bridgewater

Tin tức từ ChainCatcher, người sáng lập quỹ Bridgewater, Dalio cảnh báo, thâm hụt ngân sách hàng năm của Mỹ lên tới 2 nghìn tỷ USD, khoảng 10 nghìn tỷ USD nợ cần tái tài trợ, nếu không thay đổi quỹ đạo hiện tại, khủng hoảng nợ "trong ba năm tới, với sai số hai năm" có thể xảy ra.Về phân bổ tài sản, Dalio khuyên các nhà đầu tư giảm bớt trái phiếu, tránh rủi ro nợ; tăng cường vàng, nâng tỷ trọng nắm giữ lên 10%～15% của danh mục; nắm giữ một lượng nhỏ Bitcoin để phòng ngừa rủi ro tín dụng của chính phủ. Dalio cũng kêu gọi Mỹ giảm thâm hụt ngân sách từ mức khoảng 6% GDP hiện tại xuống còn 3%, các biện pháp bao gồm cắt giảm chi tiêu, tăng thuế và giảm lãi suất.Do ảnh hưởng của những phát biểu trên, giá vàng đã tăng lên mức cao nhất kể từ tháng 5, Bitcoin vượt qua 77,000 USD, ghi nhận mức tăng tuần lớn nhất kể từ năm 2023.

Tin tức từ ChainCatcher, quỹ Bridgewater do Ray Dalio thành lập đã công bố báo cáo 13F về danh mục đầu tư trong quý 2 năm 2026 (kỳ báo cáo kết thúc vào ngày 30 tháng 6 năm 2026), giảm nắm giữ 1,359,038 cổ phiếu Micron Technology, vẫn nắm giữ khoảng 116,700 cổ phiếu, tỷ lệ giảm nắm giữ khoảng 92%.

Tin tức từ ChainCatcher, người sáng lập quỹ Bridgewater Associates, Ray Dalio, gần đây đã công bố một bài viết dài, chia sẻ suy nghĩ của mình về hệ thống quyết định đầu tư trong thời đại AI, và nhấn mạnh rằng sự hiểu biết của con người vẫn có giá trị không thể thay thế trong thị trường tài chính.Dalio cho rằng, đầu tư về bản chất là một môi trường cạnh tranh "tăng giá gần như là trò chơi không có tổng". Khi một thông tin đã được nhận thức rộng rãi, giá trị đầu tư của nó thường sẽ giảm nhanh chóng. Do đó, ngay cả những hệ thống AI tiên tiến nhất cũng không đủ để cho các nhà đầu tư hoàn toàn phụ thuộc hoặc mù quáng đi theo, điều thực sự mang lại lợi thế cạnh tranh vẫn là sự hiểu biết độc đáo và cái nhìn sâu sắc của con người.Kết hợp với kinh nghiệm phát triển của Bridgewater trong 50 năm qua, Dalio đề xuất rằng quyết định nên được xây dựng trên một hệ thống nguyên tắc rõ ràng, dễ hiểu và có thể xác minh. Ông cho biết, cái gọi là tư duy nguyên tắc không phải dựa vào trực giác hay phán đoán kinh nghiệm, mà là hệ thống hóa tiêu chuẩn quyết định, thông qua việc phân tích tình huống và mối quan hệ nguyên nhân, ghi lại các nguyên tắc cốt lõi, và tận dụng dữ liệu lịch sử để xác minh, cuối cùng chuyển đổi chúng thành hệ thống quyết định có thể tính toán và tự động thực hiện.Ông cũng chỉ ra rằng, việc hình thành nguyên tắc không thể chỉ dựa vào khai thác dữ liệu hoặc hỏi trực tiếp AI, mà cần dựa trên suy diễn logic và sự hiểu biết về quy luật vận hành của thế giới thực.Dalio mô tả quá trình này như là "trò chơi hợp tác" giữa con người và AI. Trong mô hình này, AI đưa ra các đề xuất có hệ thống dựa trên các nguyên tắc đã định, trong khi con người dựa trên khung nguyên tắc của chính mình để suy nghĩ độc lập, cả hai bên thông qua việc so sánh, thảo luận và xác minh logic, liên tục tối ưu hóa hệ thống quyết định.Ông cho rằng, những nguyên tắc thực sự có giá trị nên có thể vượt qua thời gian và không gian, chịu thử thách trong các chu kỳ lịch sử khác nhau và trong các môi trường thị trường khác nhau. Nếu một nguyên tắc không còn hiệu lực, thì cần phải nghiên cứu lại mối quan hệ nguyên nhân phía sau và liên tục điều chỉnh.Dalio cho biết, hiện tại ông đã áp dụng phương pháp này vào văn phòng gia đình của mình để tận dụng tối đa công nghệ AI thế hệ mới, và dự định tiếp tục chia sẻ các phương pháp liên quan ra bên ngoài. Ông cũng nhắc nhở các nhà tham gia thị trường rằng, với sự phát triển không ngừng của công nghệ AI, việc có thể kết hợp hiệu quả giữa trí tuệ nhân tạo và tư duy nguyên tắc có thể trở thành ranh giới quan trọng cho sức cạnh tranh trong tương lai.

According to Forbes, Bitcoin bulls have added a macro narrative. Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, warned that the $39 trillion debt crisis in the U.S. could lead to a long-term devaluation or even collapse of the dollar, while JPMorgan analysts believe that the market is witnessing a rotation from gold to Bitcoin in the currency devaluation trade.Dalio stated that the current annual spending in the U.S. is about $7 trillion, with revenues of only about $5 trillion, and the long-term fiscal deficit and debt expansion are nearing historically dangerous levels. He believes that during similar periods, fiat currencies tend to depreciate continuously, while gold benefits.Meanwhile, JPMorgan analyst Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou pointed out that as the conflict in Iran escalates, the inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs has continued to exceed that of gold ETFs, with some funds viewing Bitcoin as digital gold and a hedge against dollar devaluation.The report mentioned that since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict, the price of Bitcoin has risen by about 30%, although it is still below the historical high of $126,000 in 2025. Notable investors, including Stanley Druckenmiller and Elon Musk, have also expressed concerns about the long-term status of the dollar as a reserve currency.

CZ posted on the X platform: "I may have played a role in Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, allocating to buy Bitcoin; of course, in exchange, I have learned more from him." Previously, it was reported that Ray Dalio disclosed that he has held a small amount of Bitcoin for a long time, which constitutes about 1% of his investment portfolio and has always been the case.

Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, stated, "I hold a small amount of Bitcoin, and I have almost always had it, making up about 1% of my portfolio. My view on Bitcoin has always been the same. I think the problem with Bitcoin is that it will not become a reserve currency for major countries because it is traceable and, theoretically, could be controlled by quantum computing, hacked, and so on."

The world's largest hedge fund, Bridgewater, has released its holdings report as of the end of the third quarter of this year. The report shows that, as of the end of the third quarter, Bridgewater held 2.51 million shares of Nvidia, a decrease of 65.3% compared to 7.23 million shares at the end of the second quarter. It is worth mentioning that in the second quarter of this year, Bridgewater increased its position in Nvidia by as much as 154.37%. This reduction in holdings indicates that Bridgewater is becoming cautious about Nvidia's future performance. (Jin Shi)

ChainCatcher news, Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, analyzed the characteristics of Bitcoin and stablecoins and their roles in investment portfolios in a recent interview with Caixin. He stated that he has held a small portion of Bitcoin for many years, and the investment ratio has not changed, viewing Bitcoin as a diversified asset relative to gold. However, he also pointed out the drawbacks of Bitcoin, noting that central banks around the world do not hold Bitcoin.Ray Dalio further added that stablecoins are not a good store of wealth; their essence is that they can be exchanged for corresponding currencies and do not generate interest. Therefore, from a financial perspective, holding stablecoins is not as advantageous as holding interest-bearing fiat assets. The advantage of stablecoins lies in their global usability, serving as a convenient clearing system for transactions, making them suitable for those who do not care about interest.Regarding whether stablecoins can solve the U.S. Treasury issue, he believes that if stablecoin buyers already hold U.S. Treasuries, it is equivalent to transferring Treasuries from one pocket to another. Whether this can create new demand for Treasuries remains to be seen.

ChainCatcher news, SkyBridge Capital founder and CEO Anthony Scaramucci shared his journey from a cryptocurrency skeptic to an advocate during a Q&A session on social media.He stated that although he had the opportunity to engage with Bitcoin as early as 2012, it took him eight years to make his first Bitcoin investment. The reason was that he initially did not understand Bitcoin and was very skeptical of it, but after truly understanding blockchain and Bitcoin, he realized it was a great technological breakthrough.Anthony Scaramucci added that as long as people "do their homework," 90% of them will lean towards Bitcoin.

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio published an article today discussing stablecoins and cryptocurrencies. His core points include:He does not believe that relaxing regulations on cryptocurrencies will threaten the dollar's status as a reserve currency, but the poor debt situation of the U.S. dollar and other reserve currency governments affects their attractiveness as reserve currencies and stores of wealth, which has been one of the factors driving up the prices of gold and cryptocurrencies.He does not believe that stablecoins' exposure to government bonds poses systemic risks. The real risk is the decline in the actual purchasing power of government bonds; if stablecoins are well-regulated, this should not create any systemic risks.Cryptocurrencies are now a limited-supply alternative currency, so under all else being equal, if the dollar's money supply increases and/or demand for it decreases, this could make cryptocurrencies an attractive alternative currency.

ChainCatcher news, according to Reuters, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio has sold his remaining shares in the Bridgewater fund and will resign from the board. Bridgewater CEO Nir Bar Dea and co-chair Mike McGavick stated in a letter to clients, "We want to inform you that Bridgewater has recently repurchased the last remaining equity shares held by entities related to Ray Dalio."

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio stated in The Master Investor Podcast that he recommends investors allocate at least 15% of their portfolios to gold and Bitcoin to hedge against the increasing risks in the bond and stock markets.He pointed out that the macroeconomic risks brought about by the rising U.S. government debt have not been fully priced in by the market, which could trigger a significant downturn. Dalio expressed that he personally "strongly prefers" gold over Bitcoin and is skeptical about Bitcoin becoming a central bank reserve currency. He believes that Bitcoin has shortcomings in trading privacy and may face protocol security risks.

ChainCatcher news, ChainCatcher news, SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci stated at the DigiAssets 2025 conference that "SOL will surpass ETH," while indicating that he has no particular view on ETH, although he did not provide a specific timeline for Solana's market cap to exceed that of Ethereum.Anthony Scaramucci added that he only got involved in cryptocurrency in 2020, at which time he did not truly embrace Ethereum, but had a deeper understanding of Solana. Currently, SkyBridge Capital holds nine-figure amounts of Bitcoin and Solana on its balance sheet, with about 40% of client funds invested in digital assets, covering firms like Multicoin Capital and Brevan Howard Digital.In addition to a fund of funds that includes digital funds, there is also a cryptocurrency fund of about $300 million, which may include Solana, Avalanche, Polkadot, and a significant amount of Bitcoin.

ChainCatcher news, according to Decrypt, SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci criticized companies that issue bonds to buy Bitcoin as corporate funds, calling it a dangerous trend that could ultimately harm these companies. While Anthony Scaramucci and Michael Saylor are both optimistic about Bitcoin, he views Bitcoin as "digital gold," whereas Michael Saylor sees Bitcoin as "digital property" with a potential value of $500 trillion.

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio: The Federal Reserve is in a difficult position and should not cut interest rates.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Anthony Scaramucci, founder of SkyBridge Capital, stated in a recent podcast interview that although some sovereign wealth funds have marginally allocated Bitcoin, it is difficult to see large-scale capital inflows before the U.S. establishes clear regulatory frameworks for digital assets.He pointed out that if the U.S. passes a stablecoin regulatory bill, allows traditional banks to custody Bitcoin, and makes progress in the tokenization of stocks and bonds, it could trigger a wave of large purchases of Bitcoin by sovereign wealth funds.Anthony Scaramucci emphasized that only when sovereign wealth funds view Bitcoin as part of the global financial infrastructure could it drive the price of Bitcoin to reach a million dollars.

ChainCatcher news, according to SolidIntel, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio stated that holding Bitcoin is a hedge against inflation.

ChainCatcher news, Bridgewater founder Dalio recently stated that the current global monetary system is based on debt, and governments may devalue their currencies through inflation or low-interest rate policies. Investors should consider whether there is an alternative currency that does not rely on debt and is relatively stable. He believes Bitcoin could be one of the candidates and may play an important role in the future, but emphasized that "money is essentially also debt," and a true alternative currency still needs further exploration.Dalio pointed out that Bitcoin's advantage as a safe-haven asset lies in its strong liquidity; unlike real estate, it is not fixed in one place, making it harder to tax or confiscate. However, he also stressed that the diversity and robustness of investments are more important.When asked about his views on gold, Dalio stated that he is more optimistic about gold than ever before, but advised investors to remain restrained. He believes the future is full of uncertainties, and investors need to build a diversified portfolio to cope with it. He suggested a "cautious" gold allocation of 10% to 15%, which can provide protection while avoiding excessive reliance on a single asset. He emphasized that a reasonable asset allocation is an important strategy to deal with future uncertainties.