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According to Bloomberg, the United States is increasing deployments in preparation for a possible resumption of military strikes against Iran. Trump has repeatedly hinted that U.S. forces may resume strikes against Iran after the November 3 midterm elections and has sent a third aircraft carrier strike group and an additional 10,000 sailors and Marines toward the Persian Gulf to provide commanders with more options, although the exact timing remains uncertain.U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Esper visited Israel this week without prior announcement and met with Netanyahu. Israel will hold elections on October 27. Meanwhile, after Iran-backed Houthi forces expanded the conflict to Saudi Arabia, attacking airports and energy facilities, the U.S. State Department has ordered the evacuation of some diplomatic personnel and their families stationed in Saudi Arabia.A source familiar with Iran's thinking stated that Iran is preparing for a new round of bombings that may occur before and after the U.S. midterm elections and is planning retaliatory actions in the Middle East, including against Israel and the United Arab Emirates. This individual believes that the period from the end of the U.S. elections until the new Congress is sworn in in January will be the most difficult phase, with a way out being to reach an agreement that allows both sides to claim victory. Some officials from Gulf countries are concerned that the intensity of the conflict after its resumption may exceed that before the pause.Recent diplomatic attempts to end the conflict have failed to yield results. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif stated this week that if there is sufficient evidence showing that the U.S. genuinely wishes to reach a fair, dignified, and permanent resolution to end the conflict, Iran is willing to give diplomacy another chance, but he also noted that there is currently not much reason to expect progress.The conflict has disrupted energy transportation in the Persian Gulf, pushing Brent crude oil prices up more than 80% this year and raising U.S. gasoline prices and living costs. A Pew Research Center survey conducted from September 28 to October 4 shows that about two-thirds of Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of the Iran conflict, and about half of respondents expect the war to last more than a year. Reports indicate that concerns over military escalation are once again driving up oil prices and affecting the Republican Party's prospects in the midterm elections.

According to The Wall Street Journal, Iraq and Pakistan are cutting off some important land routes in and out of Iran. Previously, U.S. naval blockades and airline sanctions had already severed most of Iran's maritime and air transport routes.Iraq has closed the Shib border crossing, and Pakistan is intercepting Iranian trucks at Gabd and Taftan, further exacerbating the economic pressure on Iran.

According to Axios, a U.S. intelligence memorandum warns that Iran's plot to assassinate American officials overseas has entered a "high-level stage."

U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that despite Iran's attempts to disrupt energy transportation, oil exports from the Persian Gulf are rebounding strongly, surpassing pre-conflict levels. Iran's threats have failed to stop energy from flowing to global markets.

U.S. President Trump stated that we may soon end the war in Iran.

The United States Central Command stated that today marks the 100th day of the U.S. military's restoration of the "Iron Wall" maritime blockade against Iran. This action has prevented Iran from exporting at least $25 billion worth of crude oil and has limited the ability of the Iranian Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps to fund proxy militias, criminal networks, and terrorism. Apart from the humanitarian aid permitted by U.S. forces, Iran has not conducted any exports or imports by sea.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Iran had stored millions of barrels of crude oil on dozens of tankers to generate cash, but as of mid-October, these reserves have been completely depleted. Kpler analysts noted that the U.S. Navy's blockade has hindered Iran's ability to replenish its crude oil supplies.

U.S. President Trump stated that there will be no bombing of Iran before the midterm elections. Meanwhile, the U.S. is evacuating some non-emergency personnel from Saudi Arabia, reducing troop strength at some bases in the Middle East, and increasing aircraft carrier and amphibious forces. The Israeli military reportedly deployed dozens of fighter jets near the Iranian border this week before turning back, and the target list for strikes is also being updated.The U.S. State Department has ordered the evacuation of non-emergency government employees and their families only within Saudi Arabia, citing attacks on Saudi civilian targets related to Iranian-backed Houthi forces. Additionally, reports indicate that U.S. military forces have quietly reduced troop levels in Jordan, Qatar, and Kuwait in recent days. The Wall Street Journal states that the U.S. is dispatching another aircraft carrier to the Middle East, with a third carrier strike group coming from the Pacific, and is sending an amphibious assault ship carrying Marines. If the new forces arrive and existing vessels are not rotated out, the total number of U.S. naval vessels in the region is expected to exceed 24, currently around 20.Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu is reportedly continuing to advocate for a large-scale strike against Iran, and U.S. officials even suspect that Israel is deliberately provoking Iran to fire. Israeli Channel 12 cited U.S. sources stating that earlier this week, dozens of Israeli fighter jets and refueling aircraft flew over Syria and Iraq, approaching the Iranian border, with a flight path highly similar to that of an attack on Iran, turning back before entering Iranian airspace, which Israel claims was a drill and a deterrent. Pakistan, Qatar, and others are intensifying mediation, but the U.S. demands discussions on the nuclear program, while Iran hopes to first discuss reopening the Strait of Hormuz, with no breakthroughs in negotiations yet.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "US-Iran Ceasefire Continues" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "November 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 52.5% an hour ago to the current 35.5% (a fluctuation of 17%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated in an article for the Financial Times that a seven-day plan has been submitted to the United States through a mediator, aimed at ending the war and reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Amir-Abdollahian expressed that if the United States demonstrates sincere willingness, Iran is willing to attempt diplomatic avenues once again.

According to Bloomberg, citing diplomats involved in the negotiations between Iran and the United States, the talks between Iran and the United States are still ongoing, and reports about the two sides reaching an agreement soon are not true.

According to Israel's Channel 12, the proposal submitted by the Chief of Staff of the Pakistan Army to senior Iranian officials has been approved by the United States, and Iran has also tentatively agreed. The proposal partially responds to Iran's demand for the return of frozen funds, stipulating that the interest generated from the 6 billion dollars frozen in a Qatari bank will be transferred to Iran.Affected by this news, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices fell short-term by about 0.8 dollars, currently reported at 97.51 dollars per barrel and 105.76 dollars per barrel, respectively. On the news front, reports indicate that the U.S. and Iran have tentatively recognized Pakistan's mediation proposal.

Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino posted on the X platform that U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal's "analysis" of the Tether sanctions report overlooked one point: since 2023, Tether has, on average, frozen related addresses 4 weeks ahead of the formal sanctions identified by the U.S. Department of the Treasury's Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) and the Israeli National Bureau for Counter Terror Financing (NBCTF), and in 99% of cases, the freeze was completed before Chainalysis marked the related addresses.He stated that Tether's actions have led to a 94% decrease in stablecoin trading volume related to Iran. Previously, on September 28, Blumenthal released a report from the U.S. Senate Permanent Subcommittee on Investigations, stating that among 846 sanctioned wallets related to Iran and its proxies, 84% almost exclusively used USDT for transactions, and he wrote to the U.S. Department of the Treasury and the Department of Justice requesting an investigation into Tether.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated in an interview that he has issued orders to the Israeli military, Mossad, and military intelligence to "overthrow the Iranian regime." Netanyahu mentioned U.S. President Donald Trump's public support for him, stating that Trump believes the current core mission is to eliminate the threat to Israel's existence posed by Iran.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "US-Iran Ceasefire Continuation" on Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "October 31" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 84.5% an hour ago to the current 53% (a fluctuation of 31.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

The Iranian Foreign Minister stated that the "reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 7 days" plan is still valid. If the United States complies with Iran's conditions, the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened in 6 days, with negotiations resuming on the 7th day.

The Iranian Navy stated that the number of violating oil tankers damaged while attempting to cross the restricted navigation zone of the Strait of Hormuz has increased recently. On the 17th, an oil tanker caught fire and lost its navigational capability in the Gulf of Oman. On the same day, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard reported that two supertankers exploded after hitting mines in the strait, one of which was carrying over 2 million barrels of crude oil.

The United States Central Command stated that the U.S. Navy destroyer "Rafael Peralta" is operating in the regional waters to support maritime blockade operations against Iranian ports.

Iranian Foreign Minister Amir-Abdollahian stated that Tehran has proposed a seven-day plan aimed at restoring normal navigation in the Strait of Hormuz, with the decision resting in the hands of the United States.Amir-Abdollahian mentioned at the Organization of Islamic Cooperation meeting that Iran has conveyed the proposal through Qatar, and if the conditions are met, the strait will be reopened within seven days.

In an executive order, U.S. President Trump stated that, effective immediately, certain sanctions, restrictions, and tariffs specified in the "Graham Sanctions on Russia and Iran Act" are waived.