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first_img Kalshi permanently banned former Congressman George Santos for manipulating the attendance prediction market for the State of the Union address

The prediction market platform Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Congressman George Santos and fined him $71,356 for manipulating a market related to his attendance at the State of the Union address, profiting nearly $18,000. This is the first time the exchange has imposed a lifetime ban on a former member of Congress.According to a disciplinary notice issued by Kalshi's compliance department on August 28, Santos conducted multiple large transactions in this market between February 2 and 25. Since he was able to influence the outcome, exchange rules prohibited him from participating in trading. He subsequently issued a series of public statements regarding his attendance, some of which were false or misleading, intending to drive price movements in the "Yes" and "No" contracts. The compliance department determined that these statements did indeed manipulate prices, allowing him to profit $17,839.57 in the relevant market, violating multiple rules regarding market manipulation, influencing trading outcomes, and using deceptive practices, and he faced additional penalties for failing to cooperate with the investigation.The prediction market allows users to bet on the outcomes of real-world events such as elections, sports, and economic data by purchasing "Yes" or "No" contracts. As event contracts have become mainstream, Kalshi and its crypto-native competitor Polymarket have seen a surge in trading volume over the past year, attracting significant institutional interest.

first_img Former SEC and CFTC officials call for regulatory easing to attract the return of crypto perpetual contracts

As the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) accelerate their rule-making efforts for the $2.5 trillion industry amid a legislative stalemate on cryptocurrency market structure during the summer recess, both agencies are advancing multiple crypto-related initiatives. These include re-evaluating the definitions of derivatives such as swaps and perpetual contracts, as well as rewriting the SEC's crypto custody rules.A bipartisan group composed of former CFTC Chairman Chris Giancarlo, former CFTC Commissioners Brian Quintenz and Sharon Brown-Hruska, former SEC Commissioner Steven Wallman, and former SEC Chief Economist Chester Spatt stated in a comment letter sponsored by Kalshi that similar risks should receive similar regulatory treatment, and overlapping rules should not impose additional compliance costs. Giancarlo noted that if federal regulation is calibrated based on actual risks rather than maximum burdens, liquidity will flow back to the U.S., and the longer we wait, the harder it will be to attract that liquidity back.Kalshi estimates that offshore perpetual contract trading volume will exceed $90 trillion by 2025, up from about $28 trillion two years ago. Additionally, the SEC last week submitted its plan to rewrite the custody rules for investment advisers and investment companies to the White House Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs for review, and its "Reg Crypto" proposal has officially entered the Federal Register, with a public comment period ending on October 20.

first_img Kalshi permanently banned former Congressman Santos for his involvement in trading based on the State of the Union address

According to The Block, the prediction market platform Kalshi has permanently banned former U.S. Congressman George Santos, marking the first time the platform has imposed a permanent ban on an individual. According to a disciplinary action and settlement notice submitted on Monday, Santos violated platform rules by trading on a prediction contract regarding whether he would attend the State of the Union (SOTU) address and was fined over $71,000.Previously, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) accused Santos of using his public statements made two weeks before the SOTU to influence the prices of related event contracts and reached a $35,000 settlement with him. Santos's lawyer stated that he had booked a hotel and flight to Washington, believing he would attend the event. Santos served as a congressman representing New York from January 2023 until the end of the year, when he was expelled for ethical violations.As the prediction market grows to billions of dollars, concerns about insider trading are increasingly being raised. The CFTC recently fined former White House teleprompter operator Gabriel Perez $172,000 for profiting in Kalshi's "mention market" by using advance access to Trump's speech content. Legislators have proposed several bipartisan bills to restrict trading on non-public information, but they have not yet passed; platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are taking preventive measures, such as requiring employment verification for sensitive market traders.
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