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Michael Saylor posted on the X platform, stating that the future of Bitcoin is shaped by the dynamic consensus among nodes, miners, and holders. Among these, the influence of nodes is reflected in transaction validation rights, miners are represented by computing power, and holders are represented by economic weight. Only when validation, security, and capital align can protocol changes be approved.He further pointed out that while the forces of brands, laws, politics, technology, institutions, culture, and the physical realm may influence discussions related to Bitcoin, they cannot directly determine the outcome of consensus. Their role is mainly reflected in persuading, coordinating, constraining, or mobilizing nodes, miners, and holders.

Ripple co-founder and executive chairman Chris Larsen has been reported to be involved in investing in the derivatives trading platform American Perpetuals Exchange Corp. (APEC), founded by New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand's son, Theodore Gillibrand. The platform has raised $30 million, with most investors contributing between $5,000 and $10,000. The amount invested by Chris Larsen is unknown. Previously, Kirsten Gillibrand publicly stated that "members of Congress and government officials should not profit from the industry due to their insider status," but her spokesperson responded that Gillibrand has "no involvement" in her son's business.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $298,534.08 in the "Belgium vs Senegal" event, specifically targeting "Belgium." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 47%.

ARK Invest Research Director Lorenzo Valente commented on the OpenUSD stablecoin project launched by several institutions. He stated that, despite the strong capabilities of the participants (including Visa, Stripe, Mastercard, BlackRock, Coinbase, etc.), OpenUSD faces multiple significant obstacles:First, there are liquidity and cold start issues; USDC and USDT have already formed strong network effects, dominating exchanges, payment processors, and brokers, making it difficult for the new stablecoin to gain trading pairs and large-scale holding willingness;Second, the decision-making speed of the alliance composed of 500 competitors will be extremely slow, lacking successful precedents, and conflicts of interest will be hard to coordinate;Third, the regulatory and antitrust risks are extremely high; the joint issuance of currency by large banks and card networks is likely to become a regulatory focus;Fourth, the revenue-sharing model results in issuers retaining too little capital, making it difficult to cover high operational and promotional expenses;Fifth, the actual commitments from partners are limited, mostly consisting of letters of intent (LOI), and parties are still supporting competitors, preferring multiple hedges rather than exclusive binding.Valente concluded that OpenUSD is essentially similar to "a DAO of multiple competitors," making it difficult to execute and make decisions quickly, and it may ultimately repeat the governance failures of early DAO projects, which could not be effectively implemented.Affected by the OpenUSD plan, Circle's stock fell over 17% in a single day, and ARK Invest took the opportunity to buy in.

According to CoinDesk, investment bank Jefferies stated in its latest report that the U.S. CLARITY Act still faces significant legislative hurdles in the Senate, and related legislative progress in the coming weeks may exacerbate volatility in the cryptocurrency market.Jefferies pointed out that although the bill previously passed the Senate Banking Committee with a bipartisan vote of 15 to 9, there are only about 20 legislative days left before the August congressional recess. The Senate still needs to complete the bill's consolidation, procedural voting, coordination with the House version, and submission for presidential signature, making the timeline very tight.Polymarket data shows that the probability of the bill passing by the end of 2026 has dropped from 70% in mid-May to 48%. Jefferies believes that if the bill passes smoothly, it will establish a clear regulatory framework for digital assets, prompting banks, asset management institutions, and exchanges to accelerate their layout in tokenized assets, custody, staking, lending, and other businesses, as well as facilitate more cryptocurrency ETFs and IPOs of cryptocurrency infrastructure companies. If the legislation is delayed, it may prolong regulatory uncertainty, causing traditional financial institutions to slow down their blockchain business advancement.The report predicts that the progress of the bill will continue to affect the market performance of cryptocurrency concept stocks such as Circle (CRCL), Coinbase (COIN), Bullish (BLSH), and some cryptocurrency assets.Jefferies also noted that in the long term, compared to regulatory changes, the greater challenge faced by stablecoin issuer Circle still comes from competition with banks, fintech, and payment companies.

According to the Science and Technology Innovation Board Daily, the recent round of financing for Moon's Dark Side Kimi, with a valuation of 20 billion USD, has been completed, and a new round of financing has been initiated, with a pre-financing valuation rising to 31.5 billion USD. According to sources close to Kimi, the company disclosed its latest revenue data during this round of financing communication: ARR (Annual Recurring Revenue) has surpassed 300 million USD. The revenue growth for Kimi in this round mainly comes from increased developer usage and API revenue driven by model iterations. Currently, API revenue accounts for over 70% of Kimi's total revenue and continues to rise. Kimi's revenue curve is beginning to show characteristics of the early commercialization stage of Anthropic: increased developer usage, a higher proportion of API revenue, growth in overseas paying users, and a price system uplift driven by model capability iterations.

According to Gate market data, the pressure of the yen's depreciation continues to intensify, with the USD/JPY reaching the 162 mark for the first time since December 1986.

According to Crypto in America, the U.S. Senate will recess until July 13, and the advancement of the CLARITY Act depends on the progress of behind-the-scenes coordination over the next two weeks. Staff from both parties, government officials, and industry stakeholders are working to resolve remaining differences, including reconciling text discrepancies between the Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, as well as reaching consensus on ethical standards and provisions to combat illegal financial activities.The bill requires the support of at least 60 senators to pass. Even if all 53 Republican votes are in favor, at least 7 Democratic senators will need to join; the support of the majority of Democrats may depend on whether the White House can agree to establish a strong ethical framework regarding issues related to Trump's cryptocurrency business. According to Reuters, since Trump's return to the White House, his cryptocurrency business has generated over $2 billion in new wealth for him.Additionally, major law enforcement groups still oppose the inclusion of provisions from the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act in the bill, arguing that it would increase the difficulty of investigating and prosecuting on-chain crimes. Remaining discrepancies in the Agriculture Committee's text include issues such as the prioritization of federal law over state law, management of conflicts of interest in exchanges, and restrictions on related-party transactions. Sources indicate that the parties have not yet reached a final agreement, and there remains uncertainty about whether the Senate vote can be completed before the August recess.

According to a report by Economictimes, due to regulatory crackdowns, there is a severe supply shortage of local stablecoins like USDT in India, causing their premiums in the local market to rise to over 8.5%.The report pointed out that Indian law enforcement had previously taken action against institutions providing cryptocurrency foreign exchange services, cutting off remittance channels commonly used by overseas Indians, which in turn affected the supply of USDT in India. Currently, the trading price of USDT in the local market of India is significantly higher than the international parity level.

According to BBX data, last weekend Japan's largest financial group completed the most important cryptocurrency acquisition, and U.S. bipartisan senators launched a new regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms. The core developments are as follows:SBI Holdings, Inc. (Tokyo Stock Exchange: 8473) announced the acquisition of the Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank (privately held) for approximately $289 million. After the transaction is completed, SBI's cryptocurrency business will surpass all competitors, creating Japan's largest cryptocurrency exchange. SBI Holdings is one of Japan's largest independent financial services groups, already owning cryptocurrency-friendly network bank SBI Shinsei Bank, cryptocurrency asset custodian SBI Digital Asset Holdings, and multiple Bitcoin mining and cryptocurrency venture capital investments. Bitbank is one of Japan's largest spot BTC exchanges and holds an official cryptocurrency exchange license from the Financial Services Agency (FSA) of Japan. This acquisition marks a shift for traditional Japanese financial institutions from "strategic trial" in the cryptocurrency sector to "scale acquisition dominance," alongside the joint stablecoin plan of the three major banks: Mitsubishi UFJ ($MUFG), Sumitomo Mitsui ($SMFG), and Mizuho ($MFG) (targeting March 2027), forming the most intensive wave of cryptocurrency layout in Japan's financial industry by 2026.U.S. Senators John Curtis (Republican, Utah) and Adam Schiff (Democrat, California) reported on June 28 that they jointly sent a letter to the CFTC, urging it to conduct a formal investigation into the prediction market platform Polymarket (privately held), citing a "concerning" investigative report regarding Polymarket's "deceptive marketing" practices, which accused it of systematic misleading in user acquisition and risk disclosure. This is the third regulatory offensive against prediction market platforms initiated by Congress this year (previously, the House Oversight Committee launched an insider trading investigation on May 22); the two senators come from different parties, which is significant. For Robinhood Markets, Inc. (NASDAQ: $HOOD), this investigation poses indirect pressure—Robinhood's prediction market/event contract business (which achieved a record daily trading volume in June) faces the same regulatory qualitative disputes as Polymarket; however, Robinhood's defensive advantage lies in its ongoing application for a CFTC Designated Contract Market (DCM) license, providing a clearer compliance path compared to Polymarket.

The probability of the prediction "Bitcoin will drop to $50,000 this year" on the prediction market platform Polymarket has risen to 63% (from 51% on June 16).In addition, the probability of dropping to $40,000 is 30%, and the probability of rising to $70,000 is 67%.

According to CoinDesk, U.S. House Democrat Maxine Waters submitted an 11-page letter to the U.S. Department of Labor, requesting the withdrawal of a proposal that allows 401(k) retirement plans to invest in alternative assets (including private equity, private credit, real estate, commodities, and digital assets).Waters stated, "On one hand, the Department of Labor acknowledges that digital assets are suitable for the retirement savings of ordinary Americans, while on the other hand, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is still building investor protection mechanisms aimed at ensuring the safety of ordinary investors in these assets, which is inherently contradictory. The risks are not limited to the volatility of individual tokens (although the volatility is indeed significant); it reflects the general deterioration of the entire digital asset ecosystem, with trading activity, developer participation, and user engagement all significantly declining."Waters previously served as the chair of the House Financial Services Committee during the last Democratic administration, and if the Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives after the November midterm elections, she may again serve as the chair of that committee.

According to Jinshi reports, senior U.S. officials stated that the U.S. military attacked Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz region.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the Polymarket market. A large whale invested $56,000 in a single transaction for the event "Senegal vs Iraq - More Markets" on "O/U 3.5". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this target is 56%.

According to Gate market data, the euro against the US dollar EUR/USD has risen more than 0.5% during the day, currently reported at 1.1426.

The U.S. Senate is trying to advance the cryptocurrency market structure bill, the "Clarity Act," in July, but the time window for the bill's passage is narrowing due to a backlog of priority agendas such as the defense authorization bill, the agriculture bill extension, and housing legislation. The Senate's schedule is tight in the coming weeks. In addition to the annual defense and agriculture bills, Trump stated on Wednesday that he would not support a major housing bill unless Congress first passes a bill requiring federal election voters to provide proof of citizenship. This housing bill also includes provisions to prohibit central bank digital currencies.As members of Congress will leave Washington before the August recess, if the relevant bills do not advance before then, the political focus will shift to the November elections when they return, further reducing the available floor time for cryptocurrency legislation. Republican Senator Cynthia Lummis indicated that a new version of the text is expected to be released around July 4 for final review by lawmakers, with a vote planned for July. A Senate aide also mentioned that the "Clarity Act" will become one of the bipartisan priorities when the Senate reconvenes in July. However, the bill still faces multiple uncertainties, including the level of Democratic support, controversies over Trump's related cryptocurrency conflicts of interest, the priority of other significant bills, and the Senate's limited scheduling.