Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud: Bitcoin's rebound has seen spot buying support, and its sustainability depends on ETF inflows and leverage temperature

Huobi HTX Chief Analyst Cloud stated that Bitcoin quickly rebounded after hitting the bottom under the dual pressure of interest rate hikes and the obstruction of the Clear Act, with a weekly increase of about 16%, rising to $87,307 during trading on September 21 (Huobi HTX spot price), reaching a new high since January. This round of increase is driven by three forces: the net inflow of about $1 billion into the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF on September 21, the largest single day of the year; short positions being liquidated for about $650 million within 24 hours; and falling oil prices leading to a cooling of inflation expectations. Compared to last week's rebound, which was mainly driven by passive replenishment, this week saw a relay of spot buying.

Whether the trend can continue depends on two points: whether ETF inflows can shift from a single-day pulse to a continuous trend, and whether leverage can be maintained at a non-overheated level. Currently, the funding rate is about 0.01%, in a neutral range, but the open interest of Bitcoin contracts has risen above $61 billion. If the capital weakens, high leverage will amplify the pullback. Market sentiment has entered an extreme greed zone, which historically has often been a precursor signal for short-term trend reversals. Technically, $87,500 is the resistance above, while the first support zone is between $84,000 and $85,000. The trend has conditions for continuation, but the highest risk of short-term volatility also occurs during the hottest phase of sentiment.

Note: The content of this article is not investment advice and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or recommendation of investment products.