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Alliance Founder: The crypto network will eventually become the default settlement layer of the internet

Imran Khan, co-founder of Alliance, stated on the X platform that he remains optimistic about the development prospects of the cryptocurrency industry, noting that the market has previously overestimated the speed at which cryptocurrency would become the next mainstream computing paradigm. Many had originally expected cryptocurrency to lead the next platform revolution, but ultimately, it has largely been artificial intelligence (AI) that has taken on this role.Khan pointed out that over the past decade, a significant amount of capital has flowed into the cryptocurrency industry, but a considerable portion of that funding has been used for overbuilding. The industry has not focused on a few applications with clear advantages but has attempted to reshape multiple fields such as finance, social networking, and governance simultaneously. The adjustments and consolidations currently experienced in the market are essentially a natural return after previous overexpansion and do not mean that the core logic of the cryptocurrency industry has failed.He believes that the greatest path to success for the cryptocurrency industry may not be to first create a killer application, but rather to become the global financial infrastructure. As stablecoins, cryptocurrency wallets, tokenized stocks, and on-chain financial services reach more users through digital banking and ultimately serve AI agents, the cryptocurrency network will become the default value settlement layer of the internet. Once these infrastructures are widely adopted, innovations such as DAOs, decentralized markets, and machine-to-machine payments, which were previously difficult to implement due to timing, may finally see true large-scale application opportunities.

Glassnode co-founder: Bitcoin may have reached a bottom range, with a high probability that the bottom is between $46,000 and $54,000

Glassnode co-founder Rafael posted an analysis of the recent Bitcoin price trend on the X platform, noting that the current Bitcoin price is in the $62,000 range, having dropped nearly 50% from its all-time high, with a decline of 24% over the past month. The price has crossed the upper range of its pricing framework, entering a valuation cluster area where historical cycles have previously shown bottoms.Rafael further pointed out that market bottoms cannot be confirmed in advance and can only be defined through probability ranges and key price levels to identify potential bottom signals. Bitcoin has fallen below the median holder breakeven line for the first time since December 2022, currently situated within a broader support range: the median realized price is approximately $64,100, and the 200-week moving average price is around $61,700.The current high-probability bottom range may be between $46,000 and $54,000, with a rare "sell-off tail" below that range of $35,000 to $40,000. It is important to note that the magnitude of cyclical pullbacks is gradually decreasing: previous rounds of lows saw declines of about 85%, 84%, and 77%, while this round has only dropped about 50%, indicating that a high-probability bottom is more likely to be in the upper range, though extreme sell-off possibilities cannot be ruled out.
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