts have not completely broken down. The current pullback is healthy and he does not believe it will disrupt the main trading line of tech stocks. The trading performance on the first day of SpaceX's listing is very important. If SpaceX performs poorly, it will provide evidence for those who believe the market has peaked. However, he stated that since many people already think the SpaceX IPO marks a peak, from a contrarian perspective, this may not be the peak.Tom Lee still believes that tech stocks will continue to lead the market upward and stated that the current pullback will be bought. He expects the market to still show a "three-phase" trend this year, with a strong upward trend continuing in the foreseeable future, but a pullback may occur later this year, potentially around the time the IPO lock-up period expires and related supply pressures arise. The subsequent second phase market pullback may be driven by three factors: the market's testing of the policy path of the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh, stock supply from the expiration of large IPO lock-up periods, and potential energy shortage pressures that may arise later this year.

Analysis: On-chain data does not show that investors are massively selling off crypto assets to participate in the SpaceX IPO

According to CoinDesk, despite market speculation that some retail investors may sell Bitcoin to participate in SpaceX's record-breaking $75 billion IPO, stablecoin liquidity and on-chain data show that there are currently no signs of large-scale capital withdrawal from the crypto market.This SpaceX IPO is valued at approximately $1.8 trillion, allocating up to 30% of shares to retail investors through platforms such as Robinhood, Fidelity, and Charles Schwab, significantly higher than the traditional IPO's allocation of about 10% to individual investors. After the roadshow began, subscription demand has exceeded the issuance scale.Data shows that the outflow of USDT and USDC remains within the normal range since February this year, with no abnormal redemptions or supply contractions. In contrast, on June 6, Bitcoin and Ethereum recorded net outflows of approximately 66,470 BTC and 2.49 million ETH from exchanges, indicating that more investors are transferring assets to private wallets, showing signs of buying the dip rather than concentrated cashing out.However, on-chain data cannot reflect the trading behavior of users on platforms like Robinhood and Coinbase, so whether crypto investors are selling assets to subscribe to SpaceX stock still requires waiting for relevant brokers to release subsequent data.Currently, the most significant capital outflows are coming from spot ETFs. Data shows that as of June 3, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have experienced net outflows for 13 consecutive trading days, with total redemptions of approximately $4.4 billion; spot Ethereum ETFs have seen capital outflows for 17 consecutive trading days before returning to slight net inflows.According to the plan, SpaceX will complete pricing on June 11 and will be listed on Nasdaq under the stock code SPCX on June 12.
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