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ZEC $576.77 +2.10%
BTC $80,463.64 -1.45%
ETH $2,312.44 -2.26%
BNB $646.03 -0.08%
XRP $1.40 -1.61%
SOL $88.67 +0.45%
TRX $0.3479 +1.08%
DOGE $0.1095 -2.89%
ADA $0.2658 +0.25%
BCH $456.25 -2.52%
LINK $9.94 -0.29%
HYPE $42.51 -3.25%
AAVE $92.91 -0.07%
SUI $0.9822 -0.97%
XLM $0.1598 -1.34%
ZEC $576.77 +2.10%

ai

Analysis: After Bitcoin failed to break through the 200-day moving average, it fell back below $81,000, raising market concerns based on historical trends

Bitcoin approached the critical 200-day simple moving average (SMA, around $83,300) on Wednesday but failed to achieve a valid breakout, subsequently falling back below $81,000.Meanwhile, the overall cryptocurrency market weakened, with the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Index dropping over 2% in the past 24 hours, making it the weakest performer among major sectors. The market generally views the 200-day moving average as an important indicator for measuring long-term trends. If BTC can hold above this level, it will further reinforce the market narrative that "the bear market ended when it fell below $63,000 in February this year, and a new bull market has begun." However, a similar situation occurred in March 2022, when Bitcoin briefly broke through and tested the 200-day moving average, only to eventually fall to around $20,000 in June of the same year, leading some analysts to warn of the risk of a "false breakout."Analytical firm Marex stated that whether BTC can continue to rise depends on three major factors: whether spot funds continue to chase prices, whether exchange supply continues to tighten, and whether the derivatives market remains healthy and not overheated. If all three factors align, Bitcoin may quickly open up space towards the $85,000 range.FxPro Chief Market Analyst Alex Kuptsikevich pointed out that this round of correction seems more like a brief pause in the upward process rather than the end of the trend. However, he also reminded that the daily RSI had previously entered the overbought zone, and similar past situations were accompanied by significant corrections. Additionally, the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond has fallen from a high of 4.46% at the beginning of the month to 4.32%, which is seen as a potential positive factor for risk assets.

Illustration of Bybit's 30 Web3 business partners: from contract exchanges to on-chain financial networks

Web3 asset data platform RootData has outlined 30 Web3 business partners of Bybit, covering multiple key layers such as institutional custody, stablecoins, blockchain infrastructure, DeFi protocols, and real-world payments. From the funding perspective, partners like Circle, Tether, and Ethena indicate that Bybit has begun to deeply engage in liquidity structures related to stablecoins and RWA. In particular, RWA protocols like Ondo and Backed are essentially helping on-chain funds gradually access U.S. Treasuries, real yield assets, and traditional financial markets. In terms of blockchain infrastructure, its layout covers mainstream networks such as Mantle, Solana, Sui, and TON, while also extending to restaking systems like EigenLayer and Solayer. This means Bybit has started to expand towards on-chain yield and asset issuance layers. In the on-chain liquidity layer, Bybit collaborates with protocols like Aave, Kamino, Raydium, Orca, and Sanctum, using bbSOL to further strengthen its DeFi yield and asset circulation capabilities. What is particularly noteworthy is its infrastructure layout on the institutional side. Bybit has integrated with custody systems such as Fireblocks, Anchorage, Copper, Sygnum Bank, and Cactus Custody, and connected with banks and payment networks like QNB Group, Pave Bank, and Thredd. With institutional funds entering, the biggest competitive point for crypto exchanges has shifted from "matching ability" to "asset security and settlement capability." Especially after the North Korean hacker attack incident, the custody system has become the most critical part of exchange infrastructure. At the same time, Bybit's global branding strategy is also changing. In the past few years, it has made high-profile collaborations with top sports IPs like Oracle Red Bull Racing. In recent years, it has gradually shifted towards high-growth regions like the Middle East, establishing connections with institutions like Dubai DMCC. Its branding logic is transitioning from "traffic exposure" to "regional financial resource binding." Related collection: Bybit Web3 Partner Network Collection (continuously updated) Crypto projects actively showcasing their partner networks have become a key way to enhance transparency and market trust. It is reported that RootData welcomes Web3 projects to claim their information and continues to track and open more project business relationship disclosure channels. The platform has continuously released multiple editions of crypto project ecological maps, nominating Web3 ecological partners for upstream clients like Visa, Mastercard, and Coinbase. If you wish to nominate your project in future ecological maps, please fill out the [RootData 2026 Industry Ecosystem Mapping] form to supplement your important clients and partners.
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