iran

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension on __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the probability of the "Yes" option in the submarket "May 28" has experienced drastic fluctuations, dropping from 50% an hour ago to the current 30.5% (a fluctuation of 19.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $81,133 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" for the date "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 86.76%.

According to CCTV News, on the 25th local time, it was learned that the Iranian delegation led by the Speaker of the Iranian Islamic Consultative Assembly, Ghalibaf, will return to Tehran tonight after concluding their meetings in Doha, the capital of Qatar.It is reported that the relevant agenda of the delegation in Qatar has now concluded.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $59,817.6 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 91%.

According to a report by Xinhua News Agency citing Al Jazeera on the 25th, an Iranian official stated that the Strait of Hormuz will be opened in phases.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $63,759.08 in a single transaction regarding the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 90.54%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $56,655.46 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26". Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 92%.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale sold $52,800 in a single transaction regarding the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" on "May 26." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 88%.

According to Jinshi reports, the director of the National Economic Council of the White House, Hassett, stated that if the U.S. and Iran reach a potential agreement, it could lead to a significant drop in energy prices and create room for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. He also pointed out that recent inflationary pressures have been primarily driven by high energy costs.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $147,455.32 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" for the date "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding probability for this subject is 69.79%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the U.S. announce a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension on __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 25" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 65% an hour ago to the current 49.5% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the prediction market Polymarket for the event "Will a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran be reached on __?", the "Yes" option for the sub-market "June 7" has experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 38.5% an hour ago to the current 54% (a fluctuation of 15.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB Governing Council member Cœur stated that unless a sustainable peace agreement can be reached between the United States and Iran, the European Central Bank will face pressure to raise interest rates next month. This year, inflation levels in the Eurozone may be higher than previously expected, and the economy is showing considerable resilience. Cœur pointed out that if the situation does not improve, the ECB will have to focus discussions on taking action.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event "The U.S. announces a new Iran agreement/ceasefire extended to __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 24" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 42.5% an hour ago to the current 58.5% (a fluctuation of 16%). Please note the impact of relevant breaking news.

According to Jinshi reports, ECB Governing Council member Cœur stated that the European Central Bank is facing pressure to raise interest rates due to the Iran war driving up prices.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Time of Reaching a Permanent Peace Agreement between the U.S. and Iran" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 26" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 57.5% an hour ago to the current 39.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to on-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict, significant capital movements are predicted in the market Polymarket. A large whale invested $114,061.97 in the event "Will the US and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before...?" with a single purchase on "May 31." Based on the current transaction price, the latest corresponding winning probability for this subject is 66%.

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the Iran ceasefire last until...?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "July 31" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 58% an hour ago to the current 74.5% (a fluctuation of 16.5%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the event "Will a permanent peace agreement between the United States and Iran be reached on...?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "May 31" experienced a dramatic fluctuation in winning probability, soaring from 42.5% an hour ago to the current 60.5% (a fluctuation of 18%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.

According to Catcher Predict monitoring, in the market prediction event on Polymarket "Will Iran close its airspace?", the "Yes" option in the sub-market "June 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, plummeting from 55.9% an hour ago to the current 40.9% (a fluctuation of 15%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.