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JPMorgan Chase: For the first time, includes Bitcoin in long-term return forecasts, with potential returns surpassing gold and bonds

J.P. Morgan Asset Management has first included Bitcoin in its long-term capital market expectations, forecasting an annualized return of about 10% for Bitcoin over the next decade, which is expected to outperform stocks, bonds, and gold. However, this prediction also assumes that Bitcoin's annualized volatility could reach as high as 55%, more than three times that of U.S. large-cap stocks.J.P. Morgan believes that the gradual improvement of the regulatory framework, along with the continuous enhancement of market liquidity and price discovery mechanisms, may further promote Bitcoin's recognition in traditional financial markets. Looking ahead to the next decade, technological innovations in fields such as artificial intelligence, robotics, healthcare, and space, as well as a global capital expenditure growth of approximately $15 trillion, are also expected to drive economic growth and asset returns. Analysts point out that the correlation between Bitcoin and other assets is unstable, making it currently unsuitable as a diversification asset in balanced investment portfolios; therefore, the institution has not yet included it in its main investment portfolio model. If Bitcoin's volatility continues to decline in the future and its correlation with other assets stabilizes, its portfolio allocation value is expected to increase.

JPMorgan Chase CEO: The U.S. economy is still in a "good time," but is prepared for a 40% drop in the stock market

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon stated in an exclusive interview with The Wall Street Journal that the current state of the U.S. economy is strong, with significant growth in corporate profits, a low unemployment rate, and overall low leverage for businesses and consumers. He described this as a good time. Dimon also pointed out that several potential risks are accumulating beneath the surface, including persistent inflation that has lasted for five years, large fiscal deficits, and geopolitical uncertainties such as overseas wars.He emphasized that predicting the specific timing and triggers of an economic downturn is extremely difficult, as the eventual recession is often caused by a combination of factors that cannot be accurately assessed at present. When discussing how banks should respond, Dimon stated that JPMorgan Chase conducts extremely in-depth analyses of various risks to ensure that the bank can withstand shocks whether interest rates rise or fall, and whether inflation or stagflation occurs, while continuing to serve clients during difficult times. He mentioned that the bank is prepared for extreme scenarios such as a 40% drop in the stock market and a two to three times widening of bond credit spreads, rather than trying to guess when these scenarios will happen. The core principle is to be well-prepared to continuously support businesses and communities in various environments.

Gate Idle Money Treasure × Yu Bi Treasure Phase 2 activity is open for a limited time, with a maximum annualized yield of 5%

According to the official announcement, the Gate Idle Money Treasure × Yu Bi Bao second phase interest rate increase activity is ongoing. This phase of the activity covers USDT current financial products, and users who meet the specified net recharge conditions can receive additional interest rate rewards.In the Idle Money Treasure activity, users who accumulate net recharges of BTC, ETH, and USDT to reach the specified threshold during the activity period and activate Idle Money Treasure can receive additional interest on top of the basic earnings. Specifically, if the cumulative net recharge reaches 10,000 USDT, users can enjoy an additional 1% interest rate, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 4%; if it reaches 50,000 USDT, users can enjoy an additional 2% interest rate, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 5%. The upper limit for the principal eligible for interest rate increases in both tiers is 50,000 USDT.The Yu Bi Bao activity is open to VIP 2 to VIP 14 users. If the cumulative net recharge of USDT reaches 100,000 USDT and users subscribe to a 7-day fixed-term financial product in USDT, they can enjoy an additional 7.3% interest rate on top of the 3.7% basic annualized yield, resulting in a comprehensive annualized yield of 11%. The upper limit for the principal eligible for interest rate increases is 100,000 USDT. Users must continuously meet the net recharge requirements during the subscription and the order's duration to receive the additional interest rate rewards.

first_img Richard Byworth: The next round of Bitcoin's rise is just a matter of time, as selling pressure reaches record lows

According to Bitcoin Magazine, Richard Byworth previously worked at Syz Capital, focusing his career on hedge fund structure design. In an interview with Bitcoin Magazine, he stated that the next round of Bitcoin's rise is just a matter of time.He pointed out that, based on data from on-chain analysis platforms like Glassnode, the current level of seller exhaustion has reached a historical high. Although the market does not exhibit an extreme bearish atmosphere, multiple on-chain indicators show that Bitcoin is strongly building a bottom. He mentioned that Bitcoin has been trading in the range just above $80,000 in recent weeks, and he believed that $58,000 was a bottom.Byworth also discussed Bitcoin yield strategies. He warned that using a covered call strategy during a bullish market could lead to significant losses of Bitcoin for investors, and advocated for earning low-volatility, market-neutral returns through basis trading collateralized by Bitcoin. He noted that Strive had bought three times the weekly issuance of Bitcoin in a single transaction within a week, believing that the next round of rise is just a matter of time.Regarding Bitcoin treasury companies, Byworth stated that the digital credit products designed by Saylor are putting pressure on the traditional bond market, as the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries is around 5.1% to 5.2%, and investors will see their returns eroded by the faster pace of currency depreciation. He mentioned followers like Strive and Metaplanet, and believes that Bitcoin could break its historical high again before the end of the year, and reaching $350,000 in about a year is not entirely impossible.
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