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first_img Analysis: After the halving, operational efficiency is no longer sufficient to determine the survival of mining companies, and Bitcoin collateral is replacing direct selling

A report jointly released by the Bitcoin collateral lending platform CoinRabbit and the computing power platform GoMining points out that managing Bitcoin is more important than mining it. As the block reward drops to 3.125 BTC and the overall network difficulty approaches historical highs, low electricity prices and high uptime only constitute a survival baseline. What truly differentiates mining companies is the method of handling Bitcoin after it is mined.The report suggests that mining companies are shifting from direct sales to collateralized lending to cover recurring expenses such as electricity, custody, and labor. This approach retains exposure to holding Bitcoin while generating cash flow, avoids taxable sales, and preserves the deduction space for operating expenses. The trade-off is that mining companies simultaneously bear the dual risks of price and liquidation when Bitcoin prices decline.Jeremy Dreier, Chief Business Development Officer of GoMining, stated that the miners who can succeed after the halving are those who operate efficiently and have set aside cash in advance for this purpose. The current decline in Bitcoin prices has actually lowered the cost of increasing computing power, creating a window of opportunity for investing in expanding mining machines.

The dark side of the moon accelerates capitalization, Kimi K3 rushes to a valuation of 50 billion dollars after its release

The Chinese AI large model company Dark Side of the Moon is accelerating its capitalization process, planning to start the final round of pre-IPO financing negotiations in August, with a target pre-investment valuation of $50 billion. Reports indicate that Dark Side of the Moon expects to complete a round of financing soon, corresponding to a valuation of approximately $31.5 billion. After completing this round of financing, the company will immediately engage in discussions for the next round of financing with potential investors, which may become its last private placement before entering the Hong Kong capital market.Market participants believe that if the financing plan proceeds smoothly, Dark Side of the Moon could initiate the process for a Hong Kong stock listing as early as this year. One of the key driving factors for this valuation increase is the company's recent release of the new generation large model Kimi K3. It is reported that Kimi K3 has a parameter scale of 28 trillion, supporting a context window of millions of tokens, making it one of the largest open-source models in the world by parameter scale. After the model was released, it quickly attracted market attention, prompting the company to adjust its new user subscription arrangements to ensure the user experience for existing customers.As the competition in generative AI enters a phase of comparison in computing power, user scale, and commercialization capabilities, large model companies are accelerating their search for capital support. Dark Side of the Moon's financing plan also reflects the market's ongoing interest in leading AI foundational model companies. However, the $50 billion valuation target also implies higher commercialization requirements. In the future, investors will focus on Dark Side of the Moon's revenue growth, control of computing costs, and whether the Kimi series models can form a stable business model. If the financing and listing plans proceed smoothly, Dark Side of the Moon may become an important case of capitalization for Chinese AI large model companies.

BNEF: U.S. data centers may account for 20% of electricity consumption by 2035, Bitcoin mining companies are accelerating the shift to AI computing power

Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) latest forecast shows that by 2035, electricity consumption by data centers in the United States will account for about 20% of the nation's total electricity consumption, a significant increase from the current level of about 5.9%. The agency has raised its forecast for data center electricity demand in 2035 to 106 GW, which is 36% higher than the 78 GW predicted in April this year. Currently, the operating capacity of data centers in the U.S. is about 40 GW, accounting for approximately 3.5%-4% of the national electricity demand, while under BNEF's baseline scenario, this proportion is expected to reach 8.6% by 2035. The high-growth model from the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) indicates that if the combined effects of cryptocurrency mining and AI computing power are taken into account, the upper limit of this proportion also points to 20%.In response to the explosive growth in AI computing power demand, Bitcoin mining companies are actively transforming. Companies like Core Scientific and Riot Platforms have partnered with tech giants such as AWS and Google to convert their existing mining sites into AI data centers. Currently, Bitcoin mining companies have secured about 6 GW of electricity capacity, which is expected to expand to 12 GW by 2027, with some analysts estimating that about 20% of mining companies' computing power capacity will shift towards AI workloads by then. Data from the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) shows that data centers now account for about 90% of local large load applications, with many sites originally used for cryptocurrency mining being repurposed as AI computing facilities. This trend is also directly reflected in the capital markets, as Core Scientific has seen a significant rebound in its stock price after emerging from bankruptcy and partnering with AI cloud service provider CoreWeave.
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