kalshi

According to Decrypt, Judge Rosemarie Aquilina of the Ingham County Circuit Court in Michigan has issued a preliminary injunction against the prediction market platform Kalshi, requiring it to stop offering sports betting-related contracts to Michigan residents. The court found that Kalshi's related business is essentially "sports betting disguised as investment opportunities."Under the order, Kalshi must block in-state users through a third-party geolocation service licensed by the Michigan betting regulatory agency, or face a daily fine of $500,000. The injunction also prohibits it from allowing account registration, deposits, advertising, and similar sports betting product features for Michigan residents until a final judgment is made in the case.

The prediction market platform Kalshi is preparing to apply to U.S. regulators to launch WTI crude oil perpetual contracts, possibly seeking approval as early as next week. The proposed contracts will trade 24 hours a day, 5 days a week, and will have no expiration date, allowing traders to maintain leveraged positions without the need for regular rollovers.If approved by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Kalshi may launch the first regulated perpetual contract product linked to crude oil in the United States. This move is also part of Kalshi's expansion from prediction markets and crypto assets into traditional assets, with plans to cover markets such as metals, stocks, foreign exchange, and interest rates.

The prediction market platform Kalshi announced a three-year suspension of trading eligibility for North Carolina Republican congressional candidate Laurie Buckhout, along with a fine of $2,589.96, due to her having purchased contracts related to her own campaign. According to a settlement agreement effective August 28, Buckhout purchased contracts worth less than $1,000 related to her candidacy, violating the platform's rule 5.17(z), which prohibits trading by individuals who have "direct or indirect influence" on the outcome.Buckhout stated in a declaration, "I did bet on myself, and it was indeed a foolish mistake. Once I realized the issue, I immediately cooperated to correct it. You could say my career as a Kalshi trader was very short." Kalshi indicated that Buckhout cooperated during the investigation and agreed to accept the penalties. Previously, Kalshi had imposed similar penalties on several politicians, including Minnesota Senator Matt Klein and former Texas congressional candidate Ezekiel Enriquez, who also bet on their own campaigns.Buckhout is a retired Army colonel who previously served as the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Cyber Policy. She is challenging Democratic Congressman Don Davis, replaying the 2024 matchup, in which Davis won with 49.5% to 47.8%. The North Carolina legislature redrew the district last year to make it more favorable to Republicans, and the Cook Political Report rated the district as "leaning Republican."

According to The Block data panel, the combined trading volume of Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US in August fell by 14.5% month-on-month to $45.33 billion, marking the first monthly decline in a year. Among them, Kalshi's trading volume in August was $37.17 billion, down 7.3% from $40.1 billion in July; the combined trading volume of Polymarket and its US platform was $8.16 billion, down 36.7% from $12.89 billion in July.The decline in August occurred after a surge in summer prediction market activity driven by the World Cup (June 11 to July 19), but the August trading volume was still significantly higher than May's $25.66 billion. Meanwhile, Kalshi and Polymarket are facing increasingly stringent scrutiny from state-level regulators in the US, particularly regarding sports-related contracts, with more than ten states taking enforcement actions or filing lawsuits against the two platforms. Last week, Connecticut sued Kalshi, seeking to prevent the platform from offering sports contracts.Despite the escalating legal disputes with state regulators, Kalshi continues to expand its presence in the sports sector, recently signing an agreement with the United States Tennis Association to become the exclusive prediction market partner for the US Open. Additionally, earlier this week, Kalshi permanently banned former US Congressman George Santos, marking its first permanent ban, due to Santos violating rules by betting on whether he would attend the State of the Union address, resulting in a fine of over $71,000.

According to Unchained, Andy Ross, head of institutional business at Kalshi, stated that the exchange submitted an application to regulators on Monday to launch perpetual futures contracts for foreign exchange and interest rates. As of Tuesday afternoon, the relevant documents had not yet appeared in the public filings of the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission.Kalshi had previously been approved to launch Bitcoin perpetual futures, later expanding to Ethereum and XRP, and has submitted applications for gold, silver, platinum, copper, and US500 perpetual futures that track large-cap U.S. stock indices. Ross mentioned that gold perpetual futures are close to being launched.Ross stated that Kalshi's perpetual futures operate within a regulated framework, so they will not offer high leverage, with specific leverage limits determined based on the volatility of the underlying assets. He also noted that a study released by Kalshi covered 2.2 million data points, showing that its market prices have a good match with actual outcomes, maintaining a certain level of pricing effectiveness even in markets with lower trading volumes.

The prediction market platform Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Congressman George Santos and fined him $71,356 for manipulating a market related to his attendance at the State of the Union address, profiting nearly $18,000. This is the first time the exchange has imposed a lifetime ban on a former member of Congress.According to a disciplinary notice issued by Kalshi's compliance department on August 28, Santos conducted multiple large transactions in this market between February 2 and 25. Since he was able to influence the outcome, exchange rules prohibited him from participating in trading. He subsequently issued a series of public statements regarding his attendance, some of which were false or misleading, intending to drive price movements in the "Yes" and "No" contracts. The compliance department determined that these statements did indeed manipulate prices, allowing him to profit $17,839.57 in the relevant market, violating multiple rules regarding market manipulation, influencing trading outcomes, and using deceptive practices, and he faced additional penalties for failing to cooperate with the investigation.The prediction market allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events such as elections, sports, and economic data by purchasing "Yes" or "No" contracts. As event contracts have become mainstream, Kalshi and its crypto-native competitor Polymarket have seen a surge in trading volume over the past year, attracting significant institutional interest.

As the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) accelerate their rule-making efforts for the $2.5 trillion industry amid a legislative stalemate on cryptocurrency market structure during the summer recess, both agencies are advancing multiple crypto-related initiatives. These include re-evaluating the definitions of derivatives such as swaps and perpetual contracts, as well as rewriting the SEC's crypto custody rules.A bipartisan group composed of former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo, former CFTC Commissioners Brian Quintenz and Sharon Brown-Hruska, former SEC Commissioner Steven Wallman, and former SEC Chief Economist Chester Spatt stated in a comment letter sponsored by Kalshi that similar risks should receive similar regulatory treatment, and overlapping rules should not impose additional compliance costs. Giancarlo noted that if federal regulation is calibrated based on actual risks rather than maximum burdens, liquidity will flow back to the U.S., and the longer we wait, the harder it will be to attract that liquidity back.Kalshi estimates that offshore perpetual contract trading volume will exceed $90 trillion by 2025, up from about $28 trillion two years ago. Additionally, the SEC last week submitted its plan to rewrite the custody rules for investment advisers and investment companies to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs for review, and its "Reg Crypto" proposal has officially entered the Federal Register, with a public comment period ending on October 20.

According to The Block, the prediction market platform Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Congressman George Santos, marking the first time the platform has imposed a permanent ban on an individual. According to a disciplinary action and settlement notice submitted on Monday, Santos violated platform rules by trading on a prediction contract regarding whether he would attend the State of the Union (SOTU) address and was fined over $71,000.Previously, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) accused Santos of using his public statements made two weeks before the SOTU to influence the prices of related event contracts and reached a $35,000 settlement with him. Santos's lawyer stated that he had booked a hotel and flight to Washington, believing he would attend the event. Santos served as a congressman representing New York from January 2023 until the end of the year, when he was expelled for ethical violations.As the prediction market grows to billions of dollars, concerns about insider trading are increasingly being raised. The CFTC recently fined former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez $172,000 for profiting in Kalshi's "mention market" by using advance access to Trump's speech content. Legislators have proposed several bipartisan bills to restrict trading on non-public information, but they have not yet passed; platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are taking preventive measures, such as requiring employment verification for sensitive market traders.

According to Bitcoin.com, Fomo is a social crypto trading application aimed at the Robinhood Chain and other networks. On August 21, it entered the top five financial apps in the U.S., briefly rising to third place, surpassing Cash App and the prediction market Kalshi, and is currently in the top 15.Fomo was founded by Paul Erlanger and Se Yong Park and launched its public beta in May 2025. In November 2025, it completed a $17 million Series A funding round led by Benchmark, with participation from 140 angel investors; it then completed a $75 million Series B funding round, with a total disclosed equity financing of approximately $94 million.Fomo supports Solana, Base, BNB Chain, Monad, and Robinhood Chain, allowing users to view real-time trades of their followed assets, track leaderboards, and copy trading signals, with funds able to be deposited instantly via Apple Pay. It has accumulated over 1 million installs on Google Play, with more than 600,000 users and a trading volume exceeding $4 billion.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) announced on Friday that former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez has agreed to pay $172,000 to settle allegations of insider trading in the prediction market by using advance knowledge of presidential speeches.Perez was able to access the content before the speeches were released due to his job, allowing him to bet on known outcomes. From December 2025 to February 2026, he profited over $107,500 from this. Under the settlement agreement, he must forfeit $107,539.02 in illegal gains, pay a civil penalty of $65,000, accept a three-year trading ban, and cease further violations of the Commodity Exchange Act.The CFTC noted that the fine was significantly discounted under the new cooperation policy and praised Perez for providing exemplary assistance during the investigation, while also thanking exchange operator Kalshi for their cooperation in the case. This case highlights the insider trading risks associated with the growing popularity of prediction markets. Previously, a U.S. soldier was charged with insider trading related to military operations in Venezuela on Polymarket, and a MrBeast video editor was also fired during the Kalshi insider trading investigation.

According to Front Office Sports, the prediction market platform Kalshi has signed an exclusive agreement with the United States Tennis Association (USTA) to become the exclusive prediction market platform partner for the US Open. The agreement is effective immediately and was finalized only after the qualification rounds ended last week, with the report not disclosing financial terms. Kalshi has not yet been listed among the official partners of the US Open, and a blog post analyzing the women's singles events released earlier by the company included a statement saying that the company "is not affiliated with the US Open or WTA."According to sources, as part of the agreement, the USTA is preventing other prediction market platforms from advertising at US Open venues and on television, including ESPN's broadcasts of the events, which is an unusual aspect of the agreement. Kalshi declined to comment, and representatives from USTA and ESPN did not respond immediately. The US Open is owned and operated by the USTA, and its CEO Craig Tiley took office on July 20 of this year, playing a significant role in facilitating this year's event agreement.Both Kalshi and Polymarket are official partners of the NHL, and Kalshi has recently partnered with several MLB teams. According to data from The Block, since August, the total trading volume for Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US has reached $41.2 billion, with Kalshi accounting for $33.7 billion.

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) ordered former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez to pay a fine of $172,539 this Friday for illegally trading on a prediction market platform using advance knowledge of Trump's speech content.According to a settlement agreement with the CFTC, Perez must return illegal profits of $107,539.02 and pay a civil penalty of $65,000. He also agreed to a three-year trading ban and committed to cease and not violate the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations.The CFTC noted that Perez traded Trump "mention market" contracts on the Kalshi platform during his time at the White House from December 2025 to February 2026. These contracts are event contracts that determine payouts based on whether the president uses specific words or phrases in a speech.

According to The Block, the U.S. Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals ruled that the prediction market platform Kalshi failed to prove that federal regulations take precedence over Nevada's regulatory authority over sports betting, and Kalshi is not entitled to an injunction.Previously, the Nevada Gaming Control Board had issued a cease and desist order to Kalshi, requiring it to stop conducting contract trading related to elections and sporting events in the state, threatening to initiate criminal or civil proceedings. Subsequently, Kalshi sued the Gaming Control Board and the state, seeking a preliminary injunction to prevent Nevada from regulating its trading of sports and election event contracts. The district court initially granted the injunction but later revoked it following a ruling against Crypto.com. However, the appellate court stated on Friday: "We find that Kalshi has failed to demonstrate that the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) likely takes precedence over state gaming regulations when applied to its sports event contracts, and we also find that the district court's decision to revoke the injunction did not abuse its discretion." The panel of judges stated: "The en banc court finds that the Commodity Exchange Act likely does not take precedence over Nevada's gaming regulations when applied to Kalshi's sports event contracts."

According to the Form D document disclosed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the prediction market platform Kalshi Inc. is conducting a private equity offering under Rule 506(b) exemption, with a total issuance size of approximately $1.499998 billion, of which approximately $1.12001 billion has been sold, leaving approximately $379.99 million remaining for sale. The document shows that the first sale date is April 3, 2026, and 71 investors have already participated.

The prediction market platform Kalshi stated that BlackRock's clients completed a purchase of $200 million worth of Bitcoin an hour ago.

During a podcast interview, Tom Lee was asked, "If you could only hold one for ten years, would you choose Robinhood or Kalshi?"Tom Lee responded, "I would choose Robinhood. They have a kind of moat and have established a real connection with their customers. Sometimes investors underestimate the importance of the Robinhood user interface."Tom Lee believes that predicting regulatory risks in the market is a very complex issue. It involves local regulatory agencies and court rulings.

According to The Block, at a meeting of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) Innovation Advisory Committee, CME CEO Terrence Duffy had a heated exchange with CFTC Chairman Michael Selig and Kalshi COO Luana Lopes Lara regarding regulatory issues in the prediction market. Duffy pointed out that some prediction market contracts are susceptible to manipulation, specifically mentioning contracts related to Trump's State of the Union address and the ousting of Venezuelan President Maduro that may be subject to manipulation. Selig interrupted, stating that these products are not listed in the United States, "this is fake news."Duffy retorted, "We can argue, I'm happy to." The two also clashed over a question from Kalshi COO about whether CME faces market manipulation issues, with Duffy stating, "I have more staff in my regulatory department than you and your entire company," to which Lopes Lara responded, "Maybe you should learn about efficiency," and Duffy shot back, "Maybe you should learn what a credible market is." This conflict comes at a time when federal and state regulators are vying for control over the regulation of prediction markets, with the CFTC having filed lawsuits against several states and proposed a regulatory framework draft.

Market operator Kalshi has submitted an application to the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to launch a copper perpetual contract COPPERPERP. This contract will track the spot price of copper priced in U.S. dollars and will use price data from blockchain market data provider Pyth Network.The contract will be cash-settled and will not involve physical copper delivery; periodic payments between long and short traders will help keep the contract price aligned with the copper price. Perpetual contracts have no expiration date, allowing traders to hold positions indefinitely without needing to roll over to a new contract. Kalshi was previously approved in May to offer Bitcoin perpetual contracts and has submitted an application for index perpetual contracts. Less than a week before the copper perpetual contract application was submitted, a judge in Washington state had ordered the company to cease offering bets related to sports, elections, politics, and other events in the area.