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According to Jinshi reports, traders expect that as the Iran conflict continues, consumer inflation in the United States will accelerate over the next 12 months. Refinitiv data shows that bets in the inflation swap market reflect an expectation of inflation at around 3% for the coming year, up from about 2.4% at the end of February. The market indicates that inflation concerns are primarily focused on the short term, while expectations for the inflation rate over the 12 months starting a year from now remain relatively moderate, at around 2.4%.

According to Jinshi, the U.S. 1-year CPI swap rate has exceeded 3% for the first time since October last year.

According to DL News, the U.S. Treasury Department has, for the first time in its latest congressional report, acknowledged that privacy tools such as token mixers can serve legitimate financial privacy purposes. The wording has softened significantly compared to previous statements and is seen as the latest signal of the Trump administration's ongoing easing of regulatory attitudes towards the cryptocurrency industry.Jake Kennis, a senior research analyst at Nansen, pointed out that three forces—political tensions, tightening regulations, and the maturity of zero-knowledge (ZK) technology—are driving the privacy sector from a fringe speculative area into mainstream institutional themes. Currently, capital is accelerating towards compliant privacy projects such as Railgun, Nocturne, Zama, Aleo, and Nillion, covering scenarios like tokenization, payments, trade finance, and custody.However, risks cannot be ignored: the Treasury report also disclosed that North Korean hackers laundered billions of dollars through mixers between 2024 and 2025; the European Union also plans to ban exchanges from listing privacy coins like Zcash and Monero by 2027. Meanwhile, developers of privacy tools such as Tornado Cash and Samourai Wallet have faced legal prosecution in the U.S. and Europe, with compliance pressure in the industry continuing to rise.

According to CoinDesk, despite the conflict between the U.S. and Israel pushing oil prices above $100 per barrel, Bitcoin has remained relatively stable around $67,000 over the past week.Analysts point out that this may be related to Bitcoin's close correlation with the U.S. stock market—since the U.S. is a net exporter of oil and has a lower dependence on Middle Eastern oil, the U.S. stock market has shown relative resilience, benefiting Bitcoin as well. Data shows that the U.S. primarily imports oil from Canada and Mexico, with only 4% coming from Saudi Arabia, making it largely immune to supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Since the conflict erupted on February 28, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures have only dropped just over 3%, while the Nikkei index has fallen by 10%, India's Nifty by 5%, and South Korea's Kospi by over 16%.Analysts note that with the launch of spot ETFs and expectations of regulatory easing following Trump's victory, Bitcoin has gradually evolved into a quasi-U.S. risk asset, increasingly correlated with U.S. financial conditions. Additionally, Bitcoin had already retraced to around $60,000 before the conflict, releasing short-term selling pressure and providing a relatively stable foundation for the current price.

According to Arkham data, at 13:34, 568,066.96 UNI (worth approximately $2.1359 million) was transferred from one anonymous address (starting with 0x84DC...) to another anonymous address (starting with 0x58C5...).

Famous trader and chart analyst Peter Brandt, who successfully predicted the Bitcoin crash in 2018, released a chart suggesting that the potential target price for crude oil futures could reach $214. If this target is achieved, it would lead to a surge in airline fuel costs, severely impacting profits.

According to CCTV News, the second plenary session of the Fourth Session of the 14th National People's Congress was held today at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, where Zhang Jun, President of the Supreme People's Court, delivered the work report of the Supreme People's Court.The report shows that in the past five years, 9,326 cases of crimes endangering cybersecurity were concluded, involving 22,000 people, an increase of 158.5% (in terms of case numbers) compared to the previous five years. The law has been used to punish crimes such as online rumors, online pyramid schemes, and online violence, promoting comprehensive governance of cybersecurity. Two young individuals maliciously "doxxed" others, illegally obtaining and disseminating personal privacy information, and were convicted and sentenced according to the law. Strict penalties have been imposed for crimes involving money laundering and illegal foreign exchange using virtual currencies, working together to prevent illegal cross-border capital transfers. It is clarified that drivers who activate assisted driving functions after drinking should still bear criminal responsibility, and technological applications must adhere to legal boundaries.

Aave founder Stani.eth posted on the X platform, stating, "The private credit market is facing pressure in a high-interest-rate environment. Since the Federal Reserve began its rate hike cycle in 2022, interest rates have rapidly risen above 5% and remained high, leading to a significant increase in capital costs for borrowing businesses and consumers.Recent data shows that several funds have experienced stock price declines and redemption pressures, such as Blue Owl Capital, which has dropped about 50% over the past year, and Blackstone's BCRED, which is facing approximately $3.7 billion in redemption requests in Q1 2026. The average BDC is trading at about a 20% discount, with yields of 10-11%, and some funds have seen default rates rise to 9%.Stani.eth proposed three risk scenarios: a single fund default can be absorbed by the system, multiple fund defaults may trigger a downturn in the credit cycle, and a complete collapse could lead to systemic risk. However, the overall private credit market has a total size of about $1.8-2 trillion, making a single fund default unlikely to cause a systemic crisis.For DeFi investors, the biggest risk is that many retail users do not understand the risks involved before putting funds into high-yield RWA. I believe RWA is the biggest opportunity for DeFi in the near term. However, my biggest concern is that institutional speculators may view DeFi as a channel to offload illiquid and distressed products that Wall Street has lost confidence in, effectively using DeFi participants as an exit liquidity.However, well-functioning on-chain private credit can provide advantages that traditional finance cannot reach. DeFi can enforce redemption windows, withdrawal limits, collateral ratios, and profit distribution rules through smart contracts, achieving transparent and immutable execution, avoiding arbitrary tightening of redemption policies by traditional fund managers. Through carefully structured RWA projects, transparent and secure investment channels can be provided between traditional finance and on-chain markets. DeFi should not become a source of exit liquidity for Wall Street."

The Deputy Director of the Iranian President's Office stated that (to clarify the Iranian President's remarks) Iran will respond firmly to any acts of aggression by the United States at its bases in the region.

Kristin Smith, president of the Solana Policy Institute, recently shared her views on the legislative progress of the Clarity Act. She stated that although the bill faces resistance due to the withdrawal of support from Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and controversies in the banking sector, its complexity determines the long-term nature of the legislative process. Current negotiations exhibit two new characteristics: first, senior officials from the White House are directly involved, with presidential aides like David Sacks pushing for dispute resolution; second, traditional financial institutions are participating in negotiations for the first time.If the Senate Banking Committee can complete its review of the bill by March or April, there is hope to advance the legislation before the July recess; otherwise, the next window will not open until the fall. Smith, who previously led the Blockchain Association and spearheaded the passage of the Genius Act, believes that despite facing opposition from figures like Elizabeth Warren, the support from key Democrats such as Chuck Schumer and the ongoing pressure from President Trump are changing the odds of the bill's passage. On Wednesday, after Trump urged the banking sector to make concessions in a post on Truth Social, expectations in the market for the passage of cryptocurrency legislation within the year have noticeably increased.

Coinbase announced that its Coinbase Prime has launched a regulatory futures and unified cross-margining feature covering the crypto spot and derivatives markets. This will provide around-the-clock access to over 20 futures contracts through Coinbase Financial Markets, while integrating Coinbase's existing perpetual contract products. This feature allows institutions to share margin within a single account, thereby enhancing capital efficiency for hedging strategies, simplifying portfolio management, and supporting unified risk assessment for spot and futures positions, which will enable trading, custody, financing, and risk management to operate within the same environment.

According to The Block, the Florida legislature passed the SB 314 bill with a vote of 37 in favor and zero against, making it the first state in the U.S. to establish a state-level regulatory framework for stablecoins.The bill will align with the federal GENIUS Act standards, requiring stablecoin issuers to comply with anti-money laundering regulations, prohibiting unlicensed issuance, and clearly stating that stablecoins are not considered securities. The bill is expected to be signed into law by Governor Ron DeSantis within 30 days.

According to Lookonchain monitoring, the net outflow of Bitcoin ETFs in the United States is 1,697 BTC, the net outflow of Ethereum ETFs is 3,185 ETH, and the net outflow of Solana ETFs is 66,239 SOL.

According to market news, U.S. Democratic Senator Chris Murphy posted a video on the X platform stating that last Friday, someone placed a "very specific bet" on "the U.S. going to war with Iran on Saturday." He pointed out that it is clear that individuals close to Trump were aware of Saturday's actions in advance, and these bettors likely have insider information. Murphy warned that if such war gambling continues, those around the president may "push us into war" for profit.Last Saturday, multiple related bets circulated widely on Polymarket. Reuters reported that Murphy and Democratic Congressman Mike Levin are working on drafting a bill to strengthen regulation of prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. Levin stated that profiting from foreknowledge of military actions "absolutely should be illegal." He noted that while the Commodity Exchange Act prohibits contracts related to events that "contravene public interest," such as war and terrorism, current rules grant prediction markets too much freedom.

Ethereum founder Vitalik stated, "I think it's a good thing for the Ethereum community to have a bolder and more open mindset, especially regarding the application layer and how we view our place in the world. We should not compromise on core attributes: censorship resistance, open source, privacy, and security (CROPS). Especially at the application layer and in the interface between Ethereum and the outside world, we should be more willing to thoroughly rethink various concepts and step out of our comfort zone.Last year, we began to prioritize privacy and give it equal importance to other types of security. This means that the Ethereum application stack will undergo fundamental changes, as the entire stack has not been built around privacy so far. Great, let's build a completely different Ethereum application stack. An example this year is rethinking the role of L2 from scratch and determining which types of L2 can truly create the greatest synergy and benefits with Ethereum. This also includes cultural factors.For me and others, this is an important part of the "milady" concept. Write down your inherent notions of "decency," crumple them up, and burn them. This mental cleansing will lead to an intellectual cleansing, thereby sparking greater creativity and broadening perspectives. For a long time, our algorithm on Ethereum has been: we have an existing ecosystem, what should we do next to make it better? Now, our algorithm should be: we have a fantastic L1 layer, and it will become even better; we have more and more tools, including those developed inside and outside the ecosystem; based on what we currently know, what is the most valuable?If you were to write the section on applications from the 2014 Ethereum white paper, starting from first principles in areas like DeFi, decentralized social, and identity verification, what would you write? At the very least, please exclude all path dependency issues, assuming the Ethereum chain is currently unused, and you are the first to propose or build the first applications, and see what you would ultimately write. Even if you are currently building existing applications, please do this. This is the secret to revitalizing Ethereum."

According to Lookonchain monitoring, today 10 Bitcoin ETFs had a net inflow of 5,187 BTC (worth $376.08 million), 9 Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of 43,282 ETH (worth $9.176 million), and the SOL ETF had a net inflow of 205,711 SOL (worth $18.72 million).

The number of initial jobless claims in the U.S. for the week ending February 28 recorded 213,000, the highest since the week of February 7, and below the market expectation of 215,000.

Digital Asset Trading Platform Gate Officially Launches Gate for AIGate has officially released Gate for AI, introducing the industry's first unified entry point for AI that integrates five major capabilities—CEX, DEX, wallets, real-time information, and on-chain data—under the same interface system. Through this system, AI can not only query market conditions but also complete the entire process of market analysis, risk assessment, strategy generation, and trade execution on the same platform.Unlike most solutions in the industry that only open a single trading interface or partial data capabilities, Gate for AI integrates trading, on-chain, and information data capabilities for the first time under the same architecture, allowing AI to complete the full process from information acquisition to trade execution within one system. The platform adopts a "MCP + Skills" dual-layer capability structure, further enhancing the efficiency of AI invocation and application through standardized interfaces and strategy modules.The launch of Gate for AI marks a significant step towards opening the core capabilities of the trading platform to the AI ecosystem in the form of standardized interfaces, providing new infrastructure for AI agents to directly participate in the digital asset market.