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Approximately $200 million in trades on Polymarket in the first half of the year were flagged as potential insider trading

According to Bloomberg, as prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi expand, the issue of betting using non-public information or informational advantages is receiving more scrutiny. Bloomberg Businessweek analyzed approximately 34,000 potential insider trading cases flagged by Polysights between August 2025 and June 2026; these related trades exhibited characteristics such as newly created accounts, low probability entries, large bets, or high trading concentration, but it cannot be determined that traders violated rules based on this.Data shows that from January 1 to June 30 of this year, the amount of suspicious trades flagged on Polymarket was approximately $200 million, with geopolitical and war-related markets driving a significant increase in abnormal trading volume. The profits from potential insider trading are highly concentrated, with the top 1% of accounts in profit wallets earning more than half of the gains, and 57% of related wallets created less than 24 hours before the trades. Some traders are reducing the likelihood of being discovered by using multiple associated wallets and splitting orders. For example, 38 associated addresses placed bets in 90 geopolitical markets related to Iran and Venezuela, achieving a win rate of 98%, with total profits of $1.6 million, and withdrew funds using the same Coinbase deposit address.Polymarket stated that it will monitor insider trading and other illegal activities, and has so far referred nearly 100 wallets to law enforcement agencies. Kalshi has also strengthened identity and employment information checks, and restricted participation in related markets by political candidates, athletes, and others who may influence outcomes.

first_img Cap team responds to Stabledrop controversy, admits early commitment errors and clarifies insider rumors

In response to the recent market controversy regarding the reduction of Stabledrop shares, Cap founder Benjamin issued a statement of apology and provided a detailed response. He stated that the team prematurely committed to an airdrop scale of 11 million before the funding was fully secured, but subsequent changes in the market environment led to a fundraising amount that fell short of expectations, resulting in the actual airdrop pool shrinking to 4.2 million.To avoid substantial principal losses for early YT (Yield Token) holders, the team temporarily adjusted the originally planned linear distribution scheme to a "capital protection but no profit" restructuring model, ensuring that no one incurs losses. This rule applies equally to all wallets. Meanwhile, in response to community concerns about a related whale address allegedly engaging in "internal score manipulation," Benjamin clarified that the wallet belongs to a former colleague and is not operated by the team, and that project treasury funds have not been utilized. Additionally, he emphasized that the Cap protocol is still operating healthily, and the decline in TVL that occurred over the weekend was mainly due to the surge in USDM lending rates on Aave for MegaETH, causing arbitrageurs to exit, which is unrelated to this airdrop incident. All redemptions have been processed smoothly.

Superfortune: The leakage of the attacker's private key rather than address poisoning is not the work of an insider

Superfortune, incubated by Manta, recently released an update on the X platform regarding a security incident, stating that the attack was not carried out by internal personnel and that no team members were involved. The claim about the team secretly selling tokens is incorrect. The team has also not had any contact with Web3Port.The investigation confirmed that the attack was not due to address poisoning, but rather a leak of the signer's private key. The attacker independently held the private key and submitted a transaction with a forged address 43 minutes after the correct transaction. The forged address shares the first and last four characters with the correct address (starting with 0x70AE and ending with 5C15) to disguise itself in the Safe interface preview. The stolen funds are fully traceable and are currently stored in three cold wallets on Ethereum, containing approximately 2784 ETH, along with about 170,000 USDT that were cross-chain transferred out.The attacker also created a large number of counterfeit addresses and sent false transfer events to these addresses using Unicode-forged token symbols in an attempt to confuse tracking. This counterfeit address construction technique is the same as the method used when attacking this project. The attacker had pre-built a large-scale infrastructure, indicating that this was an industrialized operation rather than an opportunistic attack.

DxSale is suspected of "insider theft," with over $7.3 million in LP drained

On-chain security analysis account Eye stated that the BNB Chain project launch platform DxSale is suspected of exploiting a hidden backdoor to siphon off funds from an old liquidity pool locked in 2021, involving over 1,400 LPs and an amount of approximately $7.3 million. The analysis indicates that this attack includes operations such as "silent ownership transfer" and over 80 wallet hops.After the LP was drained, the attack address received over 1,200 BNB (approximately $763,000), with the funds believed to come directly from multiple stolen LP pools. More concerning is that this address had previously been dormant for a long time but has a direct on-chain association with a wallet marked as related to the DxSale team; this address is also one of the important funding inflow addresses for the DxSale smart contract.Subsequently, the attack address transferred about 3,400 BNB (approximately $1.2 million) to multiple wallets and completed the fund transfer through several Binance deposit addresses. Eye stated that if the related accusations are true, it implies that the DxSale team may have reserved a backdoor for the platform years ago and ultimately carried out the attack themselves. They also called for Binance to freeze the related funds, believing that these assets essentially belong to the project investors who had previously financed through DxSale. DxSale was one of the most well-known launchpads and LP locking infrastructure on the BNB Chain, with projects like SAFEMOON having used its services.
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