tail

On-chain data analyst Murphy stated that this cycle is significantly different from the past due to the influx of traditional institutional funds brought in by the BTC spot ETF. He pointed out that the net flow of the ETF essentially records the subscription and redemption results of authorized participants (AP) in the primary market. It will only translate into net inflows or outflows in the data when the selling pressure in the secondary market continues to push the ETF price away from its net asset value and exceeds the arbitrage cost line.Murphy analyzed the data from glassnode and noted that from January to February, the market showed "high trading volume + slight net outflow," indicating that although there was obvious panic selling at that time, there was still a large amount of buying support. In contrast, from May to July, the market exhibited "low trading volume + significant net outflow." The more core signal was not a significant increase in selling pressure, but rather the absence of marginal buying, leading to the ETF consistently trading at a discount and resulting in AP redemptions.He believes that this stage is more likely to reflect a second round of "surrender" at the institutional level, which typically belongs to the tail-end clearing pattern of the market, and judges that this may provide new layout opportunities for retail investors, although the duration cannot be clearly determined by the current data.

Trader Ansem stated that he has bought PUMP around the old support level of 0.001675, with the main logic being that pump.fun can still achieve monthly revenues of about 30 to 40 million dollars during the bear market.He believes that if Solana dominates retail on-chain trading activities again in this cycle, pump.fun is likely to become one of the beneficiaries.

According to Jinshi reports, the S&P 500 index futures showed little change after the release of June retail sales data.

According to Yicai, global chip stocks faced a Black Monday. On that day, during the Asian trading session, rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East suppressed risk appetite, with SK Hynix plunging over 15% on the Korean Exchange, marking the largest single-day drop in 18 years; the South Korean benchmark index KOSPI fell more than 9% in a single day, retreating 25% from its historical high on June 22.Data from the Financial Supervisory Service of Korea shows that the total amount of forced liquidations across the entire South Korean market reached 344.2 billion won in a single day, the largest scale of credit liquidation this year. Retail investors accounted for 92% of leveraged positions, referred to as "ant investors," who made full bets on memory chips and have very weak capacity to withstand volatility. As of Monday, over 1.2 million leveraged retail accounts in the entire South Korean market had reached the margin call line. Among them, approximately 320,000 to 360,000 accounts have been fully liquidated by brokerages, resulting in the loss of principal, with some accounts even owing debts to brokerages.Institutions believe that the short-term Gamma effect of leveraged shorts in South Korea cannot be eliminated, and the trillion-won level of leveraged selling pressure has not been fully cleared, with the risk of volatility still unresolved. However, this round of decline is not a reversal of the industry's fundamentals but rather a concentrated deleveraging event following macro shocks faced by crowded high-position leveraged trades.

The South Korean stock market continues its downward trend, with the KOSPI index dropping 4% during the day, and SK Hynix falling over 7%. The continuous decline in the stock market seems to have started to deter retail investors in South Korea, with a noticeable flow of funds back into the cryptocurrency market.According to Coingecko data, the largest CEX in South Korea, Upbit, has a trading volume of $4.26 billion in the last 24 hours, an increase of 1663%. The top 5 cryptocurrencies by trading volume on this CEX are: Bitcoin, XRP, USDT, ETH, and XEC.

The South Korean stock market continues its downward trend for nearly a week, once again experiencing a circuit breaker led by Samsung and SK Hynix. The continuous decline in the stock market seems to have started to deter South Korean retail investors, with a noticeable phenomenon of funds flowing back into the cryptocurrency market.According to Coingecko data, the largest CEX in South Korea, Upbit, has a trading volume of $4.12 billion in the last 24 hours, an increase of 436%. The top 5 cryptocurrencies by trading volume on this CEX are: Bitcoin, XRP, ETH, T, and BLAST.

According to CNBC, Kraken plans to launch a trading feature centered around AI agents (agentic trading) in its app, allowing users to automatically monitor the market, discover opportunities, and execute trades through natural language commands. This feature utilizes AI during the account opening process to assess users' risk preferences, sources of funds, and financial status, generating a portfolio for users to adjust and confirm. It will subsequently provide portfolio-related information and rebalancing suggestions. Kraken stated that AI agents will help non-professional users participate in the market in a manner close to high-frequency and professional traders, and will be part of its strategy to extend into broader financial services such as payments, banking, and lending, integrating stablecoins and asset tokenization.

Gate recently released a detailed verification statement regarding the security item changes and fund loss incident reported by customer 9****6. After an internal review, the platform confirmed that the applicant submitted materials highly matching the customer's account, including Email, phone number, real-name information, transaction records, and Alipay screen recordings. The platform pointed out that the Alipay screen recording required access to the customer's Alipay account and successfully passed multiple identity verifications, indicating that the applicant not only possessed account information but also obtained the customer's external real-name information, Alipay account, and device permissions in advance.The platform emphasized that its security unbinding review implements a four-fold verification process of "multi-channel advance notification + system risk control preliminary screening + manual multi-layer review + time protection." After notifying the customer through dual channels, the application was processed only after waiting two days without objections, and a 24-hour withdrawal prohibition protection was imposed after modification. Upon investigation, there were no information leakage logs within the platform, and some sensitive identity information provided by the applicant was external information previously unknown to the platform.Regarding fund recovery, the platform has sorted out the flow of funds and collaborated with multiple departments to conduct on-chain analysis and asset tracking, currently coordinating with third parties like Tether to advance the freezing process, and will cooperate with judicial investigations in the future. The platform advises customers to conduct comprehensive security reinforcement on their devices and expresses regret that the customer did not contact the platform within the three-day notification period.

According to Gate market data, the South Korean stock market performed actively today, with the beauty stock Manyo Factory reporting $11.60 during trading, an increase of 18.43%; Hanjoo Oil reported $6.88, an increase of 14.72%; IT'S HANBUL reported $7.25, an increase of 13.51%, with several popular South Korean stocks leading the market.Gate has established a 7×24 hour trading service system covering the three core markets of US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and South Korean stocks, supporting over 10,000 US stocks and ETFs, more than 1,500 Hong Kong stocks, and over 1,000 South Korean stocks, totaling coverage of more than 12,500 stocks and ETF assets globally.Users can participate in global stock investment through Gate's unified account using USDT, supporting fractional share trading starting from a minimum of 0.01 shares, and enjoying stock dividend rights. The platform also supports cross-brokerage transfer of US and Hong Kong stocks, as well as corporate actions such as stock splits and consolidations, further optimizing the stock investment service experience.

Vitalik Buterin published an article titled "Obfuscation: building the final boss of cryptography (Part I)", systematically outlining the entire technical tree behind the mainline of the obfuscation protocol (iO). The article points out that obfuscation technology can transform programs into "encrypted programs", allowing computations on plaintext inputs while hiding internal logic. Theoretically, it can achieve "trustless trusted third parties", and when combined with blockchain, it can build nearly trustless voting systems, auction protocols, and various other applications. However, the current iO scheme, while technically polynomial time, incurs enormous practical overhead, with expected runtimes exceeding the lifespan of the universe.The article details the construction process of lattice-based iO, covering the stacking of primitives such as fully homomorphic encryption (FHE), attribute-based encryption (ABE), obfuscated circuits, function encryption, and XiO. Vitalik stated that the field has moved from "impossible" to "provably secure" over the past decade, but there remains a significant gap to practical application. He proposed three future paths: further optimizing the existing lattice-based route, adopting bolder cryptographic assumptions to simplify constructions, or exploring entirely new assumptions that are completely different from lattices, emphasizing that if any direction succeeds, it will largely "solve cryptography", enabling any protocol describable by an ideal trusted third party to be securely implemented.

The Kobeissi Letter analysis points out that since April, the cumulative net outflow from U.S. gold and Bitcoin-related ETFs has been about $12 billion, while during the same period, semiconductor ETFs recorded a net inflow of about $20 billion, with funds clearly concentrating in the technology growth sector.This trend accelerated further in mid-May: the outflow from gold and Bitcoin ETFs increased more than threefold, while the inflow into semiconductor ETFs doubled. In terms of market performance, the world's largest gold ETF GLD has fallen about 13% since early April, and the Bitcoin ETF IBIT has dropped about 12% during the same period; in contrast, semiconductor ETFs SOXX and SMH have risen approximately 81% and 60%, respectively.Analysis suggests that the current market shows a clear "risk preference switch," with retail funds accelerating their shift from safe-haven assets and crypto assets to high-growth semiconductor and AI-related sectors, driving the market in unprecedented ways.

According to official news, Circle announced that the cross-chain transfer protocol CCTP now supports Stellar and has included Stellar in Domain 27. In the latest release notes, Circle introduced the content of this update and the key integration details that developers need to pay attention to before transferring USDC in or out of Stellar.

CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk stated that the data shows that Binance's Bitcoin perpetual contract funding rate is about 370 basis points lower than the median of three exchanges, sitting at approximately 2.8%, which is a low range since 2021, indicating that the bearish pricing in the Binance market is significantly strong.

According to CryptoQuant analyst Crazzyblockk, the funding rate on Binance is currently 370 bps lower than the median of the three exchanges, sitting at a low level of 2.8%, the lowest reading since 2021. As the dominant trading venue for BTC perpetual contracts, Binance's structured short positions are significantly higher than the combined total of OKX and Bybit, a situation that is uncommon, indicating a distinctly bearish pricing, with structured shorts far exceeding other CEXs.Additionally, Crazzyblockk observed that the recent retail buying aggression (TBSAI) has rapidly reversed, soaring from -1.85σ to +0.81σ, a significant increase of 2.66σ within 30 days, indicating that this group is aggressively bottom-fishing, while the selling pressure mainly comes from whales (IWCR shows that large holders are continuously net distributing), creating a typical divergence between retail buying and whale distribution. Currently, leverage levels are neutral (LIR -0.4σ), with no crowding risk. This is a phase of "distribution to the strong": either the shorts are squeezed up, or the whales are correct, and the market retraces. The key observation signal is a breakout of LIR above +1σ (new leverage entering).

Limitless co-founder and CEO CJ Hetherington stated that he does not believe the prediction market will see a situation dominated by a single platform; rather, it is more likely to present a multi-platform coexistence pattern similar to the offshore perpetual contract market.He pointed out that professional market makers and high-frequency traders are the main contributors to transactions and fees in the derivatives market, as they typically trade on multiple platforms simultaneously for arbitrage, which disperses liquidity across various platforms instead of concentrating it on a single winner.Hetherington revealed that Limitless currently has a monthly trading volume close to $2 billion, with users primarily from the Asia-Pacific (about 60%) and Europe (about 30%), and it has not yet entered the U.S. market (still awaiting regulatory approval). He believes that the institutional and risk transfer opportunities in the prediction market are about 10 times that of the original, and the scale will far exceed that of the retail side.