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The Hormuz negotiations are at a standstill, and the tension in the Middle East continues to "heat up" oil prices

Supported by the uncertainty of the reopening prospects of the Strait of Hormuz and the ongoing tensions in the Middle East, both WTI and Brent crude oil prices continued to rise in the U.S. trading session. Iran reiterated several conditions before agreeing to fully reopen the strait. According to Al Jazeera, the conditions proposed by the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, Zolghadr, include: ending the U.S. maritime blockade and the withdrawal of the U.S. Navy and Air Force from around Iran.Tehran also demanded compensation for damages caused by recent conflicts, the lifting of sanctions, and the unconditional unfreezing of Iranian assets. These demands currently reduce the likelihood of a swift return to normal shipping and help maintain the risk premium in WTI prices. Meanwhile, negotiations with Oman to establish a secure shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz seem to be making progress.However, due to the failure to reach an agreement on full reopening, investors remain cautious about the risks of long-term disruptions to oil supply. Regional tensions are not limited to the Strait of Hormuz. The Iran-backed Houthi forces in Yemen claimed responsibility for a drone attack on Saudi Aramco's refinery in Saudi Arabia. The latest attacks on major energy infrastructure have heightened market concerns about the security of regional oil supplies.

Canadian residents fall victim to a cryptocurrency scam, with fraudsters using the Royal Canadian Mounted Police's insignia to carry out secondary fraud

A resident of Nanaimo, Canada, fell victim to a scam after receiving a text message promoting remote stock trading jobs and depositing about CAD 5,000 (approximately USD 3,600) through a cryptocurrency ATM at the end of last year. Earlier this year, the victim saw a message online disguised as an RCMP announcement encouraging fraud victims to report their cases.After submitting a form, a person claiming to be a lawyer called, stating that they had found two cryptocurrency accounts related to the victim and could help recover about USD 60,000 in so-called profits. Gary O'Brien, a media relations officer with the Nanaimo RCMP, stated that the RCMP does not contact individuals regarding discovered cryptocurrency accounts, does not collaborate with private companies to recover lost funds, and does not request any form of payment to investigate fraud.Andy Zhou, co-founder and CEO of blockchain security company BlockSec, stated that such tactics are known as "false recovery service scams" and have systematic characteristics. Scammers often possess victim information collected from the original scam, and organized fraud rings circulate lists of previously remitted victims, making these individuals targets for secondary scams.The effectiveness of impersonating law enforcement brands lies in exploiting the psychological mechanism of "authority bias." Canadian police have been conducting cryptocurrency investigation training since 2022.

Tom Lee responds to the contradiction with Fundstrat's outlook: short-term defense and long-term bullishness can coexist

Regarding the contradictory outlook on Bitcoin from Tom Lee and his Fundstrat analysts (Tom Lee is bullish, while Fundstrat is bearish), Fundstrat client Cassian posted that the interpretation of this debate is unfair and misleading. Tom Lee retweeted and replied, "Well said."Cassian stated: This interpretation is taken out of context; the actual situation involves collaboration among different teams, over different time periods, and with different responsibilities.Cassian mentioned that the three core figures at Fundstrat have clearly defined roles: Tom Lee is responsible for the macro and liquidity framework and is the most vocal, maintaining a long-term bullish view on crypto assets; Sean Farrell, as the head of digital asset strategy, is responsible for specific crypto portfolios and position adjustments. Assuming BTC pulls back to $60,000-$65,000, he would convert about 50% of the portfolio to cash/stablecoins, which is a risk management action rather than a long-term bearish stance; Mark Newton approaches from a technical perspective, believing that the October pullback disrupted the original upward trend. He expects a rebound first, followed by a period of consolidation, and after structural repair, there is still room for growth by the end of the year. The three have a high degree of consensus on macro risk: the overall environment will be very unstable in the first half of 2026, with differences in that Sean focuses on short-term defense, Mark looks at technical structure repair, and Tom maintains a structural bullish view from a longer-term and liquidity perspective.Cassian stated that he personally holds a large amount of BitMine stock and would not sell even if the price pulls back by 70%, because the risk of "missing out on a big rise" is greater than the reward of "trying to catch the bottom." He emphasized that understanding who is speaking, what their responsibilities are, and the time horizon is crucial. Once these pieces are put together, the claim that "Fundstrat is contradictory" falls apart.
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