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first_img NEXTPredict invested $12,000 to hedge against flight cancellation risks at Kalshi

The media and conference organization NEXTPredict announced that it has executed the first trade in the flight cancellation market through Kalshi to hedge investments for its October summit, locking in $3 million in guarantees. The company paid a premium of $12,000, and if the cancellation rate of flights arriving at New York's Kennedy International Airport on October 21 exceeds 50%, the contract will automatically pay out, covering the summit costs, as October 21 is the main travel day for attendees. Susquehanna acted as the market maker for this transaction.Kalshi launched the flight cancellation market after self-certifying the contract with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on July 14, allowing participants to trade on whether the cancellation volume at specific airports exceeds preset thresholds. This market does not target individual flights and has clear anti-manipulation clauses. NEXTPredict is a media and event platform focused on the global prediction market industry, launched by the NEXT.io team. Its flagship event, the "Global Prediction Market Summit," will be held from October 22 to 23, 2026, at Convene Hudson Yards in New York, bringing together founders, executives, investors, and policymakers.NEXTPredict and Kalshi position this trade as institutional hedging, similar to how airlines hedge against fuel costs or farmers hedge against crop yields, rather than betting on the fate of the summit.

first_img Ark Invest maintains a bullish outlook on Bitcoin for the next five years, stablecoins change the narrative in emerging markets

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Lorenzo Valente, the Director of Digital Asset Research at Ark Invest, stated in a video interview with Bitcoin Magazine that despite Bitcoin's lackluster performance and even decline this year, Ark Invest has not changed its long-term view, still considering Bitcoin over a five-year cycle and believing its development is still in the early stages. He also introduced Ark's Big Ideas report and discussed Bitcoin's role as digital gold and a permissionless currency.Valente pointed out that the rise of stablecoins has changed Ark's judgment on the emerging market Bitcoin narrative. He also talked about the rise of tokenized stocks and real-world assets, as well as the functionalities that tokenized stocks can achieve that traditional brokerage accounts cannot.Additionally, he mentioned the impact of rising interest rates, inflation, and AI on Bitcoin's macro outlook, and explored which tokenized business models will ultimately prevail, as well as the possibility of tokenizing U.S. assets for offshore markets.Regarding the market outlook, Valente provided Ark's perspective on Bitcoin's future over the next 12 to 18 months and discussed the four-year cycle and key points to watch moving forward. Ark's Big Ideas report set a Bitcoin price target for 2030, and the reasons why institutional funds are still on the sidelines were also among the topics he discussed.

first_img Australia's ASIC plans to extend CFD investor protection to crypto-settled derivatives

According to Cointelegraph, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has proposed to expand the regulatory scope of Contracts for Difference (CFD) to include derivatives settled using digital assets.ASIC aims to add contracts settled through the transfer of digital assets to its definition of CFDs, rather than being limited to contracts settled in cash or offset transactions, provided that these contracts meet other identification criteria for CFDs. If the proposal is approved, Australian traders using crypto-settled CFDs will receive the same protections as cash-settled CFD traders.ASIC has made it clear that certain cryptocurrency futures and options with fixed expiration dates will remain outside this framework. CFDs allow traders to speculate on price fluctuations without holding the underlying asset. The current framework implemented in Australia since 2021 includes safeguards such as leverage limits, mandatory margin calls, and negative balance protection, which limits customer losses to the funds within their CFD trading accounts.ASIC is seeking feedback from the industry and stakeholders on the proposed expansion and revisions, with a deadline of November 9. This move comes as Australia strengthens its broader regulatory framework for digital assets.In April of this year, Australia legislated to include cryptocurrency exchanges and tokenized custody platforms within its financial services licensing framework, with the new system set to take effect on April 9, 2027. ASIC has also required crypto companies relying on temporary enforcement exemptions under existing financial services laws to apply for licenses or seek changes to existing licenses by September 30.

first_img Broadcom CEO: Many AI investors are like casino gamblers

According to Bloomberg, Hock Tan, CEO of chip company Broadcom, stated at an event in Singapore on Monday that the artificial intelligence craze has attracted a group of investors with strategies similar to gamblers, some of whom have little understanding of what they are betting on. He mentioned that many investors "don't even know what they are investing in," setting extremely high expectations, resulting in a situation that is "almost like being in a casino," and specifically pointed to the investment frenzy driven by a lack of understanding of cutting-edge large language models.As the head of a company that designs key components for global data centers, Tan also questioned whether companies are wasting money on AI projects and the long-term economics of AI labs that are continuously losing money. He noted that ChatGPT developer OpenAI's annualized revenue reached $50 billion in September, indicating a viable model, but it does not guarantee long-term profitability; it is still losing money due to high training costs, and currently only suggests that cutting-edge generative models have significant potential revenue growth.Tan also warned that a lack of capital could become the next constraint on industry growth. The Australia-based data center company Firmus Grid, supported by Nvidia, withdrew its planned $5.5 billion IPO last week. Before Tan's remarks, DBS Group CEO Tan Su Shan stated that after a large amount of investment, the market is re-pricing the risks associated with AI financing.

Hardware wallet distributor CryptoBilis announced the suspension of Ledger device sales to cooperate with the investigation into financial losses

Hardware wallet dealer CryptoBilis announced that, due to Ledger investigating a case involving fund losses for Southeast Asian users, the company has suspended all sales and shipments of Ledger devices and is cooperating with Ledger's investigation. Ledger previously stated that it is investigating reports of fund losses from Southeast Asian users who purchased products from this dealer, and as a precaution, has requested CryptoBilis to suspend the sales and shipments of related devices, advising users who purchased devices in the past 90 days not to set them up if they have not completed initialization.CryptoBilis reminds users who have completed setup to follow Ledger's advice and transfer their assets to a new Ledger signing device generated with a new mnemonic phrase. It emphasizes that the mnemonic phrase must be generated by the device during initialization and handwritten by the user; if the device comes with a pre-printed or written mnemonic card or paper, or if the mnemonic has been seen by others, the wallet should be considered unsafe, and users should not disclose their mnemonic phrase or PIN to anyone. The notice also warns to be cautious of third parties claiming to assist in recovering lost funds, as such proposals are often scams.For users who have already experienced fund losses, CryptoBilis recommends contacting their official customer service channels and providing the order number, purchase time and location, device serial number, affected wallet address, and transaction ID, while keeping the device and packaging, not resetting or discarding them, and suggests reporting to the police. The company stated that it will not send users links requesting them to connect wallets, input mnemonic phrases, or install software.
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