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Cryptocurrency quantitative analyst @AxelAdlerJr stated that Bitcoin recently reached an average entry cost of $74,200 for U.S. Bitcoin ETF holders. If Bitcoin can maintain a position above this level, ETF holders will shift from losses to breakeven (neutral); if it falls below, it indicates that the market structure remains weak and pressure continues.On the other hand, the cost basis for short-term holders (STH) is approximately $83,734, which is the main resistance level in the current market. Analysts believe that only when the cost of Bitcoin ETF holders further narrows the gap with the STH cost basis can the Bitcoin market structure see a more significant improvement.

Due to the migration of the top decentralized application Ether.fi to Optimism, the Ethereum Layer-2 network Scroll has experienced a significant loss of funds, resulting in a total value locked (TVL) decrease of approximately $160 million and an annual fee loss of about $13 million.Scroll stated that it will propose a plan to dissolve the decentralized security committee and reduce DAO members to lower operational costs, with network control being handed over to the internal team. Additionally, Scroll briefly raised network gas fees by 1,280 times after the protocol migration, causing users to pay over $50,000 in extra fees, but it has since returned to normal. After this adjustment, Scroll's TVL has dropped to approximately $23 million. The official statement claims that all contract changes will remain transparent and verifiable on-chain.

According to PR Newswire, BTQ Technologies has released a research paper titled "Kardashev Scale Quantum Computing for Bitcoin Mining," which quantifies the physical costs of the entire process of using quantum computing for Bitcoin mining for the first time. The related research points out that the market has long confused two types of quantum threats: one is the attack on Bitcoin's elliptic curve digital signatures (real and urgent), and the other is quantum mining accelerated by Grover's algorithm (theoretically possible but with extremely high practical costs).The BTQ paper argues that to have a substantial impact on consensus, a quantum computing cluster with energy consumption far exceeding the current level of human civilization needs to be built. The study also proposes an open-source resource estimation model, covering key aspects such as reversible double SHA-256 computation, fault-tolerant quantum error correction, and large-scale quantum bit scheduling. The conclusion emphasizes that the more realistic risk facing Bitcoin comes from vulnerabilities in cryptographic signatures, rather than quantum mining capabilities.

On-chain analyst Murphy stated that the average cost of all loss-making Bitcoin chips has currently fallen below $100,000, now at only $93,600. This means that under the current chip structure, BTC will reach the market average breakeven point when it rises back to $93,000. During the two rapid declines at the end of last year and the beginning of this year, a large number of high-position trapped chips chose to cut losses and exit, lowering the average cost of overall floating loss chips.It is also observed that the average cost of loss-making chips has a deviation coefficient of 1.4 compared to the current 30-day average price of BTC, while in the past three bear market bottoms, the deviation coefficient has exceeded 2 at least. When the average deviation coefficient is greater than or equal to 2, it indicates that the market has entered an absolute bottom range, at which point the price of BTC is less than 50% of the average cost of loss-making chips. To meet this condition, the lowest point of BTC in this round would need to drop to $46,800, but historical patterns may not always hold true. This bear market may be less painful than any previous bear market. According to PolyBeats monitoring, in the market related to whether Bitcoin will reach $60,000 or $80,000 first on Polymarket, the probability of reaching $60,000 first is 68%, while the probability of reaching $80,000 first is 32%.

The conflict in the Middle East has led to disruptions in shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, causing global shipping costs to soar dramatically, and the war risk insurance premiums for vessels have risen rapidly.In addition, shipping companies also need to consider freight rates. Industry insiders indicate that freight rates have already increased by 11 to 12 times. The costs of insurance and detours are being passed on, continuously impacting global trade and supply chain security.

Sources close to the White House say that as the Iran war enters its second month, senior White House aides and government officials are discussing the possibility of oil prices soaring to $150 a barrel or even higher records.Two industry officials in contact with the White House indicated that White House officials are assessing the impact of high oil prices on the economy and considering measures to reduce costs, including the use of additional emergency powers. Trump has also received reports from the Treasury Department regarding the recent outlook for energy prices. The U.S. Treasury currently believes that oil prices may remain above $100 a barrel for some time.Sources say the government views this figure as a "baseline" and does not rule out the possibility of oil prices rising to $200 a barrel. Another informed official revealed that the government is trying every possible idea to alleviate oil prices, including exercising emergency powers and responding to supply chain disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz for defense reasons.

On-chain data platform Glassnode posted on X platform, stating that the current Bitcoin price is at the lower end of the cost range for new investors ($60,000 - $70,000). Data shows that there has been a certain degree of accumulation within this range, but the overall scale is still below the typical levels that have historically driven strong rebounds, indicating relatively weak chip density.The current accumulation structure has constructive significance in form, but is still insufficient in strength and has not yet formed a clear upward momentum signal.

According to The Block, digital asset management company CoinShares released a report indicating that Bitcoin miners are facing ongoing pressure to break even while accelerating their transition to AI. CoinShares' research director James Butterfill noted that the weighted average cash cost for publicly listed mining companies to mine one Bitcoin in the fourth quarter of 2025 has risen to approximately $79,995.The price of computing power has further dropped from $36 to $38 per PH/s/day to about $28 to $30 in the first quarter of 2026, meaning miners are still under more pressure. The report also pointed out that a triple negative difficulty adjustment at the end of 2025 is the first since July 2022, with publicly listed miners' Bitcoin reserves decreasing by more than 15,000 coins from their peak, with Core Scientific, Bitdeer, and Riot all having sold, and MARA separately announced the sale of 15,133 Bitcoins on Thursday.Regarding price outlook, Butterfill stated that a rebound in Bitcoin price to $100,000 "is not unrealistic," at which point the price of computing power is expected to rise to about $37 per PH/s/day; if it reaches the previous high near $126,000, it could reach about $59. If Bitcoin remains below $80,000 in the long term, the price of computing power will continue to decline with rising difficulty, but the exit of loss-making capacity may stabilize returns.In terms of the AI transition, Butterfill expects that publicly listed mining companies are rapidly accelerating their shift to artificial intelligence and high-performance computing, driven primarily by the higher and more stable returns in these fields compared to Bitcoin mining. By the end of this year, the revenue share from AI for publicly listed mining companies is expected to rise from the current approximately 30% to as high as 70%.

According to on-chain analyst Ai Yi's monitoring, a dormant 2016 ETH OG (0xa2F...F85A) has deposited 15,000 ETH into Coinbase, worth 30.97 million USD.This address has been accumulating ETH since 2016, with a cost price of 11.61 USD. If sold this time, it would yield a profit of 30.79 million USD, with a return rate of 17,680%.

Data shows that the economic pressure on Bitcoin mining is intensifying. The current average production cost per coin is about $88,000, while the current Bitcoin price is approximately $69,200, meaning miners are losing nearly $19,000 per BTC, resulting in an overall loss of about 21%. Meanwhile, the overall mining difficulty has decreased by about 7.8%, marking the second-largest drop within 2026, reflecting the exit of computing power and rising network pressure.Analysis suggests that rising energy prices, combined with the tense situation in the Middle East, further increase mining costs. Electricity costs remain under pressure, and if miners are forced to sell Bitcoin to maintain operations, it could create additional selling pressure on the market. If Bitcoin prices continue to stay below the cost line and difficulty continues to decrease, the process of miners clearing out may continue, putting pressure on the spot market structure in the short term.

According to CoinDesk, the conflict in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices has caused a significant drop in Bitcoin's hash rate, putting pressure on miners and the overall market.In the past week, the network hash rate has decreased by about 8%, to 920 EH/s, suggesting a possible entry into a new phase of miner sell-offs, which is usually accompanied by downward price pressure. The current Bitcoin price is below $72,000, down about 5% from Monday's peak. The network is expected to undergo a hash rate difficulty adjustment of about 8%, marking the second-largest negative adjustment in the past five years. Previously, in mid-February, Bitcoin also experienced a historic significant difficulty adjustment, indicating extreme volatility in mining activity.Analysis indicates that the pressure faced by miners stems from intensified competition, persistently low transaction fees, and Bitcoin price fluctuations, which have compressed profit margins. Many publicly listed mining companies have begun to diversify their operations, including AI and high-performance computing, while increasing Bitcoin sales to maintain operations, which also creates some resistance to Bitcoin prices.

CryptoQuant analyst @AxelAdlerJr stated that there has been a rebound in the inflow of funds into Bitcoin spot ETFs recently, but the Bitcoin price is still $5,174 lower than the ETF realization price (note: this can be approximated as the average cost price of Bitcoin held by the ETF), which is about $80,000.The analyst mentioned that a recovery in demand could drive prices upward, but the resistance level around $80,000 may trigger profit-taking, and it is necessary to pay attention to subsequent macro data to assess the potential for a breakout.

Gate officially launches the AI model routing platform GateRouter, providing developers with a unified entry point for large model calls. Through a single API, users can access over 25 mainstream models including OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, xAI, DeepSeek, Qwen, and Moonshot. The system intelligently matches the most suitable model based on task complexity, optimizing call costs while ensuring effectiveness.GateRouter adopts a compatible access method, allowing developers to complete the integration in just 30 seconds with a single command. They can manage API Keys, view call logs, and usage statistics through the developer console, while a built-in Playground is available for online comparison of model performance. Official data shows that by automatically matching models through intelligent routing, the overall average AI inference cost can be reduced by over 80% compared to using flagship models exclusively.Currently, GateRouter is open for use by AI Agents, AI Agent developers, enterprise teams, and Web3 Builders, with related services available for free for a limited time. In the future, the platform will adopt a pay-as-you-go model and support Gate Pay USDT balance deductions. It will also gradually integrate payment methods such as fiat currency, credit cards, and the x402 protocol to enhance the automation of AI Agent calls and settlement capabilities.

According to on-chain data platform CryptoQuant, the selling pressure from Bitcoin miners has intensified. MARA announced a new policy allowing the sale of Bitcoin reserves and transferred 298 BTC to Cumberland; Core Scientific recently also sold 2,174 BTC.MARA's current average mining cost is about $70,027 per coin, while efficient miners can have costs as low as approximately $45,000. The purpose of the sell-offs by several mining companies includes strengthening their balance sheets and funding the expansion of AI infrastructure.

According to CoinDesk, data from the on-chain analysis platform Glassnode shows that during the recent pullback of Bitcoin below $70,000, traders have been buying the dip significantly, accumulating nearly 600,000 BTC, valued at approximately $4.248 billion at current prices, with about 200,000 BTC of that amount purchased in just the past two weeks.At the beginning of this year, the last transfer of BTC in the range of $60,000 to $70,000 was about 997,000 coins, and after Bitcoin recently fell below $70,000, that number has risen to approximately 1.558 million coins. This means that currently about 8% of the circulating supply was bought in the $60,000 to $70,000 range, forming a relatively dense cost zone for holdings, which may become an important support level in the future.

SoftBank's stock price plummeted 9.8% on Monday, more than double the decline of the Japanese market, triggered by the Financial Times indicating that OpenAI and Oracle have abandoned plans to expand the Stargate data center in Texas. Over the past four months, SoftBank's stock price has nearly halved, as market concerns about its deep bet on OpenAI continue to escalate.Last month, SoftBank agreed to invest $30 billion in OpenAI's latest funding round of $110 billion, bringing its total investment to $64.6 billion, with a stake of about 13%. The rating agency S&P downgraded SoftBank's already junk-rated outlook to negative this month, citing liquidity concerns and weak credit quality for OpenAI. Currently, more than half of SoftBank's assets are non-listed illiquid assets, and it is seeking transitional loans to cover the investment gap.Analysts point out that SoftBank is one of the most direct channels for ordinary investors to bet on OpenAI, but once market confidence in Masayoshi Son's macro themes wavers, SoftBank often bears the brunt.

According to Cointelegraph, Token Terminal data shows that Ethereum transaction costs have plummeted 99% from historical highs, currently averaging only $0.016.

The CEO of Mysten Labs, evan.sui, stated in a recent interview that he does not agree with the notion of "bear markets are great, keep building." In fact, bear markets are not "great" and are not worth celebrating or boasting about. The volatility does not merely "cleanse the market," but can scare away builders and users, leading to a smaller talent pool and slower adoption processes. While bear markets may allow a few teams to focus more, packaging it as beneficial for everyone overlooks the real costs and can harm the long-term development of the crypto industry. During downturns, many people lose their savings, cash flow breaks down, and even some strong teams may not be able to survive, which genuinely harms many individuals.