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According to CoinDesk, Glassnode's Bitcoin on-chain metric RHODL ratio is currently at 4.5, which is the third highest level on record, and the signals it emits are more aligned with a market bottom rather than a cycle top.The RHODL ratio compares the value of Bitcoin held by long-term holders (holding for 6 months to 3 years) to that held by short-term holders (holding for 1 day to 3 months). An increase in the ratio typically reflects a longer holding period for chips and reduced speculative activity, rather than an influx of new buyers—this dynamic has occurred after significant corrections in 2015, 2019, and 2022. During the 50% drop in Bitcoin over the past six months, young speculative chips have been largely washed out, concentrating wealth among long-term holders.Historically, the RHODL ratio has only been higher than the current level twice: in 2015 (ratio of 5) and in 2022 (ratio of 7), both corresponding to cycle bottoms, which suggests that Bitcoin may still have further downside potential. However, to push the ratio to higher levels, it typically requires the activity of short-term holders to be nearly exhausted, and this condition is not yet evident under current circumstances—Bitcoin has rebounded about 25% from its February low, perpetual contract funding rates remain negative, and the S&P 500 has also reached an all-time high.Overall, this indicator suggests that the current market conditions are closer to an adjustment within the cycle rather than a cycle top formation, and the re-dominance of long-term holders in the market may indicate that a phase bottom is approaching.

The UK's Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) has released the final draft of the crypto asset framework. This new regulation is set to bring most crypto activities under the regulation of the Financial Services and Markets Act by October 25, 2027.According to the proposal, any institution that holds customer crypto assets for more than 24 hours or has the ability to revoke customer permissions will be considered a regulated custodian and must hold a full safeguarding license. Validators and node operators that provide value-added features such as yield or reward reinvestment will lose their technical exemptions. In addition, stablecoin issuers within the UK must control the entire lifecycle from issuance to redemption. Relevant institutions must submit authorization applications between September 30, 2026, and February 28, 2027.

Deribit officially tweeted that tomorrow at 08:00 UTC (16:00 Beijing time), approximately 2.1 billion dollars worth of cryptocurrency options will expire on the platform.Among them, the notional value of BTC options is about 1.63 billion dollars, with a put/call ratio of 1.02, having flipped from bullish dominance to bearish dominance since last week; the notional value of ETH options is about 445 million dollars, with a put/call ratio of 0.94, and the open interest (OI) for Ethereum has increased week-on-week.Deribit pointed out that despite overall market volatility, both major assets are currently operating below their maximum pain price levels. The maximum pain for BTC is 71,000 dollars, and for ETH it is 2,250 dollars.

CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten stated that the Bitcoin funding rate has fallen to its lowest level since 2023, and historical patterns show that such signals often coincide with market bottoms. According to Glassnode data, the seven-day moving average of the funding rate has dropped to about -0.005%.The funding rate is the fee that long and short positions pay each other periodically in perpetual contracts to keep the contract price aligned with the spot market. When the rate is positive, longs pay shorts, reflecting bullish market sentiment; when the rate is negative, shorts pay longs, indicating a bearish market. Despite the funding rate being persistently negative from March to April this year, Bitcoin still oscillated upward from the $60,000 to $65,000 range to about $75,000. Historically, a deeply negative funding rate often coincides with Bitcoin's phase bottoms: during the market crash triggered by the COVID-19 pandemic in March 2020, Bitcoin fell to about $3,000; it dropped to $30,000 during China's mining ban announcement in 2021; it hit a low of about $15,000 during the FTX collapse in November 2022; and it briefly fell below $20,000 during the Silicon Valley Bank crisis in 2023. During the yen arbitrage trade closure in August 2024 and the "Liberation Day" sell-off in April 2025, negative funding rates also appeared alongside phase lows. The continued negative funding rate indicates that even if the price trend is positive, short positions remain at a high level. This divergence may suggest that the market is climbing within a "wall of worry," and a large number of short positions could become fuel for further price increases.

According to Cointelegraph, Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated at the Paris Blockchain Week 2026 conference that the current decline in the crypto market resembles a "mini crypto winter," which may be nearing its end, and believes that risk assets have bottomed out amid "bad news" such as geopolitical conflicts.He pointed out that Ethereum is expected to emerge from a long-term consolidation and will benefit from the trend of tokenization and the development of on-chain AI (agentic AI) applications in the future. If his market assumptions hold, the price of ETH could reach $60,000, with a long-term fair value potentially reaching around $62,000 (based on its estimate that Ethereum will achieve about 1/4 of Bitcoin's market value).Lee emphasized that the U.S. stock market has already seen a bottom and is driving the recovery of risk assets, while this round of crypto correction is a rare "non-stock market synchronized bear cycle." He also mentioned that the market often forms a bottom after significant negative events such as wars. As of now, ETH has dropped about 43% from its peak in October 2025, and the market remains in a clearly volatile range.

The security research organization Elastic Security Labs has disclosed a new social engineering attack targeting personnel in the finance and cryptocurrency industries. The attackers impersonate venture capital firms on LinkedIn and Telegram, tricking targets into opening an Obsidian note repository that contains a built-in malicious payload, thereby deploying a previously unrecorded Windows remote access Trojan called PHANTOMPULSE.This attack does not exploit any software vulnerabilities but instead abuses the Shell Commands plugin of Obsidian to automatically execute malicious code when the note repository is opened. On the macOS side, it uses an obfuscated AppleScript launcher in conjunction with a Telegram channel as a backup command and control server, while on the Windows side, it leverages Ethereum transaction data to achieve blockchain-based C2 address resolution.

Tom Lee, chairman of BitMine, a company in the Ethereum treasury, stated in an interview with CNBC, "The reason the stock market remains resilient is that even in the face of war, the economy is actually performing better than expected." He pointed out that defense spending is currently about $30 billion per month and could rise to $60 billion per month in the future, which has a significant stimulating effect on the economy; meanwhile, the rise in oil prices by $20 per month only adds about $12 billion in burden to households, "Overall, the war is actually helping corporate profits right now."Tom Lee cited historical precedents, saying, "Looking back at World War II, the stock market bottomed out in May 1942, just five months after the U.S. entered the war, and at that time, no American troops had even set foot on the European or Pacific battlefields." He believes, "The market is very good at pricing in outcomes ahead of time; the current rise in the stock market means that the market is pricing in a favorable outcome, although I can't clearly articulate the specific reasons, but that's the signal conveyed by the market's performance."Regarding the three major variables in the current market— the Iran war, corporate earnings reports, and interest rates—Tom Lee stated, "Among the three, only war can create tail events in both directions, so this is the variable that deserves the closest attention." In terms of sector allocation, he remains bullish on the energy sector and pointed out that energy security is one of the most important structural themes in recent years.

According to Cointelegraph, the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) of South Korea stated that API-based cryptocurrency trading currently accounts for about 30% of the market's trading volume.The FSS pointed out that some traders are using automated tools to inflate trading volume and manipulate prices, with methods including repeatedly submitting small orders to create a false sense of activity and artificially raising prices through high-limit orders.The regulatory agency stated that it will conduct special investigations on accounts suspected of abnormal API trading and remind investors to be cautious of assets that experience sudden spikes in price and trading volume without obvious reasons. Previously, South Korea had required exchanges to verify asset balances every five minutes and continued to tighten anti-fraud rules, but some regulatory measures still face constraints due to an incomplete legal framework.

The Bitcoin Atomicals protocol trading market Atomicals Market on platform X announced that it will officially close on April 30.Order and bidding data are stored off-chain and will stop being displayed after the closure. The platform reminds users to withdraw assets or export AM wallet private keys before April 30.

Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee stated on the X platform that despite the overall market still exhibiting strong skepticism, more and more signs indicate that the current market "has found its bottom." In a highly uncertain environment, investors can focus on assets that have performed well since the Iran conflict, with Ethereum-related assets leading the way, followed by Bitcoin-related assets.Specifically, Tom Lee lists Ethereum and related assets (such as ETHA, BMNR) as his top choices, while also being optimistic about Bitcoin and its ETFs (such as IBIT). He previously emphasized that Ethereum has shown relative strength during geopolitical conflicts, becoming a "barometer" of market resilience.Overall, Tom Lee believes that cryptocurrencies have proven to be a "store of value in wartime," and the market has gradually digested negative factors, providing a basis for further rebounds in risk assets, but this still depends on the continued stability of macro and geopolitical situations.

Due to Trump's announcement of a two-week temporary ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, market risk sentiment quickly rebounded, and the three major U.S. stock indices saw a significant rebound. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose more than 1300 points in a single day, marking its best performance in nearly a year; WTI crude oil futures, on the other hand, plummeted over 16%.Tom Lee, head of research at Fundstrat, stated that the current market has confirmed a phase bottom and is moving back toward historical highs. He pointed out that despite the previous surge in oil prices and escalation of conflicts, the stock market did not show a significant decline, indicating strong market resilience, while the ceasefire has become a catalyst for sentiment reversal.He expects that the S&P 500 index may rise to 7300 points within the year, which still has about 7.6% upside potential from the current level, and is optimistic about the subsequent performance of technology stocks, software, energy, and financial sectors. Among them, the "seven tech giants" are seen as the core driving force behind this round of rebound.Several institutional investors also believe that as geopolitical risks ease and oil prices fall, the market has entered a "relief rebound" phase, combined with the approaching earnings season, making the current time a potential window for buying on dips.

According to market news, Strategy founder Michael Saylor stated that Bitcoin likely bottomed around $60,000 in early February, when forced sellers were cleared from the market. The bottom is more determined by seller exhaustion rather than valuation. He believes that current selling pressure is limited, ETF inflows are absorbing daily supply, and corporate allocation of financial assets to Bitcoin is also creating sustained demand.Michael Saylor predicts that the catalyst for the next bull market will be the establishment of a banking credit and digital credit system built on Bitcoin, which will transform Bitcoin from a non-yielding asset into a capital market engine. Regarding the recently discussed threat of quantum computing, he believes the risks are exaggerated, and quantum threats remain theoretical and are likely to emerge decades later. By then, there will also be solutions. Mizuho maintains an outperform rating on Strategy with a target price of $320, which offers about 150% upside from the current stock price of $127.

Claude Code Product Manager Noah Zweben posted, "/autofix-pr can now be launched directly from the command line for automatic fixes. After completing a PR, just run this command. It will upload your session to the cloud, allowing the PR auto-fix tool to have the complete context to handle CI failures and comments."

Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated on social media, "The war is confirmed to be over, there is no insider information, and neither side has a reason to continue fighting. We will take profits wherever the rebound stops and observe as we go.This year's cryptocurrency market is very similar to 2019, with a cliff-like drop in secondary liquidity, almost no confidence in primary investments, and Web3 companies laying off large numbers of employees, with industry personnel switching careers. Be greedy when others are fearful; this year is definitely the best time for secondary bottom-fishing and primary investment, similar to 2019. Institutions that bottomed out in the secondary market and invested in the primary market in 2019 were the biggest winners in the 2020 bull market, and we are working hard to do these two things well."

Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas posted on the X platform that, according to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) listing announcement, the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin exchange-traded fund will trade under the ticker "MBST".

The crypto wallet app Phantom experienced a temporary service interruption, affecting token prices and balance displays. The team is actively working to fix the related issues.