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During the IMF meeting in Bangkok, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh stated that he would not predict the outcomes of the remaining two interest rate meetings this year and was unwilling to disclose potential actions in advance. He said, "This is a new chapter for the Federal Reserve; we no longer do this." Regarding the recent signals from colleagues indicating "no urgency to raise interest rates this month," he neither explicitly supported nor refuted them. Walsh reiterated that the Federal Reserve will achieve price stability and noted that the global economy has largely aligned with central bank expectations since the interest rate hike in September, while describing the recent actions of various central banks as a synchronized tightening of monetary policy in most regions of the world.In September, the Federal Reserve unanimously raised interest rates by 25 basis points, increasing the target range for the federal funds rate to 3.75% to 4%. At that time, most officials expected at least one more rate hike this year. Despite the core CPI rising by 0.33% month-on-month in September, marking a strong increase for the second consecutive month, and the latest producer price data also being robust, Walsh hardly mentioned this week's inflation report and did not significantly attempt to change market expectations for the October meeting. Reports indicated that during his speech, the dollar weakened, and market bets on an interest rate hike in October dropped from about 30% to around 17%.Additionally, Walsh believes that the U.S. is experiencing significant investment growth and holds an optimistic view on economic resilience and the productivity boost brought by AI, but he warned that the development path will be "very bumpy," and the short-term impact of AI on employment remains unclear. DBS Bank macro strategist Wei Liang Chang stated that Walsh reiterated that artificial intelligence will improve productivity in the medium term, which may help ease inflation expectations and alleviate concerns about the Federal Reserve's consecutive rate hikes. Saxo Markets Chief Investment Strategist Charu Chanana noted that Walsh's refusal to commit to another rate hike led to some bets on Federal Reserve rate hikes falling flat, and related comments did not help the dollar following the release of strong inflation data.

According to Bloomberg, the cryptocurrency market is experiencing a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with analysts still leaning bullish, but the speculative market is shifting towards defense, putting pressure on risk appetite. Bitcoin briefly fell below $80,000 for the first time in nearly a month; affected by the sell-off in the U.S. stock market's AI sector, risk assets retreated, and the bullish sentiment that the cryptocurrency market was trying to rebuild was once again thwarted.Jeff Anderson, head of STS Digital in the U.S., stated that inflation data will "severely impact risk appetite," and the market is entering a quiet period before the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, with interest rate expectations still uncertain. Nick Forster, founder of Derive.xyz, mentioned that in the past 24 hours, the market's pricing of Bitcoin's probability of rising to $100,000 before Christmas has decreased by 2.8 percentage points to 9.7%; long-term bullish bets have quickly retreated, short-term hedging demand has surged, and institutions are reassessing macro risk exposure as the interest rate outlook becomes unclear again.

Apple plans to launch Apple Smart through the iOS 27.3 system update in December, with the first batch of AI features released two years ago in the United States, covering iPhone, iPad, and Mac.Alibaba provides AI model capabilities, while Baidu is responsible for Siri and visual intelligence features.

According to The Defiant, Babylon is advancing a native Bitcoin collateralization plan for Aave V4. Under this proposal, the collateral will remain on the Bitcoin network, while the permissionless liquidation process will settle using WBTC.Currently, the risk parameters of the plan and subsequent governance votes are yet to be determined.

According to CME's "FedWatch" data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in October is 76.2%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate hike is 23.8%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the predicted market Polymarket for the event "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs. Alexander Bublik," the sub-market "Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs. Alexander Bublik" saw the winning probability of the "Alexander Zverev" option experience a sharp fluctuation, plummeting from 65.5% an hour ago to the current 19.5% (a fluctuation of 46%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

Singapore, October 13, 2026, the BSC ecosystem AI Agent project NeoSoul today announced a strategic cooperation with Alibaba Cloud. NeoSoul has integrated Alibaba Cloud's AI model services into its Agentic Trading product NeoTrade, providing support for model inference and computation for autonomous trading agents; as the product develops and usage scales grow, both parties plan to further explore cloud-based AI technology collaboration.After users set trading rules in NeoTrade, the AI Agent will continuously track market changes, assess trading opportunities, and execute strategies within the authorized scope. The model inference and computation services provided by Alibaba Cloud will support the Agent in repeatedly updating judgments in response to market changes, providing computational resources for autonomous trading applications.Kaelan, co-founder of NeoSoul, stated that AI Agents are evolving from answering questions to continuous decision-making and autonomous execution, rapidly increasing the demands on underlying AI infrastructure; Alibaba Cloud's modeling and computing capabilities will support NeoTrade in handling larger-scale and more complex autonomous trading tasks, and explore the application boundaries of AI Agents in real financial scenarios. An Alibaba Cloud spokesperson stated that they will support the development of NeoTrade through model services and computing capabilities, and continue to explore technological collaboration aimed at next-generation AI Agent applications with NeoSoul.

On Tuesday, Alibaba Group launched the Qwen Glasses N1 series smart glasses at an event in Hangzhou, extending its artificial intelligence strategy into consumer electronics. The company claims to be a full-stack artificial intelligence provider in China, covering everything from data centers and software to end products. The series starts at a pre-discount price of 2999 yuan (approximately 450 USD). Bloomberg reported that this price is not lower than that of industry leader Meta's Ray-Ban smart glasses, with Alibaba aiming to compete on quality and functionality, not just price.Wu Jianjun, General Manager of Qwen AI Hardware Products, stated that the new glasses are equipped with an improved 50-megapixel camera and sensors. The Pro version is priced at 3499 yuan and features eye-tracking capabilities, with a standby time of 25 hours or 9 hours of music playback on a single charge. The new model is about a year after the first version released last November, integrating the Qwen AI assistant more closely and expanding its functionalities. Following Meta's example, Alibaba is trying to make smart glasses an entry point for its artificial intelligence tools and agents. Last month, Meta launched a simplified version of smart glasses without a camera, priced at 349 USD, primarily for interaction with the Muse AI assistant.

According to RootData, the quotes for exchange stocks and ETF perpetual contracts have slightly diverged. Alibaba, SanDisk, Robinhood, and JPMorgan Chase have seen slight increases compared to the after-hours reference prices from the last trading day, while the iShares Bitcoin ETF has seen a slight decrease:Alibaba (BABA) is currently priced at $110.58, up 0.23% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $110.33;SanDisk (SNDK) is currently priced at $1,562.94, up 0.22% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $1,559.48;iShares Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) is currently priced at $47.52, down 0.22% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $47.63;Robinhood (HOOD) is currently priced at $110.94, up 0.21% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $110.71;JPMorgan Chase (JPM) is currently priced at $335.12, up 0.19% from the last trading day's after-hours reference price of $334.47.

According to Polymarket data, the probability of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates by 25 basis points in October has dropped to 17%, while the probability of maintaining the current rate has risen to 84%. The trading volume for the related prediction event has reached 32 million dollars.

Alibaba Chairman Joe Tsai stated that open-source AI is the best way for Europe to reduce its dependence on American and Chinese technology and to establish technological autonomy. He urged Europe to build its own computing infrastructure for training and running AI models, stating that no country would want to fully trust another country's technology, as a change in government or circumstances could lead to the cutting off of technology supplies.Joe Tsai added that Europe has not fully utilized its AI researchers, as these talents often become targets for recruitment by laboratories in the United States and China. He called on Europe to focus on using proprietary industrial data to train artificial intelligence models for competitive advantage, citing Chinese manufacturing as an example, stating that Chinese factories possess valuable manufacturing data that could be highly valuable for training models. He also expressed optimism about the emergence of new cloud service providers in Europe in recent years, specifically professional cloud computing companies equipped with AI chip data centers.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the "Next French Presidential Election" event is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative funding pool size reaching 1.461 billion dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "Marine Le Pen," with a corresponding winning probability of approximately 43.25%.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, the event "Power Balance: 2026 Midterm Elections" is currently among the hottest trades on the prediction market Polymarket, with a cumulative pool size reaching 178 million dollars. The option with the highest market consensus is "Democratic Party Victory," corresponding to a winning probability of approximately 66.5%.

Polymarket Bitcoin 2026 price prediction market trading volume reached 72.6 million USD, with a reference price of approximately 84,950 USD. The market's implied probabilities show that the chances of Bitcoin reaching 90,000 USD, 95,000 USD, and 100,000 USD before 2027 are 73%, 54%, and 39%, respectively.Kalshi Bitcoin year-end closing price prediction market trading volume is approximately 39.5 million USD, with a predicted value of 86,240 USD. Claude Opus 5.5 and ChatGPT-6 Astra's predictions for Bitcoin's price on December 31, 2026, are 91,500 USD and 94,000 USD, respectively.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event "Japanese Tennis Open: Alcaraz vs. Mitchellson" on Polymarket, the option "Over 2.5" in the sub-market "Total Sets O/U 2.5" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in win rate, soaring from 28% an hour ago to the current 91% (a fluctuation of 63%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Rest of World, Alibaba launched the open-source model platform ModelScope in 2022, and OSChina launched MoArk in 2023, providing model hosting, testing, and customization services for Chinese developers behind firewalls. In 2023, Chinese regulators blocked Hugging Face without disclosing specific reasons; reports indicate that the government simultaneously allowed artificial intelligence laboratories to bypass the blockade to share Chinese models globally. ModelScope currently hosts over 170,000 models and stated in March that it has 170,000 models and 250 million users; MoArk hosts about 20,000 commonly used models, both still below Hugging Face, which hosts over 3 million open models.OSChina CEO Xu Yong stated that not everyone can always use a VPN, and China needs to establish an independent artificial intelligence ecosystem that serves Chinese users, claiming that China is developing an independent ecosystem faster than during the internet era. He also mentioned that MoArk has deployed engineering teams to ensure that models can run on different types of Chinese chips, making it their mission to ensure mainstream open models are compatible with Chinese chips. Both platforms offer some services for free, with additional computing power and premium features charged; ModelScope also hosts university hackathons and has opened co-working and event spaces for AI entrepreneurs in Hangzhou.Headquartered in New York, Hugging Face is a major platform for sharing open models and datasets. In September, Nvidia announced its acquisition of the company for $12.9 billion and noted in regulatory filings that regulators might prohibit sharing Chinese models on the site.

The crypto media The Block reported that there are 36 days until the U.S. midterm elections. The cumulative trading volume on the U.S. presidential election market on the prediction market platform Polymarket US has surpassed $545 million, making election-related markets one of the largest by trading volume on the platform.Traders currently assign a 91% probability to the Democratic Party winning the U.S. House of Representatives, up from 73% in May. The aforementioned trading volume and probability are both derived from the U.S. election-related markets on Polymarket US.

Reuters quoted The Information's report stating that the Chinese government has signaled that it may allow some domestic companies, such as ByteDance and Alibaba, to purchase chips from Nvidia designed for high-end professional computers. The Information cited two informed sources saying that the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology recently requested companies, including ByteDance and Alibaba, to report their plans to purchase Nvidia RTX PRO 5500 chips and informed some companies that the government intends to approve these purchases.Some industry executives expect that the RTX PRO 5500 could bypass U.S. export restrictions. Reuters stated that it could not immediately verify the above report. A spokesperson for Nvidia responded that U.S. companies are still subject to outdated U.S. export controls as well as China's import restrictions on the U.S., with the relevant export controls covering gaming products released nearly five years ago. Alibaba and ByteDance did not immediately respond to requests for comment, and Reuters was also unable to reach the Chinese government for comment.

PPP market prediction tool monitoring shows that the probability of "ETH reaching $2800 during the remaining period of September" on Polymarket has dropped to 37%, a weekly decrease of 38%; the probability of "ETH reaching $2900 during the remaining period of September" has dropped to 12%, a weekly decrease of 8%.According to the settlement rules, if the highest price of any 1-minute candlestick of Binance ETH/USDT reaches or exceeds the specified price within the designated month, the market will settle as "Yes"; otherwise, it will settle as "No". This market settlement is based solely on Binance ETH/USDT price data, and prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are not counted.